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Premier League · Regular Season - 3 August 09, 2026 16:00
Zenit
#3 · 15 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Rodina Moskva
#14 · 4 pts
M. Glushenkov 23'
59' (ast. S. Bessmertniy) A. Gharibyan
65' (ast. S. Bakaev) A. Gharibyan
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Zenit a 48% win probability (draw 26%, Rodina Moskva 25%). The final result was Zenit 1–2 Rodina Moskva.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
3
1
Saves
5
66%
Possession
34%
11
Corners
3
14
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Glushenkov
23'
Wendel
30'
41'
D. Tananeev
46'
A. Gharibyan / I. Timoshenko ↕
46'
S. Bakaev / M. Abdusalamov ↕
49'
L. Musaev / R. Fishchenko ↕
59'
ast. S. Bessmertniy · A. Gharibyan⚽
↕ Felipe Augusto / Luiz Henrique
63'
65'
ast. S. Bakaev · A. Gharibyan⚽
74'
A. Egorychev / I. Pozo ↕
↕ Gustavo Mantuan / A. Erokhin
77'
↕ W. Barrios / Douglas Santos
77'
84'
B. Mansilla / A. Maksimenko ↕
↕ Wendel / K. Andrade
87'
↕ Nino / N. Alip
87'
Pre-match prediction
48.35%
Zenit
26.38%
X
25.28%
Rodina ←
we assigned to the actual result (Rodina Moskva) 25.28% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Zenit
4.50
—
—
Rodina
1.67
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 7 19
2 CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 7 15
3 Zenit Zenit 8 15
4 Dynamo Dynamo 7 13
5 Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 7 13
6 Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala 7 12
7 Baltika Baltika 8 11
8 Rubin Rubin 7 10
9 Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 8 10
10 FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 7 8
11 FC Rostov FC Rostov 7 8
12 Akhmat Akhmat 7 7
13 Lokomotiv Lokomotiv 8 6
14 Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 8 4
15 Akron Akron 7 4
16 Fakel Fakel 8 3
Lineups
Zenit Zenit 4-2-3-1
16 D. Adamov D. Adamov G 6.20
66 R. Vega R. Vega D 7.30
33 Nino Nino 87' D 7.70
78 I. Diveev I. Diveev D 6.90
31 Gustavo Mantuan Gustavo Mantuan 77' D 6.30
8 Wendel Wendel 87' M 7.20
5 W. Barrios W. Barrios 77' M 6.90
20 Pedro Henrique Pedro Henrique M 6.90
9 Felipe Augusto Felipe Augusto 63' M 6.30
10 M. Glushenkov M. Glushenkov 1 ⚽ M 7.90
7 A. Sobolev A. Sobolev F 6.70
Bench
21 A. Erokhin A. Erokhin 13' M 6.50
17 A. Mostovoy A. Mostovoy M
57 B. Moskvichev B. Moskvichev G
61 D. Kondakov D. Kondakov M
71 D. Odoevskiy D. Odoevskiy G
3 Douglas Santos Douglas Santos 13' D 6.90
25 K. Andrade K. Andrade 10' D 7.00
11 Luiz Henrique Luiz Henrique 27' M 7.00
28 N. Alip N. Alip 10' D 6.60
6 V. Drkušić V. Drkušić D
15 V. Karavaev V. Karavaev D
4 Y. Gorshkov Y. Gorshkov D
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 4-4-2
13 S. Volkov S. Volkov G 7.70
3 L. Goglichidze L. Goglichidze D 6.60
26 A. Meshchaninov A. Meshchaninov D 6.50
