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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 11 October 18, 2026 14:45 Stadion Zagłębia Lubin, Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin
#7 · 19 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Jagiellonia
#10 · 15 pts
Sebastian Kerk 77' (pen.)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Zaglebie Lubin a 45% win probability (draw 28%, Jagiellonia 26%). The final result was Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 Jagiellonia. In 2 previous meetings, Zaglebie Lubin have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Jagiellonia.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
15
4
Shots on target
3
1.96
Actual xG
1.46
3
Saves
2
36%
Possession
64%
5
Corners
3
20
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Mateusz Grzybek
15'
↕ Mateusz Grzybek / David Čolina
45'
45'
Cezary Polak / Bartlomiej Wdowik ↕
45'
Rodrigo Conceição / Kamil Jóźwiak ↕
62'
Dimitris Rallis / Ousmane Sow ↕
↕ Filip Szymczak / Jakub·Sypek
63'
69'
Jeremy Agbonifo / Dušan Stojinović ↕
72'
⚽Sebastian Kerk (pen.)
77'
79'
Bernardo Vital
↕ Sebastian Kerk / Mateusz Dziewiatowski
83'
88'
Aleksandar·Cirkovic / Bernardo Vital ↕
Jakub·Sypek
90'+1
↕ Josip Ćorluka / Damian Michalski
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
45.26%
Zaglebie ←
28.1%
X
26.65%
Jagiellonia
we assigned to the actual result (Zaglebie Lubin) 45.26% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Zaglebie
1.56
1.96
+0.4
Jagiellonia
0.80
1.46
+0.66
Zaglebie Lubin dominated by xG (1.96 vs 1.46). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 11 28
2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 12 27
3 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 11 24
4 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 12 23
5 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 12 21
6 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 12 20
7 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 12 19
8 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 12 18
9 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 12 18
10 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 11 15
11 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 11 14
12 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 12 13
13 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 12 12
14 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 12 11
15 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 12 9
16 Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków 12 8
17 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 12 8
18 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 12 6
Lineups
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 3-4-2-1
33 Z. Alomerović Z. Alomerović G 6.53
3 R. Yakuba R. Yakuba D 7.08
25 M. Nalepa M. Nalepa D 6.83
5 A. Ławniczak A. Ławniczak D 7.28
16 J. Ćorluka J. Ćorluka M 6.59
8 D. Dąbrowski D. Dąbrowski M 6.84
39 F. Kocaba F. Kocaba M 6.68
13 M. Grzybek M. Grzybek 45' M 7.01
44 M. Reguła M. Reguła M 6.89
37 S. Kerk S. Kerk 1 ⚽ 83' M 6.61
18 F. Szymczak F. Szymczak 63' F 6.21
Bench
11 A. Woźniak A. Woźniak M 0.00
99 C. Popielec C. Popielec M 0.00
6 D. Čolina D. Čolina 45' D 6.99
30 D. Hładun D. Hładun G 0.00
