2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 28
April 05, 2026 13:30
✓Model correct — prediction FC Schalke 04
K. Karaman
(ast. M. N'Diaye)
72'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Schalke 04 a 67% win probability (draw 17%, Karlsruher SC 15%). The final result was FC Schalke 04 1–0 Karlsruher SC. In 1 previous meetings, FC Schalke 04 have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Karlsruher SC.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
1
1.80
Actual xG
0.16
1
Saves
4
53%
Possession
47%
2
Corners
3
13
Tackles
21
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
17'
Andreas Müller
Kenan Karaman
20'
D. Ljubicic
/ C. Gomis
64'
64'
S. Jung
/
D. Burnic
64'
S. Fukuda
/
L. Ben Farhat
Christian Gomis
68'
⚽K. Karaman
· ast. M. N'Diaye
72'
K. Karaman
/ J. Bachmann
77'
77'
P. Forster
/
C. Kobald
77'
Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
/
A. Muller
Mertcan Ayhan
79'
M. Sylla
/ B. Lasme
85'
A. Aouchiche
/ A. Gantenbein
85'
86'
R. Simic
/
R. Pinto Pedrosa
Pre-match prediction
67.9%
FC ←
17.07%
X
15.03%
Karlsruher
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (FC Schalke 04)
67.9%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.61
1.80
-0.81
1.12
0.16
-0.96
FC Schalke 04 dominated by xG (1.80 vs 0.16).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
16
Moussa Ndiaye
1 👟
D
4
Hasan Kuruçay
D
Hasan Kuruçay
D
43
Mertcan Ayhan
D
Mertcan Ayhan
D
5
Timo Becker
D
Timo Becker
D
6
Ron Schallenberg
M
Ron Schallenberg
M
23
Soufiane El-Faouzi
M
Soufiane El-Faouzi
M
24
Adil Aouchiche
85'
M
Adil Aouchiche
85'
M
19
K. Karaman
1 ⚽
77'
M
K. Karaman
1 ⚽
77'
M
21
Dejan Ljubičić
64'
M
Dejan Ljubičić
64'
M
9
Moussa Sylla
85'
F
Moussa Sylla
85'
F
Bench
7
Christian Gomis
26'
F
Christian Gomis
26'
F
1
Hans Christian Bernat
G
Hans Christian Bernat
G
22
C. Kobald
77'
D
C. Kobald
77'
D
28
D
5
S. Ambrosius
D
16
A. Muller
77'
M
20
D. Herold
M
D. Herold
M
10
M. Wanitzek
M
M. Wanitzek
M
7
Dženis Burnić
64'
M
Dženis Burnić
64'
M
36
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa
86'
M
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa
86'
M
19
Louey Ben Farhat
64'
F
Louey Ben Farhat
64'
F
24
F. Schleusener
F
F. Schleusener
F
Bench
8
Hyeok-kyu Kwon
13'
M
Hyeok-kyu Kwon
13'
M
21
Meiko Wäschenbach
M
Meiko Wäschenbach
M
11
Philipp Förster
13'
M
Philipp Förster
13'
M
9
Roko Šimić
10'
F
Roko Šimić
10'
F
2
Sebastian Jung
26'
D
Sebastian Jung
26'
D
13
Shio Fukuda
26'
F
Shio Fukuda
26'
F
Best on the pitch
Hasan Kuruçay
D · FC
7.90
· 76 pass
C. Kobald
D · Karlsruher
7.70
· 54 pass
Soufiane El-Faouzi
M · FC
7.60
1 shots
· 41 pass
Timo Becker
D · FC
7.50
· 32 pass
Adil Aouchiche
M · FC
7.50
3 shots
· 51 pass
D · Karlsruher
7.50
· 44 pass
FC Schalke 04 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Moussa Ndiaye | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 58 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Hasan Kuruçay | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 76 | 68% | 3 | — | — |
| Mertcan Ayhan | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 65 | 56% | — | 1 | — |
| Timo Becker | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| Ron Schallenberg | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Soufiane El-Faouzi | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Adil Aouchiche | M | 85 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 51 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Karaman | M | 77 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 26 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Dejan Ljubičić | M | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Moussa Sylla | F | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Christian Gomis | F | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Karlsruher SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Christian Bernat | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 25% | — | — | — |
| C. Kobald | D | 77 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 54 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 1 | — | — | |
| S. Ambrosius | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 55% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Muller | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D. Herold | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Wanitzek | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Dženis Burnić | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Pinto Pedrosa | M | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | 5 | — | — |
| Louey Ben Farhat | F | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| F. Schleusener | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Hyeok-kyu Kwon | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Philipp Förster | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Roko Šimić | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Jung | D | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Shio Fukuda | F | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Schalke 04 vs Karlsruher SC?
The final score was FC Schalke 04 1–0 Karlsruher SC.
What did the model predict before FC Schalke 04 vs Karlsruher SC?
The model assigned 67% probability to a FC Schalke 04 win, 17% to a draw, and 15% to an Karlsruher SC win.