← Brasileirão Série C

Ypiranga-RS - Maringá

Brasileirão Série C May 16, 2026 22:00
#5 · 10 pts
vs
#8 · 9 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
45.69%
Win
Ypiranga-RS
27.19%
Draw
27.12%
Win
Maringá
2.3
Expected xG
1.08

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ypiranga-RS a 45% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Maringá. Expected goals are 2.3 for Ypiranga-RS and 1.1 for Maringá (total 3.4), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.7% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Ypiranga-RS Maringá →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.8% 8.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.7% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.9% 7.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.0% 4.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
5 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Recent form
L Brusque 3–0
W Ituano 2–0
L Caxias 2–1
W Anápolis 3–0
W AO Itabaiana 1–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 46%
L Guarani Campinas 0–5
W AO Itabaiana 4–2
L Ituano 4–1
L Brusque 2–3
W Figueirense 1–3
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 18%
Playing profile
Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS
Attack
37
Defence
70
Form
58
Maringá Maringá
Attack
53
Defence
32
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Paysandu Paysandu 6 14
2 Brusque Brusque 6 14
3 Amazonas Amazonas 6 13
4 Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas 6 12
5 Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS 6 10
6 Ituano Ituano 6 10
7 Maranhão Maranhão 6 10
8 Maringá Maringá 6 9
9 Barra Barra 6 9
10 Floresta Floresta 6 9
11 Inter De Limeira Inter De Limeira 6 8
12 Caxias Caxias 6 8
13 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 6 7
14 Figueirense Figueirense 6 7
15 Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 6 6
16 Ferroviária Ferroviária 6 6
17 Volta Redonda Volta Redonda 6 5
18 Confiança Confiança 6 3
19 Anápolis Anápolis 6 3
20 AO Itabaiana AO Itabaiana 6 2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ypiranga-RS vs Maringá?
The model gives Ypiranga-RS a 45% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 27% for an Maringá win.
How many goals are expected in Ypiranga-RS vs Maringá?
Expected goals: Ypiranga-RS 2.3, Maringá 1.1 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Ypiranga-RS vs Maringá?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.7%.