60'
(ast. A. Musak)
V. Jurecka
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Baník Ostrava a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Zlin 33%). The final result was Zlin 0–1 Baník Ostrava. In 3 previous meetings, Zlin have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Baník Ostrava.
Match statistics
1
Shots on target
3
0.81
Actual xG
1.01
46%
Possession
54%
3
Corners
5
Match Events
60'
ast. A. Musak ·
V. Jurecka⚽
D. Smiga
/ T. Poznar
65'
L. Bartosak
/ F. Dornak
65'
66'
F. Kubala
/
A. Musak
66'
D. Gilbert
/
V. Jurecka
T. Hellebrand
72'
T. Hellebrand
/ M. Cupak
76'
T. Ulbrich
/ T. Fojtu
76'
78'
D. Holzer
/
D. Planka
78'
V. Skrkon
/
A. Gning
F. Appiah
/ M. Toure
89'
M. Pisoja
90'+1
T. Poznar
90'+3
90'
M. Frydrych
/
A. Bewene
Pre-match prediction
33.03%
Zlin
32.89%
X
34.08%
Baník ←
we assigned to the actual result (Baník Ostrava)
34.08%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.73
0.81
+0.08
1.85
1.01
-0.84
xG dominance was balanced (0.81 – 1.01).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Zlin vs Baník Ostrava?
The final score was Zlin 0–1 Baník Ostrava.
What did the model predict before Zlin vs Baník Ostrava?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Zlin win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Baník Ostrava win.