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Zenit - Baltika

Cup August 05, 2026 19:45
Zenit
vs
Baltika
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.57%
Win
Zenit
26.78%
Draw
24.65%
Win
Baltika
2.34
Expected xG
1.39

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.64%)
1X2 Result
1 49%
X 27%
2 25%
Double Chance
1X 75%
X2 51%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 70%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Zenit a 48% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Baltika. Expected goals are 2.3 for Zenit and 1.4 for Baltika (total 3.7), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.64% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Zenit have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Baltika.

Season Stats

Zenit
9W 1D 1L
Baltika
2W 1D 5L
Averages per game
2.1
Goals
1.0
0.7
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
55%
O 1.5
88%
55%
O 2.5
38%
36%
BTTS
38%
64%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 11 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
42%
BTTS
Zenit
4W 1D 1L · at home
Baltika
1W 1D 2L · away
2.2
gls/g
1.0
0.7
Conceded
1.2
67%
Win %
25%
83%
Win or Draw
50%
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
25%
33%
O 3.5
0%
33%
BTTS
50%
67%
Clean Sht
25%
17%
Failed to Score
25%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Zenit Baltika →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4% 3.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 5.6% 7.8% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.6% 9.1% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.1% 7.1% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 3.0% 4.2% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

Zenit Zenit
D Spartak Moscow 0–0
W Dinamo Makhachkala 1–0
W Baltika 0–1
W Dynamo 0–1
L Dynamo 1–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 35%
Baltika Baltika
L Zenit 0–1
W Torpedo Moskva 0–2
L Lokomotiv 1–2
W Akron 3–0
D CSKA Moscow 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Zenit Zenit
Attack
65
Defence
82
Form
80
Baltika Baltika
Attack
53
Defence
83
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

2
Zenit
1
Draw
0
Baltika
3 Mar 2026 Cup 1–0
27 Feb 2026 Premier League 1–0
14 Sep 2025 Premier League 0–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Zenit vs Baltika?
The model gives Zenit a 48% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 24% for an Baltika win.
How many goals are expected in Zenit vs Baltika?
Expected goals: Zenit 2.3, Baltika 1.4 (total 3.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Zenit vs Baltika?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.64%.