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Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima

J1 League August 07, 2026 12:25
Yokohama F. Marinos
#8 · 0 pts
vs
Kashima
#16 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.64%
Win
Yokohama F. Marinos
32.94%
Draw
34.42%
Win
Kashima
2.02
Expected xG
1.61

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.74%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
✓ 69.2% hit rate (13 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kashima a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Yokohama F. Marinos. Expected goals are 2.0 for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.6 for Kashima (total 3.6), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.74% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Yokohama F. Marinos have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Kashima.

Season Stats

Yokohama F. Marinos
6W 3D 6L
Kashima
10W 3D 2L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
1.5
1.3
Conceded
0.7
3.2
Shots OT
4.1
3.3
Corners
4.5
48%
Poss.
59%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
73%
53%
O 2.5
33%
47%
BTTS
33%
27%
Clean Sht
60%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in J1 League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Yokohama F. Marinos
3W 2D 5L · at home
Kashima
5W 3D 2L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.5
1.5
Conceded
1.2
30%
Win %
50%
50%
Win or Draw
80%
90%
O 1.5
90%
50%
O 2.5
40%
30%
O 3.5
20%
60%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
40%
20%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Yokohama F. Marinos Kashima →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7% 4.3% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 5.4% 8.6% 6.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.7% 7.0% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.7% 5.9% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.9% 3.0% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
W Shimizu S-pulse 3–0
D Shimizu S-pulse 1–1
W Tokyo Verdy 0–6
L Kashiwa Reysol 0–1
D Kashima 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 19%
Kashima Kashima
W Vissel Kobe 2–0
L Vissel Kobe 5–0
W FC Tokyo 1–0
W JEF United Chiba 0–2
D Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 39%

Playing profile

Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
Attack
18
Defence
34
Form
26
Kashima Kashima
Attack
16
Defence
33
Form
30
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
Draw
1
Kashima
10 May 2026 J1 League 1–1
14 Feb 2026 J1 League 0–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 0 0
2 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0 0
3 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0 0
4 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0 0
5 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0 0
6 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0 0
7 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 0 0
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0 0
9 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0 0
10 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0 0
11 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 0 0
12 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0 0
13 Urawa Urawa 0 0
14 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0 0
15 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0 0
16 Kashima Kashima 0 0
17 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0 0
18 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0 0
19 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0 0
20 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima?
The model gives Yokohama F. Marinos a 32% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 34% for an Kashima win.
How many goals are expected in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima?
Expected goals: Yokohama F. Marinos 2.0, Kashima 1.6 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.74%.