York - Crawley Town
EFL Cup
August 03, 2026 20:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.67%
Win
York
32.8%
Draw
31.53%
Win
Crawley Town
1.1
0.89
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.86%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
33%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
64%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
56%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives York a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Crawley Town. Expected goals are 1.1 for York and 0.9 for Crawley Town (total 2.0), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.86% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ York
Crawley Town →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.7% | 12.1% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 13.4% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
York
Attack
40
Defence
49
Form
49
Crawley Town
Attack
28
Defence
68
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win York vs Crawley Town?
The model gives York a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 31% for an Crawley Town win.
How many goals are expected in York vs Crawley Town?
Expected goals: York 1.1, Crawley Town 0.9 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in York vs Crawley Town?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.86%.