← 2. Bundesliga
2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28 April 05, 2026 15:30
FC Schalke 04
#1 · 67 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Karlsruher SC
#9 · 44 pts
✓Model correct — prediction FC Schalke 04
K. Karaman (ast. M. N'Diaye) 72'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Schalke 04 a 67% win probability (draw 17%, Karlsruher SC 15%). The final result was FC Schalke 04 1–0 Karlsruher SC. In 1 previous meetings, FC Schalke 04 have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Karlsruher SC.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
1
1.80
Actual xG
0.16
1
Saves
4
53%
Possession
47%
2
Corners
3
13
Tackles
21
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
17'
Andreas Müller
Kenan Karaman
20'
↕ D. Ljubicic / C. Gomis
64'
64'
S. Jung / D. Burnic ↕
64'
S. Fukuda / L. Ben Farhat ↕
Christian Gomis
68'
⚽K. Karaman · ast. M. N'Diaye
72'
↕ K. Karaman / J. Bachmann
77'
77'
P. Forster / C. Kobald ↕
77'
Kwon Hyeok-Kyu / A. Muller ↕
Mertcan Ayhan
79'
↕ M. Sylla / B. Lasme
85'
↕ A. Aouchiche / A. Gantenbein
85'
86'
R. Simic / R. Pinto Pedrosa ↕
Pre-match prediction
67.9%
FC ←
17.07%
X
15.03%
Karlsruher
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Schalke 04) 67.9% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.61
1.80
-0.81
Karlsruher
1.12
0.16
-0.96
FC Schalke 04 dominated by xG (1.80 vs 0.16). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 33 67
2 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 33 59
3 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 33 59
4 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 33 59
5 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 33 52
6 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 33 51
7 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 33 49
8 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 33 45
9 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 33 44
10 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 33 41
11 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 33 41
12 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 33 39
13 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 33 38
14 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 33 37
15 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 33 37
16 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 33 36
17 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 33 34
18 Preußen Münster Preußen Münster 33 30
Lineups
FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.90
16 Moussa Ndiaye Moussa Ndiaye 1 👟 D 7.30
4
Hasan Kuruçay D 7.90
43 Mertcan Ayhan Mertcan Ayhan D 6.50
5 Timo Becker Timo Becker D 7.50
6 Ron Schallenberg Ron Schallenberg M 7.20
23 Soufiane El-Faouzi Soufiane El-Faouzi M 7.60
24 Adil Aouchiche Adil Aouchiche 85' M 7.50
19 Kenan Karaman Kenan Karaman 1 ⚽ 77' M 6.90
21 Dejan Ljubičić Dejan Ljubičić 64' M 6.50
9 Moussa Sylla Moussa Sylla 85' F 6.90
Bench
7 Christian Gomis Christian Gomis 26' F 6.60
Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 3-1-4-2
1
Hans Christian Bernat G 7.20
22
Christoph Kobald 77' D 7.70
28
D 7.50
5
S. Ambrosius D 7.00
16
A. Muller 77' M 6.90
20
David Herold M 6.90
10
M. Wanitzek M 6.90
7
D. Burnic 64' M 6.30
36
R. Pinto Pedrosa 86' M 6.70
19
L. Ben Farhat 64' F 6.50
24
F. Schleusener F 6.90
Bench
8
Hyeok-kyu Kwon 13' M 6.70
21
Meiko Wäschenbach M
11
P. Forster 13' M 6.50
9
Roko Šimić 10' F 6.30
13
S. Fukuda 26' F 6.20
2
S. Jung 26' D 6.20
Best on the pitch
Hasan Kuruçay
D · FC
7.90
· 76 pass
Christoph Kobald
D · Karlsruher
7.70
· 54 pass
Soufiane El-Faouzi
Soufiane El-Faouzi
M · FC
7.60
1 shots · 41 pass
Timo Becker
Timo Becker
D · FC
7.50
· 32 pass
Adil Aouchiche
Adil Aouchiche
M · FC
7.50
3 shots · 51 pass
D · Karlsruher
7.50
· 44 pass
FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 34 20% — — —
Moussa Ndiaye D 90 7.30 — 1 — 58 49% 2 — —
Hasan Kuruçay D 90 7.90 — — — 76 68% 3 — —
Mertcan Ayhan D 90 6.50 — — — 65 56% — 1 —
Timo Becker D 90 7.50 — — — 32 23% 4 — —
Ron Schallenberg M 90 7.20 — — — 51 43% 1 — —
Soufiane El-Faouzi M 90 7.60 — — 1 41 34% 2 — —
Adil Aouchiche M 85 7.50 — — 3 51 43% 1 — —
Kenan Karaman M 77 6.90 1 — 3 26 19% — 1 —
Dejan Ljubičić M 64 6.50 — — 3 19 15% — — —
Moussa Sylla F 85 6.90 — — — 12 6% — — —
Christian Gomis F 26 6.60 — — 1 3 2% — 1 —
Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Hans Christian Bernat G 90 7.20 — — — 42 25% — — —
Christoph Kobald D 77 7.70 — — — 54 43% 1 — —
D 90 7.50 — — — 44 36% 1 — —
S. Ambrosius D 90 7.00 — — 1 67 55% 5 — —
A. Muller M 77 6.90 — — — 35 27% 3 1 —
David Herold M 90 6.90 — — — 45 30% 1 — —
M. Wanitzek M 90 6.90 — — — 44 33% 2 — —
D. Burnic M 64 6.30 — — 1 13 9% — — —
R. Pinto Pedrosa M 86 6.70 — — — 20 12% 5 — —
L. Ben Farhat F 64 6.50 — — — 4 3% — — —
F. Schleusener F 90 6.90 — — 1 14 6% 1 — —
Hyeok-kyu Kwon M 13 6.70 — — — 14 11% — — —
P. Forster M 13 6.50 — — — 14 11% — — —
Roko Šimić F 10 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
S. Fukuda F 26 6.20 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
S. Jung D 26 6.20 — — — 15 14% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Schalke 04 vs Karlsruher SC?
The final score was FC Schalke 04 1–0 Karlsruher SC.
What did the model predict before FC Schalke 04 vs Karlsruher SC?
The model assigned 67% probability to a FC Schalke 04 win, 17% to a draw, and 15% to an Karlsruher SC win.