Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 28 April 11, 2026 19:30

Zaglebie Lubin

#6 · 48 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Radomiak Radom

#8 · 44 pts

M. Regula (ast. A. Radwanski) 4'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Zaglebie Lubin a 35% win probability (draw 28%, Radomiak Radom 35%). The final result was Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 Radomiak Radom. In 1 previous meetings, Zaglebie Lubin have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Radomiak Radom.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

7

3

Shots on target

0

0.98

Actual xG

0.55

0

Saves

2

37%

Possession

63%

1

Corners

3

17

Tackles

10

2

🟨 Yellow cards

4

Match Events

⚽M. Regula · ast. A. Radwanski

4'

40'

Joao Pedro

41'

A. Dieguez

46'

Zie Ouattara / Joao Pedro ↕

46'

C. Donis / R. Baro ↕

A. Radwanski

57'

61'

Leandro

↕ M. Regula / J. Sypek

64'

68'

S. Soumah / V. Lopes ↕

↕ A. Radwanski / S. Kowalczyk

73'

↕ L. Szabo / M. Kosidis

73'

77'

A. Tapsoba / R. Wolski ↕

86'

E. Balde / Luquinhas ↕

86'

I. Camara

↕ F. Kocaba / D. Dabrowski

88'

↕ J. Corluka / M. Grzybek

88'

J. Buric

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

35.85%

Zaglebie ←

28.21%

X

35.94%

Radomiak

we assigned to the actual result (Zaglebie Lubin) 35.85% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Zaglebie

0.91

0.98

+0.07

Radomiak

1.49

0.55

-0.94

Zaglebie Lubin dominated by xG (0.98 vs 0.55). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	32	56
2	Jagiellonia	32	52
3	Gornik Zabrze	32	50
4	Raków Częstochowa	32	49
5	GKS Katowice	32	48
6	Zaglebie Lubin	32	48
7	Wisla Plock	32	45
8	Radomiak Radom	32	44
9	Legia Warszawa	32	43
10	Motor Lublin	32	42
11	Pogon Szczecin	32	41
12	Piast Gliwice	32	41
13	Cracovia Krakow	32	40
14	Widzew Łódź	32	39
15	Korona Kielce	32	39
16	Lechia Gdansk	32	38
17	Arka Gdynia	32	36
18	Nieciecza	32	28

Lineups

Zaglebie Lubin 4-2-3-1

1 Jasmin Burić G 6.60

35 Luka Lučić D 7.20

4

D 6.90

25 Michał Nalepa D 7.90

31

I. Orlikowski D 7.20

39 Filip Kocaba 88' M 6.30

26 Jakub Kolan M 7.00

18 Adam Radwański 1 👟 73' M 6.30

44 Marcel Regula 1 ⚽ 64' M 6.60

16 Josip Ćorluka 88' M 7.00

17 Levente Szabó 73' F 7.20

Bench

8 Damian Dąbrowski 8' M 6.70

20 Mateusz Dziewiatowski M

13 Mateusz Grzybek 8' D 6.70

9 Michalis Kosidis 23' F 6.70

7 Sebastian Kowalczyk 23' M 6.70

Radomiak Radom 4-2-3-1

1 Filip Majchrowicz G 6.20

20 João Pedro 45' D 6.00

26 Adrián Diéguez D 6.60

5

J. Blasco D 6.90

13

D 6.60

6 Romário Baró 45' M 5.90

2 Ibrahima Camará M 6.60

7 Vasco Lopes 68' M 6.50

27

R. Wolski 77' M 6.90

82 Luquinhas 86' M 6.30

25 Maurides F 6.90

Bench

15 Abdoul Tapsoba 19' F 6.70

77 Christos Donis 51' M 6.90

21 Elves Baldé 10' F 6.70

9 Leândro M

24 Zié Ouattara 51' D 7.50

Best on the pitch

Michał Nalepa

D · Zaglebie

7.90

3 shots · 28 pass

Zié Ouattara

D · Radomiak

7.50

· 30 pass

Luka Lučić

D · Zaglebie

7.20

· 22 pass

Levente Szabó

F · Zaglebie

7.20

2 shots · 22 pass

I. Orlikowski

D · Zaglebie

7.20

1 shots · 16 pass

Josip Ćorluka

M · Zaglebie

7.00

· 28 pass

Zaglebie Lubin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Jasmin Burić	G	96	6.60	—	—	—	28	14%	—	1	—
Luka Lučić	D	96	7.20	—	—	—	22	15%	1	—	—
	D	96	6.90	—	—	—	11	7%	1	—	—
Michał Nalepa	D	96	7.90	—	—	3	28	22%	1	—	—
I. Orlikowski	D	96	7.20	—	—	1	16	12%	4	—	—
Filip Kocaba	M	88	6.30	—	—	—	20	12%	3	—	—
Jakub Kolan	M	96	7.00	—	—	2	31	22%	2	—	—
Adam Radwański	M	73	6.30	—	1	—	19	8%	—	1	—
Marcel Regula	M	64	6.60	1	—	3	6	2%	—	—	—
Josip Ćorluka	M	88	7.00	—	—	—	28	15%	2	—	—
Levente Szabó	F	73	7.20	—	—	2	22	11%	1	—	—
Damian Dąbrowski	M	8	6.70	—	—	—	1	—	1	—	—
Mateusz Grzybek	D	8	6.70	—	—	—	2	—	—	—	—
Michalis Kosidis	F	23	6.70	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
Sebastian Kowalczyk	M	23	6.70	—	—	—	5	4%	1	—	—

Radomiak Radom — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Filip Majchrowicz	G	96	6.20	—	—	—	23	15%	—	—	—
João Pedro	D	45	6.00	—	—	—	18	11%	1	1	—
Adrián Diéguez	D	96	6.60	—	—	—	61	47%	1	1	—
J. Blasco	D	96	6.90	—	—	1	54	43%	1	—	—
	D	96	6.60	—	—	3	40	33%	—	—	—
Romário Baró	M	45	5.90	—	—	—	18	14%	—	—	—
Ibrahima Camará	M	96	6.60	—	—	1	51	39%	3	1	—
Vasco Lopes	M	68	6.50	—	—	1	19	12%	1	—	—
R. Wolski	M	77	6.90	—	—	1	16	12%	—	—	—
Luquinhas	M	86	6.30	—	—	—	25	19%	—	—	—
Maurides	F	96	6.90	—	—	—	13	9%	—	—	—
Abdoul Tapsoba	F	19	6.70	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
Christos Donis	M	51	6.90	—	—	—	41	39%	—	—	—
Elves Baldé	F	10	6.70	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
Zié Ouattara	D	51	7.50	—	—	—	30	23%	3	—	—