York - Northampton
FA Cup
November 07, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.75%
Win
York
38.67%
Draw
19.58%
Win
Northampton
0.8
0.41
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(24.34%)
1X2 Result
1
42%
X
39%
2
20%
Double Chance
1X
80%
X2
58%
12
61%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
71%
Over 2.5
49%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives York a 41% win probability, against 38% for a draw and 19% for Northampton. Expected goals are 0.8 for York and 0.4 for Northampton (total 1.2), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 24.34% probability. In 1 previous meetings, York have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Northampton.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.0
2.0
Conceded
3.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ York
Northampton →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 29.9% | 12.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 1 | 24.0% | 9.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 2 | 9.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 3 | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.2% | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
York
Attack
39
Defence
74
Form
60
Northampton
Attack
23
Defence
82
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
10 Oct 2026
1–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win York vs Northampton?
The model gives York a 41% win probability, 38% for a draw, and 19% for an Northampton win.
How many goals are expected in York vs Northampton?
Expected goals: York 0.8, Northampton 0.4 (total 1.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in York vs Northampton?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 24.34%.