Felipe Augusto
63'
(pen.)
Maksim Glushenkov
77'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Zenit a 53% win probability (draw 26%, Dinamo Makhachkala 19%). The final result was Zenit 2–0 Dinamo Makhachkala. In 7 previous meetings, Zenit have won 6 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Dinamo Makhachkala.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
5
10
Shots on target
0
3.74
Actual xG
0.94
0
Saves
8
68%
Possession
32%
8
Corners
2
13
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
6
Match Events
5'
Vadim Evseev
16'
(missed pen.)
Valdemiro Pinto Domingos⚽
43'
Makhmud Makhamadzhonov
51'
Andres Alarcon
56'
Mutalip Alibekov
60'
62'
Kirill Zinovich
⚽Felipe Augusto
(pen.)
63'
64'
Gamid Agalarov
/
Valdemiro Pinto Domingos
65'
Daniil Lesovoy
/
Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad
69'
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov
/
Houssem Mrezigue
⚽Maksim Glushenkov
(pen.)
77'
83'
Dmitriy Aleksandrov
/
Daler Kuzyaev
83'
Aleksandr Sandrachuk
/
Makhmud Makhamadzhonov
Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos
/ Kevin Andrade
83'
Felipe Augusto
/ Jhon Jhon
83'
84'
Daniil Lesovoy
Gustavo Mantuan
/ Wendel
90'+3
90'+6
Gamid Agalarov
90'+7
⚽Kevin Andrade
(missed pen.)
90'+8
Luiz Henrique
/ Amir Musaev
90'
Wílmar Barrios
/ Daniil Kondakov
90'
Pre-match prediction
53.62%
Zenit ←
26.72%
X
19.66%
Dinamo
we assigned to the actual result (Zenit)
53.62%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.28
3.74
+2.46
0.66
0.94
+0.28
Zenit dominated by xG (3.74 vs 0.94).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
57
B. Moskvichev
G
B. Moskvichev
G
3
Douglas Santos
D
Douglas Santos
D
28
N. Alip
D
N. Alip
D
33
Nino
D
Nino
D
31
Gustavo Mantuan
89'
D
Gustavo Mantuan
89'
D
93
A. Karpukas
M
A. Karpukas
M
5
W. Barrios
89'
M
W. Barrios
89'
M
11
Luiz Henrique
89'
M
Luiz Henrique
89'
M
20
Pedro Henrique
83'
M
Pedro Henrique
83'
M
10
M. Glushenkov
1 ⚽
M
M. Glushenkov
1 ⚽
M
9
Felipe Augusto
1 ⚽
83'
F
Felipe Augusto
1 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
16
D. Adamov
G
D. Adamov
G
61
D. Kondakov
1'
M
D. Kondakov
1'
M
14
Jhon Jhon
7'
M
Jhon Jhon
7'
M
25
K. Andrade
7'
D
K. Andrade
7'
D
82
S. Volkov
D
S. Volkov
D
15
V. Karavaev
D
V. Karavaev
D
51
V. Shilov
F
V. Shilov
F
8
Wendel
1'
M
Wendel
1'
M
33
N. Karabashev
G
N. Karabashev
G
23
M. Makhamadjonov
83'
D
M. Makhamadjonov
83'
D
99
M. Alibekov
D
M. Alibekov
D
19
K. Zinovich
D
K. Zinovich
D
24
A. Alarcón
D
A. Alarcón
D
77
T. Sundukov
D
T. Sundukov
D
47
N. Glushkov
M
N. Glushkov
M
16
H. Mrezigue
69'
M
H. Mrezigue
69'
M
14
D. Kuzyaev
83'
M
D. Kuzyaev
83'
M
11
Miro
64'
F
Miro
64'
F
10
M. Hosseinnezhad
65'
F
M. Hosseinnezhad
65'
F
Bench
21
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov
21'
M
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov
21'
M
72
A. Sandrachuk
7'
D
A. Sandrachuk
7'
D
30
D. Aleksandrov
7'
M
D. Aleksandrov
7'
M
88
D. Lesovoy
25'
M
D. Lesovoy
25'
M
25
G. Agalarov
26'
F
G. Agalarov
26'
F
43
I. Akhmedov
D
I. Akhmedov
D
9
R. Magomedov
M
R. Magomedov
M
13
S. Kagermazov
D
S. Kagermazov
D
39
T. Magomedov
G
T. Magomedov
G
Best on the pitch
N. Karabashev
G · Dinamo
8.26
· 19 pass
Gustavo Mantuan
D · Zenit
8.07
· 66 pass
Douglas Santos
D · Zenit
8.00
· 82 pass
N. Alip
D · Zenit
8.00
· 89 pass
Nino
D · Zenit
7.92
1 shots
· 81 pass
Felipe Augusto
F · Zenit
7.80
1 ⚽
6 shots
· 20 pass
Zenit — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Moskvichev | G | 90 | 7.23 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Douglas Santos | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 0 | 82 | 74% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Alip | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 0 | 89 | 78% | 3 | — | — |
| Nino | D | 90 | 7.92 | — | — | 1 | 81 | 77% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Mantuan | D | 89 | 8.07 | — | — | 0 | 66 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Karpukas | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Barrios | M | 89 | 6.91 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Luiz Henrique | M | 89 | 6.81 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | M | 83 | 7.14 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Glushenkov | M | 90 | 7.74 | 1 | — | 6 | 48 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Augusto | F | 83 | 7.80 | 1 | — | 6 | 20 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Kondakov | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Jhon Jhon | M | 7 | 7.09 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Andrade | D | 7 | 6.93 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Wendel | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Dinamo Makhachkala — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Karabashev | G | 90 | 8.26 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Makhamadjonov | D | 83 | 6.29 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 6% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Alibekov | D | 90 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 24% | 0 | 1 | — |
| K. Zinovich | D | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 18% | 4 | 1 | — |
| A. Alarcón | D | 90 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Sundukov | D | 90 | 5.83 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Glushkov | M | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Mrezigue | M | 69 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Kuzyaev | M | 83 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Miro | F | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Hosseinnezhad | F | 65 | 6.14 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov | M | 21 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Sandrachuk | D | 7 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Aleksandrov | M | 7 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Lesovoy | M | 25 | 5.81 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 0 | 1 | — |
| G. Agalarov | F | 26 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Zenit vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
The final score was Zenit 2–0 Dinamo Makhachkala.
What did the model predict before Zenit vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Zenit win, 26% to a draw, and 19% to an Dinamo Makhachkala win.