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Premier League · Regular Season - 11 October 18, 2026 13:00 Gazprom Arena, Saint Petersburg
Zenit
#1 · 27 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Akhmat
#14 · 11 pts
Arsen Adamov 47' (og)
Maksim Glushenkov (ast. Artem Karpukas) 62'
Jhon Jhon 90'
25' (ast. Egas Cacintura) Lechi Sadulaev
86' (ast. Miroslav Bogosavac) Mohamed Konate
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Zenit a 43% win probability (draw 31%, Akhmat 25%). The final result was Zenit 3–2 Akhmat. In 4 previous meetings, Zenit have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Akhmat.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
3
1.46
Actual xG
0.62
1
Saves
3
57%
Possession
43%
7
Corners
4
15
Tackles
23
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
13'
Turpal-Ali Ibishev
Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos
22'
25'
ast. Egas Cacintura · Lechi Sadulaev⚽
Gustavo Mantuan
30'
↕ Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos / Jhon Jhon
45'
⚽Arsen Adamov (og)
47'
57'
Maksim Samorodov / Kirill Shchetinin ↕
⚽Maksim Glushenkov · ast. Artem Karpukas
62'
67'
Mohamed Konate / Georgiy Melkadze ↕
68'
Manuel Keliano / Turpal-Ali Ibishev ↕
71'
Ismael Silva
72'
Aleksey Kasadzhikov / Egas Cacintura ↕
78'
Aleksey Kasadzhikov
↕ Marcilio Florencio Mota Filho / Kevin Andrade
84'
86'
ast. Miroslav Bogosavac · Mohamed Konate⚽
↕ Maksim Glushenkov / Roman Vega
90'+3
↕ Luiz Henrique / Felipe Augusto
90'+3
Denis Adamov
90'+4
Roman Vega
90'+5
Aleksandr Sobolev
90'+6
⚽Jhon Jhon
90'
Pre-match prediction
43.19%
Zenit ←
31.69%
X
25.13%
Akhmat
we assigned to the actual result (Zenit) 43.19% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Zenit
1.00
1.46
+0.46
Akhmat
0.66
0.62
-0.05
Zenit dominated by xG (1.46 vs 0.62). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zenit Zenit 12 27
2 Dynamo Dynamo 12 25
3 CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 12 25
4 FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 12 23
5 Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 12 23
6 FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 12 16
7 FC Rostov FC Rostov 12 15
8 Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 12 15
9 Baltika Baltika 12 14
10 Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala 12 13
11 Rubin Rubin 12 12
12 Akron Akron 12 12
13 Lokomotiv Lokomotiv 12 11
14 Akhmat Akhmat 12 11
15 Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 12 9
16 Fakel Fakel 12 6
Lineups
Zenit Zenit 4-2-3-1
16 D. Adamov D. Adamov G 5.83
3 Douglas Santos Douglas Santos D 6.27
28 N. Alip N. Alip D 6.57
33 Nino Nino 84' D 6.55
31 Gustavo Mantuan Gustavo Mantuan D 6.20
93 A. Karpukas A. Karpukas 1 👟 M 7.70
5 W. Barrios W. Barrios M 6.59
20 Pedro Henrique Pedro Henrique 45' M 5.69
10 M. Glushenkov M. Glushenkov 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.37
11 Luiz Henrique Luiz Henrique 89' M 6.01
7 A. Sobolev A. Sobolev F 6.39
Bench
21 A. Erokhin A. Erokhin M 0.00
57 B. Moskvichev B. Moskvichev G 0.00
61 D. Kondakov D. Kondakov M 0.00
