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Ynyshir Albions - Aberystwyth Town

FAW Championship December 12, 2026 15:00
Ynyshir Albions
#10 · 10 pts
vs
Aberystwyth Town
#2 · 16 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.52%
Win
Ynyshir Albions
33.39%
Draw
34.1%
Win
Aberystwyth Town
0.84
Expected xG
0.94

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.77%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 68%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Aberystwyth Town a 34% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Ynyshir Albions. Expected goals are 0.8 for Ynyshir Albions and 0.9 for Aberystwyth Town (total 1.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.77% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Ynyshir Albions have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Aberystwyth Town.

Season Stats

Ynyshir Albions
4W 8D 3L
Aberystwyth Town
6W 3D 6L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.7
1.1
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
73%
40%
O 2.5
67%
53%
BTTS
40%
40%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in FAW Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
45%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Ynyshir Albions
2W 5D 3L · at home
Aberystwyth Town
5W 1D 4L · away
1.3
gls/g
1.3
1.3
Conceded
1.5
20%
Win %
50%
70%
Win or Draw
60%
70%
O 1.5
60%
50%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%
40%
Clean Sht
40%
20%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Ynyshir Albions Aberystwyth Town →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.9% 15.9% 7.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.3% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.9% 5.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% —
3 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% —
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% — — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Ynyshir Albions Ynyshir Albions
D Trethomas Bluebirds 1–1
D Carmarthen Town 2–2
D Afan Lido 0–0
W Newport City 0–1
L Caerphilly Athletic 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town
D Swansea University 0–0
W Caerphilly Athletic 2–3
W llanelli AFC 4–0
W Pontardawe Town 1–0
W Llantwit Major 5–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Ynyshir Albions Ynyshir Albions
Attack
22
Defence
78
Form
52
Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town
Attack
64
Defence
71
Form
70
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Ynyshir Albions
1
Draw
1
Aberystwyth Town
18 Apr 2026 FAW Championship 0–0
22 Nov 2025 FAW Championship 0–4

South

# Team G Pts
1 Swansea University Swansea University 7 17
2 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 7 16
3 Pontypridd Town Pontypridd Town 7 16
4 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 8 14
5 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 8 13
6 Treowen Stars Treowen Stars 8 13
7 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 9 13
8 Afan Lido Afan Lido 9 11
9 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 8 10
10 Ynyshir Albions Ynyshir Albions 7 10
11 Caerphilly Athletic Caerphilly Athletic 8 8
12 Newport City Newport City 6 7
13 Cardiff Draconians Cardiff Draconians 6 7
14 Pontardawe Town Pontardawe Town 7 6
15 Llantwit Major Llantwit Major 6 4
16 llanelli AFC llanelli AFC 9 2

What's at stake · South

Top 2 advance to the next round

Ynyshir Albions Aberystwyth Town
Current #10 #2
→ Ynyshir Albions #7 #2
→ Draw #8 #2
→ Aberystwyth Town #10 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ynyshir Albions vs Aberystwyth Town?
The model gives Ynyshir Albions a 32% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 34% for an Aberystwyth Town win.
How many goals are expected in Ynyshir Albions vs Aberystwyth Town?
Expected goals: Ynyshir Albions 0.8, Aberystwyth Town 0.9 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Ynyshir Albions vs Aberystwyth Town?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.77%.