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J1 League · Regular Season - 11 October 21, 2026 12:00 Nissan Stadium, Yokohama
Yokohama F. Marinos
#9 · 18 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Tokyo Verdy
#18 · 8 pts
Ryo Miyaichi (ast. Kosuke Matsumura) 23'
Daiya Tono 50'
73' (ast. Koki Morita) Kanya Fujimoto
90'+3 (ast. Shuhei Mizoguchi) Goki Yamada
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Yokohama F. Marinos a 42% win probability (draw 37%, Tokyo Verdy 20%). The final result was Yokohama F. Marinos 2–2 Tokyo Verdy. In 2 previous meetings, Yokohama F. Marinos have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Tokyo Verdy.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
3
1.97
Actual xG
1.73
1
Saves
3
60%
Possession
40%
6
Corners
6
13
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
↕ Kei Chinen / Riku Yamane
6'
14'
Kanya Fujimoto
⚽Ryo Miyaichi · ast. Kosuke Matsumura
23'
24'
Kaito Suzuki
45'
Soma Kanda / Kazunari Ichimi ↕
⚽Daiya Tono
50'
61'
Yosuke Uchida / Kaito Suzuki ↕
61'
Koki Morita / Kosuke Saito ↕
↕ Jordy Croux / Tomoki Kondo
65'
↕ Daiya Tono / Jun Amano
65'
↕ Takuto Kimura / Toichi Suzuki
65'
72'
Maaya Sako / Cho Yu-Min ↕
73'
ast. Koki Morita · Kanya Fujimoto⚽
↕ Jun Amano / Takuya Kida
79'
86'
Goki Yamada / Issei Kumatoriya ↕
90'+3
ast. Shuhei Mizoguchi · Goki Yamada⚽
Pre-match prediction
42.31%
Yokohama
37.41%
X ←
20.28%
Tokyo
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 37.41% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Yokohama
0.80
1.97
+1.17
Tokyo
0.30
1.73
+1.43
xG dominance was balanced (1.97 – 1.73). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-2-3-1
21 H. Iikura H. Iikura G 6.82
13 T. Inoue T. Inoue D 6.89
33 K. Suwama K. Suwama D 6.80
17 J. Quiñónes J. Quiñónes D 6.57
34 T. Kimura T. Kimura 65' D 7.10
41 K. Matsumura K. Matsumura 1 👟 M 7.16
14 K. Chinen K. Chinen 6' M 6.09
11 J. Croux J. Croux 65' M 6.56
7 D. Tono D. Tono 1 ⚽ 65' M 7.53
23 R. Miyaichi R. Miyaichi 1 ⚽ M 7.23
9 K. Tanimura K. Tanimura F 6.34
Bench
40 J. Amano J. Amano 14' M 5.96
1 Park Il-Gyu Park Il-Gyu G 0.00
43 R. Nitta R. Nitta F 0.00
28 R. Yamane R. Yamane 84' M 6.53
44 T. Deng T. Deng D 0.00
19 Tevis Gabriel Tevis Gabriel F 0.00
8 T. Kida T. Kida 11' M 6.19
24 T. Kondo T. Kondo 25' F 6.52
25 T. Suzuki T. Suzuki 25' M 6.18
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 3-4-2-1
1 Matheus Vidotto Matheus Vidotto G 5.92
96 Cho Yu-Min Cho Yu-Min 72' D 6.26
4 N. Hayashi N. Hayashi D 5.96
15 K. Suzuki K. Suzuki 61' D 5.83
18 S. Mizoguchi S. Mizoguchi 1 👟 M 6.08
16 R. Hirakawa R. Hirakawa M 6.05
8 K. Saito K. Saito 61' M 6.02
19 K. Fujimoto K. Fujimoto 1 ⚽ M 6.63
25 I. Kumatoriya I. Kumatoriya 86' M 6.43
40 Y. Arai Y. Arai M 6.53
33 K. Ichimi K. Ichimi 46' F 6.79
Bench
13 G. Yamada G. Yamada 1 ⚽ 4' F 8.20
17 Kim Hyun-Woo Kim Hyun-Woo F 0.00
10 K. Morita K. Morita 1 👟 29' M 6.23
2 K. Shibato K. Shibato M 0.00
29 M. Sako M. Sako 18' D 6.16
38 S. Kanda S. Kanda 44' F 6.37
7 Y. Matsuhashi Y. Matsuhashi M 0.00
21 Y. Nagasawa Y. Nagasawa G 0.00
22 Y. Uchida Y. Uchida 29' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
G. Yamada
G. Yamada
F · Tokyo
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
D. Tono
D. Tono
M · Yokohama
7.53
1 ⚽
3 shots · 19 pass
R. Miyaichi
R. Miyaichi
M · Yokohama
7.23
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
K. Matsumura
K. Matsumura
M · Yokohama
7.16
1 👟
1 shots · 44 pass
T. Kimura
T. Kimura
D · Yokohama
7.10
1 shots · 27 pass
T. Inoue
T. Inoue
D · Yokohama
6.89
3 shots · 55 pass
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
H. Iikura G 90 6.82 — — 0 67 57% 0 — —
T. Inoue D 90 6.89 — — 3 55 49% 2 — —
K. Suwama D 90 6.80 — — 0 78 68% 1 — —
J. Quiñónes D 90 6.57 — — 0 59 50% 0 — —
T. Kimura D 65 7.10 — — 1 27 24% 0 — —
K. Matsumura M 90 7.16 — 1 1 44 39% 1 — —
K. Chinen M 6 6.09 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
J. Croux M 65 6.56 — — 1 17 12% 0 — —
D. Tono M 65 7.53 1 — 3 19 14% 3 — —
R. Miyaichi M 90 7.23 1 — 1 16 13% 0 — —
K. Tanimura F 90 6.34 — — 2 18 12% 0 — —
J. Amano M 14 5.96 — — 1 4 3% 1 — —
R. Yamane M 84 6.53 — — 1 53 49% 2 — —
T. Kida M 11 6.19 — — 0 8 8% 1 — —
T. Kondo F 25 6.52 — — 0 14 11% 2 — —
T. Suzuki M 25 6.18 — — 0 11 7% 0 — —
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Matheus Vidotto G 90 5.92 — — 0 27 18% 0 — —
Cho Yu-Min D 72 6.26 — — 0 17 13% 1 — —
N. Hayashi D 90 5.96 — — 0 38 26% 0 — —
K. Suzuki D 61 5.83 — — 0 12 4% 0 1 —
S. Mizoguchi M 90 6.08 — 1 1 35 23% 2 — —
R. Hirakawa M 90 6.05 — — 1 30 25% 3 — —
K. Saito M 61 6.02 — — 1 21 15% 0 — —
K. Fujimoto M 90 6.63 1 — 2 32 23% 1 1 —
I. Kumatoriya M 86 6.43 — — 3 11 11% 0 — —
Y. Arai M 90 6.53 — — 2 24 23% 2 — —
K. Ichimi F 46 6.79 — — 1 11 8% 1 — —
G. Yamada F 4 8.20 1 — 1 7 4% 1 — —
K. Morita M 29 6.23 — 1 0 32 28% 0 — —
M. Sako D 18 6.16 — — 0 12 11% 0 — —
S. Kanda F 44 6.37 — — 0 5 1% 0 — —
Y. Uchida D 29 6.30 — — 0 17 15% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
The final score was Yokohama F. Marinos 2–2 Tokyo Verdy.
What did the model predict before Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Yokohama F. Marinos win, 37% to a draw, and 20% to an Tokyo Verdy win.