Ynyshir Albions - Pontypridd Town
FAW Championship
January 30, 2027 15:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.79%
Win
Ynyshir Albions
29.15%
Draw
42.06%
Win
Pontypridd Town
0.73
1.73
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.12%)
1X2 Result
1
29%
X
29%
2
42%
Double Chance
1X
58%
X2
71%
12
71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
57%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Pontypridd Town a 42% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Ynyshir Albions. Expected goals are 0.7 for Ynyshir Albions and 1.7 for Pontypridd Town (total 2.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.12% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Ynyshir Albions have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Pontypridd Town.
Season Stats
4W
8D
3L
7W
4D
4L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
2.1
1.1
Conceded
1.9
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
80%
40%
O 2.5
80%
53%
BTTS
73%
40%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in FAW Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
65%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
2W
5D
3L
· at home
6W
3D
1L
· away
1.3
gls/g
2.8
1.3
Conceded
1.9
20%
Win %
60%
70%
Win or Draw
90%
70%
O 1.5
90%
50%
O 2.5
90%
50%
O 3.5
80%
60%
BTTS
90%
40%
Clean Sht
10%
20%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Ynyshir Albions
Pontypridd Town →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.5% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Ynyshir Albions
Attack
22
Defence
78
Form
52
Pontypridd Town
Attack
60
Defence
57
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
South
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Swansea University
|
7 | 17 |
| 2 |
Aberystwyth Town
|
7 | 16 |
| 3 |
Pontypridd Town
|
7 | 16 |
| 4 |
Carmarthen Town
|
8 | 14 |
| 5 |
Caerau (Ely)
|
8 | 13 |
| 6 |
Treowen Stars
|
8 | 13 |
| 7 |
Baglan Dragons
|
9 | 13 |
| 8 |
Afan Lido
|
9 | 11 |
| 9 |
Trethomas Bluebirds
|
8 | 10 |
| 10 |
Ynyshir Albions
|
7 | 10 |
| 11 |
Caerphilly Athletic
|
8 | 8 |
| 12 |
Newport City
|
6 | 7 |
| 13 |
Cardiff Draconians
|
6 | 7 |
| 14 |
Pontardawe Town
|
7 | 6 |
| 15 |
Llantwit Major
|
6 | 4 |
| 16 |
llanelli AFC
|
9 | 2 |
What's at stake · South
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #10 | #3 |
| → Ynyshir Albions | #7 | #3 |
| → Draw | #8 | #2 |
| → Pontypridd Town | #10 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd Town?
The model gives Ynyshir Albions a 28% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 42% for an Pontypridd Town win.
How many goals are expected in Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd Town?
Expected goals: Ynyshir Albions 0.7, Pontypridd Town 1.7 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Ynyshir Albions vs Pontypridd Town?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.12%.