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Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Shenhua

Super League May 16, 2026 14:00
Yunnan Yukun
#4 · 16 pts
vs
Shanghai Shenhua
#6 · 11 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌦️ Light drizzle 28.2°C 💨 11 km/h · Yuxi
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.54%
Win
Yunnan Yukun
22.48%
Draw
43.97%
Win
Shanghai Shenhua
1.96
Expected xG
2.52

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Shanghai Shenhua a 43% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Yunnan Yukun. Expected goals are 2.0 for Yunnan Yukun and 2.5 for Shanghai Shenhua (total 4.5), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 7.1% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Yunnan Yukun Shanghai Shenhua →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.1% 2.9% 3.6% 3.0% 1.9% 1.0%
1 2.2% 5.6% 7.1% 5.9% 3.7% 1.9%
2 2.2% 5.5% 6.9% 5.8% 3.6% 1.8%
3 1.4% 3.6% 4.5% 3.8% 2.4% 1.2%
4 0.7% 1.8% 2.2% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6%
5 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2%
Recent form
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun
W Shenyang Urban 1–2
L Hangzhou Greentown 1–2
D Beijing Guoan 3–3
W Dalian Zhixing 1–3
L Chengdu Better City 2–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 24%
Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua
D Chongqing Tongliang Long 2–2
L Shandong Luneng 4–1
L Chengdu Better City 2–3
W Henan Jianye 0–3
W Qingdao Jonoon 2–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 22%
Playing profile
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun
Attack
43
Defence
45
Form
44
Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua
Attack
62
Defence
59
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Chengdu Better City Chengdu Better City 11 31
2 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 11 20
3 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 11 18
4 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 11 16
5 Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng 11 14
6 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 11 11
7 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 11 10
8 Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou Greentown 11 10
9 Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu 11 10
10 Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island 11 10
11 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 11 8
12 SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG 11 7
13 Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban 11 7
14 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 11 6
15 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 11 4
16 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 11 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Shenhua?
The model gives Yunnan Yukun a 33% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 43% for an Shanghai Shenhua win.
How many goals are expected in Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Expected goals: Yunnan Yukun 2.0, Shanghai Shenhua 2.5 (total 4.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Shenhua?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.1%.