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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28 April 05, 2026 13:30
FC Schalke 04
1 – 0
Final score
Karlsruher SC
#14 · 5 pts
✓Model correct — prediction FC Schalke 04
K. Karaman (ast. M. N'Diaye) 72'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Schalke 04 a 67% win probability (draw 17%, Karlsruher SC 15%). The final result was FC Schalke 04 1–0 Karlsruher SC. In 1 previous meetings, FC Schalke 04 have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Karlsruher SC.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
1
1.80
Actual xG
0.16
1
Saves
4
53%
Possession
47%
2
Corners
3
13
Tackles
21
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
17'
Andreas Müller
Kenan Karaman
20'
↕ D. Ljubicic / C. Gomis
64'
64'
S. Jung / D. Burnic ↕
64'
S. Fukuda / L. Ben Farhat ↕
Christian Gomis
68'
⚽K. Karaman · ast. M. N'Diaye
72'
↕ K. Karaman / J. Bachmann
77'
77'
P. Forster / C. Kobald ↕
77'
Kwon Hyeok-Kyu / A. Muller ↕
Mertcan Ayhan
79'
↕ M. Sylla / B. Lasme
85'
↕ A. Aouchiche / A. Gantenbein
85'
86'
R. Simic / R. Pinto Pedrosa ↕
Pre-match prediction
67.9%
FC ←
17.07%
X
15.03%
Karlsruher
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Schalke 04) 67.9% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.61
1.80
-0.81
Karlsruher
1.12
0.16
-0.96
FC Schalke 04 dominated by xG (1.80 vs 0.16). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 6 18
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 6 16
3 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 6 13
4 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 6 11
5 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 6 11
6 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 6 10
7 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 6 8
8 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 6 7
9 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 6 7
10 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 6 7
11 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 6 7
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 6 6
13 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 6 5
14 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 6 5
15 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 6 4
16 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 6 4
17 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 6 4
18 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 6 4
Lineups
FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.90
16 M. N'Diaye M. N'Diaye 1 👟 D 7.30
4 H. Kuruçay H. Kuruçay D 7.90
43 M. Ayhan M. Ayhan D 6.50
5 T. Becker T. Becker D 7.50
6 R. Schallenberg R. Schallenberg M 7.20
23 S. El-Faouzi S. El-Faouzi M 7.60
24 A. Aouchiche A. Aouchiche 85' M 7.50
19 K. Karaman K. Karaman 1 ⚽ 77' M 6.90
21 D. Ljubičić D. Ljubičić 64' M 6.50
9 M. Sylla M. Sylla 85' F 6.90
Bench
7 Christian Gomis Christian Gomis 26' F 6.60
Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 3-1-4-2
1 H. Bernat H. Bernat G 7.20
22 C. Kobald C. Kobald 77' D 7.70
28
D 7.50
5
S. Ambrosius D 7.00
16 Andreas Müller Andreas Müller 77' M 6.90
20 D. Herold D. Herold M 6.90
10 M. Wanitzek M. Wanitzek M 6.90
7 D. Burnić D. Burnić 64' M 6.30
36 Rafael Pinto Pedrosa Rafael Pinto Pedrosa 86' M 6.70
19 Louey Ben Farhat Louey Ben Farhat 64' F 6.50
24 Fabian Schleusener Fabian Schleusener F 6.90
Bench
8 Hyeok-kyu Kwon Hyeok-kyu Kwon 13' M 6.70
21 Meiko Wäschenbach Meiko Wäschenbach M
11 Philipp Förster Philipp Förster 13' M 6.50
9 R. Šimić R. Šimić 10' F 6.30
13 S. Fukuda S. Fukuda 26' F 6.20
2 S. Jung S. Jung 26' D 6.20
Best on the pitch
H. Kuruçay
H. Kuruçay
D · FC
7.90
· 76 pass
C. Kobald
C. Kobald
D · Karlsruher
7.70
· 54 pass
S. El-Faouzi
S. El-Faouzi
M · FC
7.60
1 shots · 41 pass
T. Becker
T. Becker
D · FC
7.50
· 32 pass
A. Aouchiche
A. Aouchiche
M · FC
7.50
3 shots · 51 pass
D · Karlsruher
7.50
· 44 pass
FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 34 20% — — —
M. N'Diaye D 90 7.30 — 1 — 58 49% 2 — —
H. Kuruçay D 90 7.90 — — — 76 68% 3 — —
M. Ayhan D 90 6.50 — — — 65 56% — 1 —
T. Becker D 90 7.50 — — — 32 23% 4 — —
R. Schallenberg M 90 7.20 — — — 51 43% 1 — —
S. El-Faouzi M 90 7.60 — — 1 41 34% 2 — —
A. Aouchiche M 85 7.50 — — 3 51 43% 1 — —
K. Karaman M 77 6.90 1 — 3 26 19% — 1 —
D. Ljubičić M 64 6.50 — — 3 19 15% — — —
M. Sylla F 85 6.90 — — — 12 6% — — —
Christian Gomis F 26 6.60 — — 1 3 2% — 1 —
Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
H. Bernat G 90 7.20 — — — 42 25% — — —
C. Kobald D 77 7.70 — — — 54 43% 1 — —
D 90 7.50 — — — 44 36% 1 — —
S. Ambrosius D 90 7.00 — — 1 67 55% 5 — —
Andreas Müller M 77 6.90 — — — 35 27% 3 1 —
D. Herold M 90 6.90 — — — 45 30% 1 — —
M. Wanitzek M 90 6.90 — — — 44 33% 2 — —
D. Burnić M 64 6.30 — — 1 13 9% — — —
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa M 86 6.70 — — — 20 12% 5 — —
Louey Ben Farhat F 64 6.50 — — — 4 3% — — —
Fabian Schleusener F 90 6.90 — — 1 14 6% 1 — —
Hyeok-kyu Kwon M 13 6.70 — — — 14 11% — — —
Philipp Förster M 13 6.50 — — — 14 11% — — —
R. Šimić F 10 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
S. Fukuda F 26 6.20 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
S. Jung D 26 6.20 — — — 15 14% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Schalke 04 vs Karlsruher SC?
The final score was FC Schalke 04 1–0 Karlsruher SC.
What did the model predict before FC Schalke 04 vs Karlsruher SC?
The model assigned 67% probability to a FC Schalke 04 win, 17% to a draw, and 15% to an Karlsruher SC win.