Canadian Premier League
· Group Stage
May 02, 2026 01:30
T. Skublak
(ast. J. Cordova)
50'
T. Skublak
55'
L. Cloutier
61'
(og)
J. Altobelli
63'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave York United a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Atlético Ottawa 28%). The final result was York United 4–1 Atlético Ottawa.
Match statistics
10
Shots on target
4
3.42
Actual xG
0.96
47%
Possession
53%
3
Corners
3
Match Events
L. Singh
27'
⚽T. Skublak
· ast. J. Cordova
50'
⚽T. Skublak
55'
58'
G. Antinoro
/
J. Coulanges
⚽L. Cloutier
(og)
61'
⚽J. Altobelli
63'
Pre-match prediction
42.18%
York ←
29.17%
X
28.64%
Atlético
we assigned to the actual result (York United)
42.18%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.87
3.42
+0.55
0.56
0.96
+0.4
York United dominated by xG (3.42 vs 0.96).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of York United vs Atlético Ottawa?
The final score was York United 4–1 Atlético Ottawa.
What did the model predict before York United vs Atlético Ottawa?
The model assigned 42% probability to a York United win, 29% to a draw, and 28% to an Atlético Ottawa win.