Zambia - Togo
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 29, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
24.11%
Win
Zambia
29.04%
Draw
46.85%
Win
Togo
0.74
1.79
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.6%)
1X2 Result
1
24%
X
29%
2
47%
Double Chance
1X
53%
X2
76%
12
71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Togo a 46% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Zambia. Expected goals are 0.7 for Zambia and 1.8 for Togo (total 2.5), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.6% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Zambia
Togo →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.0% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Playing profile
Zambia
Attack
5
Defence
60
Form
29
Togo
Attack
53
Defence
75
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Zambia vs Togo?
The model gives Zambia a 24% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 46% for an Togo win.
How many goals are expected in Zambia vs Togo?
Expected goals: Zambia 0.7, Togo 1.8 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Zambia vs Togo?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.6%.