Canadian Premier League
· Group Stage
August 16, 2026 22:00
✗Model wrong — prediction HFX Wanderers FC, result York United wins
A. Almagro
(ast. J. Altobelli)
3'
R. Telfer
10'
(og)
S. Yeates
(ast. A. Almagro)
25'
J. Altobelli
(ast. L. Accettola)
47'
(pen.)
45'+4
M. Arilla
56'
(ast. R. Telfer)
A. Rampersad
77'
I. Johnston
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HFX Wanderers FC a 63% win probability (draw 19%, York United 17%). The final result was York United 4–3 HFX Wanderers FC. In 2 previous meetings, York United have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for HFX Wanderers FC.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽A. Almagro
· ast. J. Altobelli
3'
⚽R. Telfer
(og)
10'
⚽S. Yeates
· ast. A. Almagro
25'
45'+4
(pen.)
M. Arilla⚽
46'
I. Johnston
/
A. Reid
T. Skublak
/ L. Accettola
46'
⚽J. Altobelli
· ast. L. Accettola
47'
56'
ast. R. Telfer ·
A. Rampersad⚽
57'
J. Bahamboula
/
K. Sow
58'
T. Meilleur-Gigeuere
/
A. Rampersad
58'
S. Zitman
/
T. Ciccarelli
O. Leon
60'
63'
L. Olguin
J. Cordova
/ R. Lopez
63'
77'
I. Johnston⚽
78'
I. A. Hassan
/
L. Olguin
J. Altobelli
/ S. Gonzales
79'
L. Singh
/ J. Costa
79'
A. Almagro
/ B. Badibanga
83'
S. Yeates
87'
Pre-match prediction
17.2%
York ←
19.59%
X
63.21%
HFX
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (York United)
17.2%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.53
—
—
2.04
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of York United vs HFX Wanderers FC?
The final score was York United 4–3 HFX Wanderers FC.
What did the model predict before York United vs HFX Wanderers FC?
The model assigned 17% probability to a York United win, 19% to a draw, and 63% to an HFX Wanderers FC win.