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Zira - Paide

Conference League July 30, 2026 18:00
Zira
vs
Paide
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.62%
Win
Zira
28.68%
Draw
29.7%
Win
Paide
1.37
Expected xG
1.11

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.62%)
1X2 Result
1 42%
X 29%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 58%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Zira a 41% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Paide. Expected goals are 1.4 for Zira and 1.1 for Paide (total 2.5), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.62% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Zira have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Paide.

Season Stats

Zira
2W 1D 2L
Paide
4W 1D 2L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
1.7
0.8
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
86%
60%
O 2.5
57%
40%
BTTS
43%
40%
Clean Sht
29%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
34%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
Zira
1W 1D 0L · at home
Paide
1W 1D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.3
0.5
Conceded
3.0
50%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
67%
0%
O 3.5
67%
50%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Zira Paide →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4% 9.3% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.5% 12.8% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.9% 8.7% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.6% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% —
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Zira Zira
L Paide 1–0
W Torpedo Kutaisi 0–3
W Torpedo Kutaisi 3–0
L HNK Hajduk Split 2–1
D HNK Hajduk Split 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Paide Paide
W Zira 1–0
W Hegelmann Litauen 3–0
D Hegelmann Litauen 1–1
L AIK Stockholm 6–0
L AIK Stockholm 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

Zira Zira
Attack
39
Defence
82
Form
68
Paide Paide
Attack
44
Defence
74
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Zira
0
Draw
1
Paide
23 Jul 2026 Conference League 0–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Zira vs Paide?
The model gives Zira a 41% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 29% for an Paide win.
How many goals are expected in Zira vs Paide?
Expected goals: Zira 1.4, Paide 1.1 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Zira vs Paide?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.62%.