Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
· Group Stage - 2
September 29, 2026 18:00
Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola
A. Kangwanda
(ast. Fashion Sakala)
2'
Eliya Mandanji
(ast. Mathews Banda)
90'+5
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Togo a 50% win probability (draw 25%, Zambia 23%). The final result was Zambia 2–0 Togo.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
2
39%
Possession
61%
7
Corners
5
10
Tackles
10
5
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Kangwanda
· ast. Fashion Sakala
2'
45'+6
Abdoul Sabourh Bode
Obino Chisala
/ Joseph Liteta
45'
45'
Kodjo Jean Claude
/
samsondin ouro
Mathews Banda
45'
Miguel Changa Chaiwa
/ Owen Tembo
56'
57'
Atte youssifou
/
Abdoul Sabourh Bode
David Simukonda
/ Lameck Banda
64'
64'
Laba Kodjo
/
Loic·Bessile
Kingstone Mutandwa
/ Eliya Mandanji
72'
Fashion Sakala
/ Ghampani Lungu
73'
74'
Zuberu Sharani
/
Charles Abi
76'
Patrice Neveu
⚽Eliya Mandanji
· ast. Mathews Banda
90'+5
Owen Tembo
90'
Pre-match prediction
23.62%
Zambia ←
25.58%
X
50.8%
Togo
we assigned to the actual result (Zambia)
23.62%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.91
—
—
2.21
—
—
Lineups
1
57'
G
22
D. Hamansenya
D
D. Hamansenya
D
21
Dominic Chanda
D
Dominic Chanda
D
6
57'
D
15
M. Banda
1 👟
D
M. Banda
1 👟
D
3
57'
M
5
M. Chaiwa
56'
M
M. Chaiwa
56'
M
10
F. Sakala
1 👟
73'
M
F. Sakala
1 👟
73'
M
28
David Simukonda
64'
M
David Simukonda
64'
M
11
57'
M
7
K. Mutandwa
72'
F
K. Mutandwa
72'
F
Bench
24
G. Lungu
17'
F
G. Lungu
17'
F
26
J. Liteta
45'
M
J. Liteta
45'
M
9
L. Banda
26'
M
L. Banda
26'
M
23
Pascal Phiri
F
Pascal Phiri
F
16
M. Barcola
G
3
L. Bessilé
64'
D
L. Bessilé
64'
D
5
S. Nador
D
S. Nador
D
2
K. Boma
D
K. Boma
D
8
57'
M
6
S. Ouro
45'
M
S. Ouro
45'
M
21
D. Dakonam
M
D. Dakonam
M
19
H. Koudossou
M
H. Koudossou
M
17
D. Karim
F
D. Karim
F
10
K. Denkey
F
K. Denkey
F
11
C. Abi
74'
F
C. Abi
74'
F
Bench
22
G. Akueson
D
G. Akueson
D
18
I. Akakpo
D
I. Akakpo
D
15
K. Aziangbe
45'
D
K. Aziangbe
45'
D
9
K. Laba
26'
F
K. Laba
26'
F
14
M. Ouro-Tagba
F
M. Ouro-Tagba
F
7
P. Nadjombe
D
P. Nadjombe
D
20
S. Fofana
M
S. Fofana
M
1
S. Mensah
G
S. Mensah
G
4
S. Zuberu
16'
D
S. Zuberu
16'
D
Best on the pitch
F. Sakala
M · Zambia
6.95
1 👟
1 shots
· 12 pass
J. Liteta
M · Zambia
6.91
· 11 pass
K. Boma
D · Togo
6.86
1 shots
· 46 pass
L. Banda
M · Zambia
6.85
1 shots
· 5 pass
S. Nador
D · Togo
6.81
2 shots
· 49 pass
M. Chaiwa
M · Zambia
6.69
1 shots
· 19 pass
Zambia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 57 | 5.72 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — | |
| D. Hamansenya | D | 90 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Dominic Chanda | D | 90 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| D | 57 | 5.72 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — | |
| M. Banda | D | 90 | 6.13 | — | 1 | 1 | 27 | 14% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M | 57 | 5.72 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — | |
| M. Chaiwa | M | 56 | 6.69 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Sakala | M | 73 | 6.95 | — | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| David Simukonda | M | 64 | 5.85 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 57 | 5.72 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — | |
| K. Mutandwa | F | 72 | 6.02 | — | — | 3 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Lungu | F | 17 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Liteta | M | 45 | 6.91 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 8% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Banda | M | 26 | 6.85 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Togo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Barcola | G | 90 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Bessilé | D | 64 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Nador | D | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 43% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Boma | D | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 57 | 5.72 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — | |
| S. Ouro | M | 45 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Dakonam | M | 90 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Koudossou | M | 90 | 5.78 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Karim | F | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Denkey | F | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Abi | F | 74 | 5.93 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Aziangbe | D | 45 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Laba | F | 26 | 6.55 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Zuberu | D | 16 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Zambia vs Togo?
The final score was Zambia 2–0 Togo.
What did the model predict before Zambia vs Togo?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Zambia win, 25% to a draw, and 50% to an Togo win.