4 D. Michalski D. Michalski 1' D 0.00
31 I. Orlikowski I. Orlikowski D 0.00
26 J. Kolan J. Kolan M 0.00
7 J. Sypek J. Sypek 27' M 6.73
20 M. Dziewiatowski M. Dziewiatowski 7' M 6.86
88 M. Mlinarić M. Mlinarić F 0.00
19 S. Łyczko S. Łyczko M 0.00
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 4-3-3
50 S. Abramowicz S. Abramowicz G 6.74
20 B. Wdowik B. Wdowik 45' D 7.01
4 Y. Kobayashi Y. Kobayashi D 7.10
5 Bernardo Vital Bernardo Vital 88' D 6.81
3 D. Stojinović D. Stojinović 69' D 6.04
19 A. Klynge A. Klynge M 6.37
6 T. Romanczuk T. Romanczuk M 6.24
30 O. Sow O. Sow 62' M 6.17
7 K. Szmyt K. Szmyt F 6.64
11 Jesús Imaz Jesús Imaz F 5.77
72 K. Jóźwiak K. Jóźwiak 45' F 6.47
Bench
32 A. Ćirković A. Ćirković 2' F 6.39
44 A. Konstantopoulos A. Konstantopoulos D 0.00
2 C. Polak C. Polak 45' D 7.20
8 D. Drachal D. Drachal M 0.00
9 Dimitris Rallis Dimitris Rallis 28' F 6.55
85 Eryk Kozlowski Eryk Kozlowski M 0.00
23 Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia D 0.00
14 H. Finndell H. Finndell M 0.00
10 J. Agbonifo J. Agbonifo 21' F 6.32
70 J. Kucharski J. Kucharski M 0.00
1 M. Perchel M. Perchel G 0.00
27 Rodrigo Conceição Rodrigo Conceição 45' D 6.60
Best on the pitch
A. Ławniczak
A. Ławniczak
D · Zaglebie
7.28
1 shots · 40 pass
C. Polak
C. Polak
D · Jagiellonia
7.20
1 shots · 45 pass
Y. Kobayashi
Y. Kobayashi
D · Jagiellonia
7.10
· 95 pass
R. Yakuba
R. Yakuba
D · Zaglebie
7.08
1 shots · 32 pass
B. Wdowik
B. Wdowik
D · Jagiellonia
7.01
1 shots · 29 pass
M. Grzybek
M. Grzybek
M · Zaglebie
7.01
· 13 pass
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Z. Alomerović G 90 6.53 — — 0 31 18% 0 — —
R. Yakuba D 90 7.08 — — 1 32 22% 5 — —
M. Nalepa D 90 6.83 — — 1 30 18% 0 — —
A. Ławniczak D 90 7.28 — — 1 40 29% 1 — —
J. Ćorluka M 96 6.59 — — 1 18 14% 2 — —
D. Dąbrowski M 90 6.84 — — 0 26 20% 2 — —
F. Kocaba M 90 6.68 — — 0 13 8% 2 — —
M. Grzybek M 45 7.01 — — 0 13 7% 0 1 —
M. Reguła M 90 6.89 — — 4 13 8% 2 — —
S. Kerk M 83 6.61 1 — 2 21 12% 0 — —
F. Szymczak F 63 6.21 — — 2 10 8% 0 — —
D. Čolina D 45 6.99 — — 0 15 11% 3 — —
D. Michalski D 1 0.00 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
J. Sypek M 27 6.73 — — 0 4 3% 1 1 —
M. Dziewiatowski M 7 6.86 — — 0 3 2% 2 — —
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Abramowicz G 90 6.74 — — 0 41 33% 0 — —
B. Wdowik D 45 7.01 — — 1 29 22% 1 — —
Y. Kobayashi D 90 7.10 — — 0 95 86% 2 — —
Bernardo Vital D 88 6.81 — — 0 82 70% 3 1 —
D. Stojinović D 69 6.04 — — 1 28 17% 0 — —
A. Klynge M 90 6.37 — — 2 36 25% 2 — —
T. Romanczuk M 90 6.24 — — 1 53 38% 4 — —
O. Sow M 62 6.17 — — 1 9 7% 0 — —
K. Szmyt F 90 6.64 — — 2 25 20% 1 — —
Jesús Imaz F 90 5.77 — — 5 25 15% 0 — —
K. Jóźwiak F 45 6.47 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
A. Ćirković F 2 6.39 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
C. Polak D 45 7.20 — — 1 45 39% 1 — —
Dimitris Rallis F 28 6.55 — — 1 4 2% 0 — —
J. Agbonifo F 21 6.32 — — 0 6 3% 1 — —
Rodrigo Conceição D 45 6.60 — — 0 23 19% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia?
The final score was Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 Jagiellonia.
What did the model predict before Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Zaglebie Lubin win, 28% to a draw, and 26% to an Jagiellonia win.