Zimbabwe - Congo DR
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 28, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
45.97%
Win
Zimbabwe
30.75%
Draw
23.28%
Win
Congo DR
1.36
0.83
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.85%)
1X2 Result
1
46%
X
31%
2
23%
Double Chance
1X
77%
X2
54%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
49%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Zimbabwe a 45% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Congo DR. Expected goals are 1.4 for Zimbabwe and 0.8 for Congo DR (total 2.2), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.85% probability.
Season Stats
0W
1D
2L
4W
2D
3L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.2
2.0
Conceded
0.8
—
Shots OT
2.4
—
Corners
3.6
—
Poss.
41%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
56%
67%
O 2.5
33%
100%
BTTS
44%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 9 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
0W
0D
1L
· at home
1W
2D
3L
· away
2.0
gls/g
1.0
3.0
Conceded
1.0
0%
Win %
17%
0%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
33%
100%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
17%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 6
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Zimbabwe
Congo DR →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.1% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 15.2% | 12.6% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 10.3% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
Playing profile
Zimbabwe
Attack
29
Defence
77
Form
59
Congo DR
Attack
27
Defence
74
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Zimbabwe vs Congo DR?
The model gives Zimbabwe a 45% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 23% for an Congo DR win.
How many goals are expected in Zimbabwe vs Congo DR?
Expected goals: Zimbabwe 1.4, Congo DR 0.8 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Zimbabwe vs Congo DR?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.85%.