9 Felipe Augusto Felipe Augusto 1' F 6.50
14 Jhon Jhon Jhon Jhon 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.52
25 K. Andrade K. Andrade 6' D 6.16
66 R. Vega R. Vega 1' D 5.68
82 S. Volkov S. Volkov D 0.00
15 V. Karavaev V. Karavaev D 0.00
51 V. Shilov V. Shilov F 0.00
Akhmat Akhmat 4-2-3-1
1 V. Ulyanov V. Ulyanov G 5.63
8 M. Bogosavac M. Bogosavac 1 👟 D 6.75
5 K. Cake K. Cake D 6.82
6 K. Sidibé K. Sidibé D 6.97
95 A. Adamov A. Adamov 1 ⚽ D 5.44
11 Ismael Silva Lima Ismael Silva Lima M 6.14
4 T. Ibishev T. Ibishev 68' M 6.41
10 K. Shchetinin K. Shchetinin 57' M 6.26
17 Egas Cacintura Egas Cacintura 1 👟 72' M 6.64
7 L. Sadulaev L. Sadulaev 1 ⚽ M 7.53
77 G. Melkadze G. Melkadze 67' F 5.73
Bench
70 A. Gadzhiev A. Gadzhiev M 0.00
97 A. Kasadzhikov A. Kasadzhikov 18' F 6.11
76 E. Maksuti E. Maksuti F 0.00
42 Manuel Keliano Manuel Keliano 22' M 5.96
13 M. Konaté M. Konaté 1 ⚽ 23' F 7.85
20 M. Samorodov M. Samorodov 33' F 6.26
81 M. Sidorov M. Sidorov D 0.00
71 R. Mitsaev R. Mitsaev G 0.00
Best on the pitch
M. Konaté
M. Konaté
F · Akhmat
7.85
1 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
A. Karpukas
A. Karpukas
M · Zenit
7.70
1 👟
· 58 pass
L. Sadulaev
L. Sadulaev
M · Akhmat
7.53
1 ⚽
2 shots · 31 pass
Jhon Jhon
Jhon Jhon
M · Zenit
7.52
1 ⚽
2 shots · 23 pass
M. Glushenkov
M. Glushenkov
M · Zenit
7.37
1 ⚽
6 shots · 35 pass
K. Sidibé
K. Sidibé
D · Akhmat
6.97
· 34 pass
Zenit Zenit — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Adamov G 90 5.83 — — 0 15 14% 0 1 —
Douglas Santos D 90 6.27 — — 0 39 31% 0 — —
N. Alip D 90 6.57 — — 0 58 51% 2 — —
Nino D 84 6.55 — — 0 59 53% 1 — —
Gustavo Mantuan D 90 6.20 — — 1 39 36% 1 1 —
A. Karpukas M 90 7.70 — 1 0 58 54% 3 — —
W. Barrios M 90 6.59 — — 0 57 50% 4 — —
Pedro Henrique M 45 5.69 — — 0 14 12% 1 1 —
M. Glushenkov M 89 7.37 1 — 6 35 25% 1 — —
Luiz Henrique M 89 6.01 — — 2 30 22% 2 — —
A. Sobolev F 90 6.39 — — 3 32 21% 0 1 —
Felipe Augusto F 1 6.50 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Jhon Jhon M 45 7.52 1 — 2 23 18% 0 — —
K. Andrade D 6 6.16 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
R. Vega D 1 5.68 — — 0 1 1% 0 1 —
Akhmat Akhmat — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Ulyanov G 90 5.63 — — 0 27 15% 0 — —
M. Bogosavac D 90 6.75 — 1 0 33 26% 3 — —
K. Cake D 90 6.82 — — 2 32 28% 2 — —
K. Sidibé D 90 6.97 — — 0 34 27% 7 — —
A. Adamov D 90 5.44 1 — 0 28 22% 2 — —
Ismael Silva Lima M 90 6.14 — — 0 58 48% 2 1 —
T. Ibishev M 68 6.41 — — 1 21 18% 0 1 —
K. Shchetinin M 57 6.26 — — 0 21 16% 5 — —
Egas Cacintura M 72 6.64 — 1 3 18 14% 0 — —
L. Sadulaev M 90 7.53 1 — 2 31 26% 1 — —
G. Melkadze F 67 5.73 — — 0 20 12% 1 — —
A. Kasadzhikov F 18 6.11 — — 1 4 2% 0 1 —
Manuel Keliano M 22 5.96 — — 0 10 6% 0 — —
M. Konaté F 23 7.85 1 — 1 6 5% 0 — —
M. Samorodov F 33 6.26 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Zenit vs Akhmat?
The final score was Zenit 3–2 Akhmat.
What did the model predict before Zenit vs Akhmat?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Zenit win, 31% to a draw, and 25% to an Akhmat win.