Canadian Premier League · Group Stage August 23, 2026 22:00

York United

#7 · 20 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Supra du Quebec

#5 · 22 pts

J. Altobelli (ast. S. Yeates) 14'

61' (ast. D. Choiniere) L. A. Kwemi

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Supra du Quebec a 49% win probability (draw 22%, York United 28%). The final result was York United 1–1 Supra du Quebec. In 1 previous meetings, York United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Supra du Quebec.

Match statistics

1

Shots on target

10

0.40

Actual xG

2.12

43%

Possession

57%

1

Corners

10

Match Events

⚽J. Altobelli · ast. S. Yeates

14'

A. Almagro

15'

34'

I. Conde

42'

D. Choiniere

↕ J. Altobelli / B. Badibanga

57'

61'

ast. D. Choiniere · L. A. Kwemi⚽

T. Skublak

64'

68'

D. Abzi

↕ O. Bassett / K. Kibato

68'

C. Guzman

69'

78'

R. Bey / D. Choiniere ↕

83'

C. Auguste / A. Sissoko ↕

O. Leon

86'

K. Kibato

89'

90'+3

D. Abzi

90'+3

D. Abzi

90'+4

Z. Fernandez / S. Rea ↕

↕ J. Cordova / S. Gonzales

90'+7

90'+8

C. Auguste

Pre-match prediction

28.24%

York

22.16%

X ←

49.6%

Supra

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.16% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

York

1.20

0.40

-0.8

Supra

1.86

2.12

+0.26

Supra du Quebec dominated by xG (2.12 vs 0.40). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Cavalry FC	20	46
2	Forge	20	42
3	Atlético Ottawa	21	34
4	Vancouver FC	21	30
5	Supra du Quebec	20	22
6	HFX Wanderers FC	21	20
7	York United	19	20
8	Pacific FC	20	10