19 D. Tananeev D. Tananeev D 6.90
80 S. Bessmertny S. Bessmertny 1 👟 D 6.90
9 A. Maksimenko A. Maksimenko 84' M 6.20
8 Iker Pozo Iker Pozo 74' M 6.90
6 R. Fishchenko R. Fishchenko 49' M 6.20
18 M. Abdusalamov M. Abdusalamov 45' M 6.90
10 Y. Reyna Y. Reyna F 7.30
99 I. Timoshenko I. Timoshenko 45' F 6.20
Bench
5 A. Egorychev A. Egorychev 16' M 6.30
77 A. Gharibyan A. Gharibyan 2 ⚽ 45' F 8.90
72 A. Gordyushenko A. Gordyushenko M
11 B. Mansilla B. Mansilla 13' F 6.60
49 I. Dyatlov I. Dyatlov D
71 Ilya Svinov Ilya Svinov G
95 Kerfala Cissoko Kerfala Cissoko F
23 K. Ushatov K. Ushatov M
38 L. Musaev L. Musaev 41' M 6.90
55 M. Križan M. Križan D
1 S. Aydarov S. Aydarov G
17 S. Bakaev S. Bakaev 1 👟 45' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
A. Gharibyan
A. Gharibyan
F · Rodina
8.90
2 ⚽
2 shots · 6 pass
M. Glushenkov
M. Glushenkov
M · Zenit
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots · 33 pass
Nino
Nino
D · Zenit
7.70
2 shots · 63 pass
S. Volkov
S. Volkov
G · Rodina
7.70
· 28 pass
R. Vega
R. Vega
D · Zenit
7.30
· 65 pass
Y. Reyna
Y. Reyna
F · Rodina
7.30
1 shots · 30 pass
Zenit Zenit — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Adamov G 90 6.20 — — — 13 12% — — —
R. Vega D 90 7.30 — — — 65 59% 4 — —
Nino D 87 7.70 — — 2 63 60% 1 — —
I. Diveev D 90 6.90 — — 4 51 41% 1 — —
Gustavo Mantuan D 77 6.30 — — — 21 17% — — —
Wendel M 87 7.20 — — 2 56 54% 2 1 —
W. Barrios M 77 6.90 — — 2 55 47% 2 — —
Pedro Henrique M 90 6.90 — — 1 53 49% — — —
Felipe Augusto M 63 6.30 — — 1 9 6% — — —
M. Glushenkov M 90 7.90 1 — 5 33 28% — — —
A. Sobolev F 90 6.70 — — 1 14 7% 1 — —
A. Erokhin M 13 6.50 — — — 3 1% 1 — —
Douglas Santos D 13 6.90 — — — 10 9% 1 — —
K. Andrade D 10 7.00 — — — 11 11% 1 — —
Luiz Henrique M 27 7.00 — — — 16 15% — — —
N. Alip D 10 6.60 — — — 7 6% — — —
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Volkov G 90 7.70 — — — 28 19% — — —
L. Goglichidze D 90 6.60 — — — 19 15% 1 — —
A. Meshchaninov D 90 6.50 — — — 30 24% — — —
D. Tananeev D 90 6.90 — — — 32 27% 1 1 —
S. Bessmertny D 90 6.90 — 1 — 9 7% 1 — —
A. Maksimenko M 84 6.20 — — 2 14 10% — — —
Iker Pozo M 74 6.90 — — — 26 22% 2 — —
R. Fishchenko M 49 6.20 — — — 23 16% — — —
M. Abdusalamov M 45 6.90 — — — 13 10% 2 — —
Y. Reyna F 90 7.30 — — 1 30 28% 1 — —
I. Timoshenko F 45 6.20 — — — 6 2% — — —
A. Egorychev M 16 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
A. Gharibyan F 45 8.90 2 — 2 6 3% 1 — —
B. Mansilla F 13 6.60 — — 1 3 1% 1 — —
L. Musaev M 41 6.90 — — — 4 3% 2 — —
S. Bakaev M 45 6.90 — 1 — 9 7% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Zenit vs Rodina Moskva?
The final score was Zenit 1–2 Rodina Moskva.
What did the model predict before Zenit vs Rodina Moskva?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Zenit win, 26% to a draw, and 25% to an Rodina Moskva win.