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Yate Town - Chippenham Town

FA Cup September 19, 2026 16:00
Yate Town
vs
Chippenham Town
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.31%
Win
Yate Town
29.89%
Draw
35.79%
Win
Chippenham Town
1.82
Expected xG
1.99

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.22%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 30%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 66%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 59%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chippenham Town a 35% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Yate Town. Expected goals are 1.8 for Yate Town and 2.0 for Chippenham Town (total 3.8), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.22% probability.

Season Stats

Yate Town
1W 1D 1L
Chippenham Town
3W 1D 1L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
2.2
1.7
Conceded
1.4
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
60%
67%
BTTS
80%
33%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
63%
BTTS
Yate Town
1W 0D 1L · at home
Chippenham Town
3W 0D 1L · away
2.5
gls/g
2.5
1.5
Conceded
1.5
50%
Win %
75%
50%
Win or Draw
75%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
75%
50%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
75%
50%
Clean Sht
25%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Yate Town Chippenham Town →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2% 4.4% 4.4% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6%
1 4.0% 8.0% 8.0% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0%
2 3.7% 7.3% 7.3% 4.8% 2.4% 1.0%
3 2.2% 4.4% 4.4% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6%
4 1.0% 2.0% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

Yate Town Yate Town
W Devizes Town 3–0
L Westbury United 2–3
D Westbury United 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Chippenham Town Chippenham Town
W Havant & Wville 1–3
D Havant & Wville 1–1
L Chelmsford City 4–3
W Walton & Hersham 0–2
W Gloucester City 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Yate Town Yate Town
Attack
36
Defence
63
Form
54
Chippenham Town Chippenham Town
Attack
43
Defence
72
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Yate Town vs Chippenham Town?
The model gives Yate Town a 34% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 35% for an Chippenham Town win.
How many goals are expected in Yate Town vs Chippenham Town?
Expected goals: Yate Town 1.8, Chippenham Town 2.0 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Yate Town vs Chippenham Town?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.22%.