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Zenit - Dinamo Makhachkala

Cup September 02, 2026 17:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
57.89%
Win
Zenit
23.58%
Draw
18.53%
Win
Dinamo Makhachkala
2.54
Expected xG
0.95
Most likely outcome
Zenit
57.89%
Probability
0.0%
1X2 accuracy · 1 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.62%)
1X2 Result
1 58%
X 24%
2 19%
Double Chance
1X 82%
X2 42%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 72%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Zenit a 57% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Dinamo Makhachkala. Expected goals are 2.5 for Zenit and 1.0 for Dinamo Makhachkala (total 3.5), with a 86% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.62% probability. In 5 previous meetings, Zenit have won 4 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Dinamo Makhachkala.

Season Stats

Zenit
10W 1D 1L
Dinamo Makhachkala
5W 2D 4L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.3
0.7
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
73%
50%
O 2.5
45%
33%
BTTS
64%
67%
Clean Sht
27%
Based on the last 12 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
23%
O 3.5
48%
BTTS
Zenit
5W 1D 1L · at home
Dinamo Makhachkala
3W 1D 2L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.5
0.6
Conceded
1.0
71%
Win %
50%
86%
Win or Draw
67%
57%
O 1.5
83%
57%
O 2.5
50%
29%
O 3.5
17%
29%
BTTS
67%
71%
Clean Sht
17%
14%
Failed to Score
17%
last 7
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Zenit Dinamo Makhachkala →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.7% 7.4% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.4% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.3% 7.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.3% 5.0% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
5 2.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

W Baltika 1–0
D Spartak Moscow 0–0
W Dinamo Makhachkala 1–0
W Baltika 0–1
W Dynamo 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 31%
L Krylia Sovetov 1–2
L Zenit 1–0
W FC Rostov 0–2
L CSKA Moscow 2–1
W CSKA Moscow 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Zenit Zenit
Attack
58
Defence
84
Form
76
Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala
Attack
40
Defence
63
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Zenit vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
The model gives Zenit a 57% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 18% for an Dinamo Makhachkala win.
How many goals are expected in Zenit vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
Expected goals: Zenit 2.5, Dinamo Makhachkala 1.0 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 86%.
What is the most likely score in Zenit vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.62%.