Canadian Premier League · Group Stage May 02, 2026 01:30

York United

#7 · 24 pts

4 – 1

Final score

Atlético Ottawa

#3 · 34 pts

T. Skublak (ast. J. Cordova) 50'

T. Skublak 55'

L. Cloutier 61' (og)

J. Altobelli 63'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave York United a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Atlético Ottawa 28%). The final result was York United 4–1 Atlético Ottawa. In 2 previous meetings, York United have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Atlético Ottawa.

Match statistics

10

Shots on target

4

3.42

Actual xG

0.96

47%

Possession

53%

3

Corners

3

Match Events

L. Singh

27'

⚽T. Skublak · ast. J. Cordova

50'

⚽T. Skublak

55'

58'

G. Antinoro / J. Coulanges ↕

⚽L. Cloutier (og)

61'

⚽J. Altobelli

63'

Pre-match prediction

42.18%

York ←

29.17%

X

28.64%

Atlético

we assigned to the actual result (York United) 42.18% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

York

2.87

3.42

+0.55

Atlético

0.56

0.96

+0.4

York United dominated by xG (3.42 vs 0.96). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Cavalry FC	23	53
2	Forge	22	46
3	Atlético Ottawa	23	34
4	Vancouver FC	24	32
5	HFX Wanderers FC	23	26
6	Supra du Quebec	23	25
7	York United	22	24
8	Pacific FC	22	11