York United 3–4 Pacific FC — pre-match prediction — Canadian Premier League — September 27, 2026

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Canadian Premier League · Group Stage September 27, 2026 20:00 York Lions Stadium, Toronto

York United

#6 · 30 pts

3 – 4

Final score

Pacific FC

#8 · 15 pts

Juan Córdova 15'

Luca accettola (ast. Frank Sturing) 28'

Ollie Bassett 45'+11 (pen.)

(pen.) 13' Marco Bustos

41' (ast. Marco Bustos) Taras Gomulka

44' (ast. Christian Greco-Taylor) R. Kratt

(pen.) 45'+15 Marco Bustos

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave York United a 41% win probability (draw 26%, Pacific FC 32%). The final result was York United 3–4 Pacific FC. In 3 previous meetings, York United have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Pacific FC.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

47%

Possession

53%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

Oswaldo Leon

13'

(pen.) Marco Bustos⚽

⚽Juan Córdova

15'

⚽Luca accettola · ast. Frank Sturing

28'

35'

Taras Gomulka / M. Piepgrass ↕

41'

ast. Marco Bustos · Taras Gomulka⚽

44'

ast. Christian Greco-Taylor · R. Kratt⚽

45'+1

45'+9

⚽Ollie Bassett (pen.)

45'+11

Kembo·Kibato

45'+14

45'+15

(pen.) Marco Bustos⚽

↕ Luca accettola / Raúl López

45'

↕ Frank Sturing / Carlos Guzman

45'

↕ Kembo·Kibato / Max Ferrari

45'

58'

Alejandro Diaz / R. Kratt ↕

66'

Ollie Bassett

70'

Raúl López

76'

78'

M. Vales / Marco Bustos ↕

78'

Matteo Schiavoni / Aidan Daniels ↕

78'

Dylan Demelo / Y. Toualy ↕

↕ Steffen Yeates / Sebastian Gonzales

82'

Sebastian Gonzales

83'

85'

Juan David Quintana Echeverry

Pre-match prediction

41.78%

York

26.23%

32.0%

Pacific ←

we assigned to the actual result (Pacific FC) 32.0% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

York

1.27

—

Pacific

1.17

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Cavalry FC	28	60
2	Forge	28	58
3	Atlético Ottawa	28	43
4	Supra du Quebec	28	38
5	Vancouver FC	28	37
6	York United	28	30
7	HFX Wanderers FC	28	28
8	Pacific FC	28	15

Lineups

York United 4-3-3

Campos Ralston Kai Antonio G 5.48

K. Kibato 45' D 5.68

O. León 8' D 4.76

F. Sturing 1 👟 45' D 6.22

L. Singh D 5.87

O. Bassett 1 ⚽ M 6.69

J. Córdova 1 ⚽ M 8.18

S. Yeates 82' M 6.25

J. Almagro F 6.04

T. Skublak F 6.39

L. Accettola 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.47

Bench

C. Guzmán 45' D 5.84

C. Onyeocha F 0.00

I. Pavela G 0.00

M. Ferrari 45' M 5.82

R. López 45' D 5.30

S. Gonzales 8' F 6.12

Pacific FC 4-4-2

E. Himaras G 6.03

C. Greco-Taylor 1 👟 D 6.53

J. Quintana D 6.13

D. Konincks D 6.42

S. Keshavarz D 6.37

Y. Toualy 78' M 6.17

M. Piepgrass 35' M 6.29

L. Browning-Lagerfeldt M 6.30

M. Bustos 2 ⚽ 1 👟 78' M 7.70

A. Daniels 78' F 6.84

R. Kratt 1 ⚽ 58' F 8.02

Bench

A. Díaz 32' F 6.64

J. Belluz D 0.00

Matteo Schiavoni 12' M 5.82

M. Vales 12' M 6.06

S. Melvin G 0.00

T. Gomulka 1 ⚽ 55' M 8.17

Best on the pitch

J. Córdova

M · York

8.18

1 ⚽

3 shots · 36 pass

T. Gomulka

M · Pacific

8.17

1 ⚽

1 shots · 31 pass

R. Kratt

F · Pacific

8.02

1 ⚽

3 shots · 12 pass

M. Bustos

M · Pacific

7.70

2 ⚽ 1 👟

6 shots · 35 pass

L. Accettola

F · York

7.47

1 ⚽

3 shots · 8 pass

A. Daniels

F · Pacific

6.84

· 26 pass

York United — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Campos Ralston Kai Antonio	G	90	5.48	—	—	0	28	19%	0	—	—
K. Kibato	D	45	5.68	—	—	0	18	17%	0	1	—
O. León	D	8	4.76	—	—	0	5	5%	1	—	1
F. Sturing	D	45	6.22	—	1	0	19	18%	0	—	—
L. Singh	D	90	5.87	—	—	0	37	31%	0	—	—
O. Bassett	M	90	6.69	1	—	2	57	53%	0	1	—
J. Córdova	M	90	8.18	1	—	3	36	30%	2	—	—
S. Yeates	M	82	6.25	—	—	2	35	31%	0	—	—
J. Almagro	F	90	6.04	—	—	1	12	7%	0	—	—
T. Skublak	F	90	6.39	—	—	1	18	11%	0	—	—
L. Accettola	F	45	7.47	1	—	3	8	7%	0	—	—
C. Guzmán	D	45	5.84	—	—	1	18	13%	0	—	—
M. Ferrari	M	45	5.82	—	—	0	15	10%	1	—	—
R. López	D	45	5.30	—	—	0	17	16%	0	1	—
S. Gonzales	F	8	6.12	—	—	0	0	0%	0	1	—

Pacific FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. Himaras	G	90	6.03	—	—	0	22	14%	0	—	—
C. Greco-Taylor	D	90	6.53	—	1	1	52	43%	0	—	—
J. Quintana	D	90	6.13	—	—	0	42	37%	3	1	—
D. Konincks	D	90	6.42	—	—	0	50	49%	3	—	—
S. Keshavarz	D	90	6.37	—	—	0	36	31%	2	—	—
Y. Toualy	M	78	6.17	—	—	2	33	29%	2	—	—
M. Piepgrass	M	35	6.29	—	—	0	20	19%	0	—	—
L. Browning-Lagerfeldt	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	54	51%	1	—	—
M. Bustos	M	78	7.70	2	1	6	35	32%	0	—	—
A. Daniels	F	78	6.84	—	—	0	26	22%	0	—	—
R. Kratt	F	58	8.02	1	—	3	12	12%	0	—	—
A. Díaz	F	32	6.64	—	—	2	4	2%	0	—	—
Matteo Schiavoni	M	12	5.82	—	—	0	5	5%	0	—	—
M. Vales	M	12	6.06	—	—	1	1	1%	1	—	—
T. Gomulka	M	55	8.17	1	—	1	31	29%	4	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of York United vs Pacific FC?

The final score was York United 3–4 Pacific FC.

What did the model predict before York United vs Pacific FC?

The model assigned 41% probability to a York United win, 26% to a draw, and 32% to an Pacific FC win.