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Zrinjski - Valur Reykjavik

Conference League July 30, 2026 20:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
63.55%
Win
Zrinjski
19.4%
Draw
17.05%
Win
Valur Reykjavik
2.64
Expected xG
0.66
Most likely outcome
Zrinjski
63.55%
Probability
80.0%
1X2 accuracy · 5 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–0 (10.98%)
1X2 Result
1 64%
X 19%
2 17%
Double Chance
1X 83%
X2 37%
12 81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 64%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Zrinjski a 63% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Valur Reykjavik. Expected goals are 2.6 for Zrinjski and 0.7 for Valur Reykjavik (total 3.3), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 10.98% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Zrinjski have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Valur Reykjavik.

Season Stats

Zrinjski
2W 2D 5L
Valur Reykjavik
3W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.6
1.6
Conceded
0.8
4.3
Shots OT
3.4
Corners
41%
Poss.
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
80%
33%
O 2.5
60%
33%
BTTS
60%
11%
Clean Sht
40%
Based on the last 9 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
13%
O 3.5
88%
BTTS
Zrinjski
2W 2D 0L · at home
Valur Reykjavik
1W 1D 0L · away
2.2
gls/g
1.5
0.8
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
50%
25%
O 3.5
0%
75%
BTTS
100%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Zrinjski Valur Reykjavik →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.7% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 12.9% 8.5% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 11.4% 7.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 7.5% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
5 4.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%

Recent form

L Valur Reykjavik 1–0
L Crystal Palace 2–0
D Crystal Palace 1–1
D Rapid Vienna 1–1
L Raków Częstochowa 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 43%
W Zrinjski 1–0
L Kauno Žalgiris 1–2
D Kauno Žalgiris 1–1
W Flora Tallinn 1–2
W Flora Tallinn 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 19%

Playing profile

Zrinjski Zrinjski
Attack
51
Defence
84
Form
73
Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik
Attack
28
Defence
58
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Zrinjski
0
Draw
1
Valur Reykjavik
23 Jul 2026 Conference League 0–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Zrinjski vs Valur Reykjavik?
The model gives Zrinjski a 63% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 17% for an Valur Reykjavik win.
How many goals are expected in Zrinjski vs Valur Reykjavik?
Expected goals: Zrinjski 2.6, Valur Reykjavik 0.7 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Zrinjski vs Valur Reykjavik?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.98%.