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Zwaluwen - Purmersteijn

KNVB Beker September 22, 2026 17:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.35%
Win
Zwaluwen
32.03%
Draw
32.61%
Win
Purmersteijn
4.5
Expected xG
2.86

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.43%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 32%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 65%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
✓ 93.8% hit rate (32 picks)
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Zwaluwen a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Purmersteijn. Expected goals are 4.5 for Zwaluwen and 2.9 for Purmersteijn (total 7.4), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.43% probability.

Season Stats

Zwaluwen
1W 0D 1L
Purmersteijn
1W 0D 0L
Averages per game
4.0
Goals
4.0
1.0
Conceded
3.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 2 matches in KNVB Beker. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Zwaluwen Purmersteijn →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
1 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5%
2 0.6% 1.8% 2.6% 2.5% 1.8% 1.0%
3 1.0% 2.8% 4.0% 3.8% 2.7% 1.5%
4 1.1% 3.1% 4.4% 4.2% 3.0% 1.7%
5 1.0% 2.8% 4.0% 3.8% 2.7% 1.6%

Recent form

W Lierop 0–7
L URK 1–2
W Zwaluw VFC 4–3

Playing profile

Zwaluwen Zwaluwen
Attack
94
Defence
96
Form
79
Purmersteijn Purmersteijn
Attack
100
Defence
25
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn?
The model gives Zwaluwen a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Purmersteijn win.
How many goals are expected in Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn?
Expected goals: Zwaluwen 4.5, Purmersteijn 2.9 (total 7.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.43%.