← Super League
#4 · 62 pts
2 – 2
Final score
#3 · 64 pts
Model wrong — prediction FC Sion, result Pareggio
Y. Chouaref (ast. R. Nivokazi) 55'
Baltazar (ast. A. Kabacalman) 63'
31' (ast. M. Belhadj) G. Koutsias
90' A. Papadopoulos

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Sion a 57% win probability (draw 21%, FC Lugano 20%). The final result was FC Sion 2–2 FC Lugano. In 3 previous meetings, FC Sion have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for FC Lugano.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
7
1.12
Actual xG
2.12
5
Saves
1
49%
Possession
51%
4
Corners
4
17
Tackles
15
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
7'
A. Grgic
31'
ast. M. Belhadj · G. Koutsias
N. Hefti
51'
K. Hajrizi
54'
Y. Chouaref · ast. R. Nivokazi
55'
Baltazar
58'
Baltazar · ast. A. Kabacalman
63'
J. Lukembila / L. Chipperfield
64'
F. Surdez / W. Boteli
64'
67'
E. Alioski / Y. Cimignani
68'
E. Pihlstrom / G. Koutsias
R. Nivokazi / T. Berdayes
70'
74'
M. Bottani / M. Belhadj
A. Kabacalman / N. Sow
80'
Y. Chouaref / D. Rrudhani
80'
89'
A. Kendouci / A. Grgic
W. Boteli
90'+1
90'
A. Papadopoulos
Pre-match prediction
57.36%
FC
21.67%
X ←
20.97%
FC
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 21.67% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
1.93
1.12
-0.81
FC
0.91
2.12
+1.21
FC Lugano dominated by xG (2.12 vs 1.12). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Thun FC Thun 37 74
1 FC Luzern FC Luzern 37 50
2 FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 37 69
2 Servette FC Servette FC 37 50
3 Lausanne Lausanne 37 42
3 FC Lugano FC Lugano 37 64
4 FC Zurich FC Zurich 37 38
4 FC Sion FC Sion 37 62
5 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 37 30
5 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 37 56
6 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys 37 54
6 FC Winterthur FC Winterthur 37 23
Lineups
FC Sion FC Sion 4-2-3-1
1 Anthony Racioppi Anthony Racioppi G 7.20
20 Nias Hefti Nias Hefti D 6.60
17 Jan Kronig Jan Kronig D 6.90
28 Kreshnik Hajrizi Kreshnik Hajrizi D 6.00
14 Numa Lavanchy Numa Lavanchy D 6.20
8 Baltazar Baltazar 1 ⚽ M 8.60
88 Ali Kabacalman Ali Kabacalman 1 👟 81' M 7.90
19 Franck Surdez Franck Surdez 64' M 7.20
39 Josias Lukembila Josias Lukembila 64' M 6.90
7 Ylyas Chouaref Ylyas Chouaref 1 ⚽ 81' M 9.30
33 Rilind Nivokazi Rilind Nivokazi 1 👟 70' F 6.90
Bench
22 Adrien Llukes Adrien Llukes M
77 Donat Rrudhani Donat Rrudhani 9' M 6.70
12 Francesco Ruberto Francesco Ruberto G
25 Lamine Diack Lamine Diack M
21 Liam Scott Chipperfield Liam Scott Chipperfield 26' M 6.30
5 Noé Sow Noé Sow 9' D 6.20
38 Ryan Kessler Ryan Kessler D
29 Théo Berdayes Théo Berdayes 20' F 6.70
13 Winsley Boteli Mokango Winsley Boteli Mokango 26' F 5.90
FC Lugano FC Lugano 3-4-2-1
16 David von Ballmoos David von Ballmoos G 6.50
3 Hannes Delcroix Hannes Delcroix D 6.70
17 Lars Lukas Mai Lars Lukas Mai D 6.50
6 Antonios Papadopoulos Antonios Papadopoulos 1 ⚽ D 7.90
21 Yanis Cimignani Yanis Cimignani 68' M 7.30
25 Uran Bislimi Uran Bislimi M 7.00
8 Anto Grgić Anto Grgić 89' M 6.50
46 Mattia Zanotti Mattia Zanotti M 6.30
9 Georgios Koutsias Georgios Koutsias 1 ⚽ 68' F 7.90
29 Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud 1 👟 74' F 7.50
91 Kevin Behrens Kevin Behrens F 6.30
Bench
14 Ahmed Kendouci Ahmed Kendouci 1' M
1 Amir Saipi Amir Saipi G
44 Carbone Carbone D
4 Damian Kelvin Damian Kelvin D
24 Elias Pihlström Elias Pihlström 22' F 7.20
7 Ezgjan Alioski Ezgjan Alioski 22' D 6.60
23 Gjan Ajdin Gjan Ajdin M
31 Jason Parente Jason Parente M
10 Mattia Bottani Mattia Bottani 16' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
Ylyas Chouaref
Ylyas Chouaref
M · FC
9.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 32 pass
Baltazar
Baltazar
M · FC
8.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 56 pass
Georgios Koutsias
Georgios Koutsias
F · FC
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 23 pass
Antonios Papadopoulos
Antonios Papadopoulos
D · FC
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 38 pass
Ali Kabacalman
Ali Kabacalman
M · FC
7.90
1 👟
· 75 pass
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud
F · FC
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 18 pass
FC Sion FC Sion — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Anthony Racioppi G 90 7.20 36 28%
Nias Hefti D 90 6.60 39 31% 8 1
Jan Kronig D 90 6.90 52 50% 1
Kreshnik Hajrizi D 90 6.00 1 38 34% 1
Numa Lavanchy D 90 6.20 39 37%
Baltazar M 90 8.60 1 1 56 45% 1 1
Ali Kabacalman M 81 7.90 1 75 73% 1
Franck Surdez M 64 7.20 18 16% 1
Josias Lukembila M 64 6.90 1 17 11% 1
Ylyas Chouaref M 81 9.30 1 2 32 30% 2
Rilind Nivokazi F 70 6.90 1 2 9 8%
Donat Rrudhani M 9 6.70 2 2%
Liam Scott Chipperfield M 26 6.30 2 1% 1
Noé Sow D 9 6.20 3 2% 1
Théo Berdayes F 20 6.70 3 2%
Winsley Boteli Mokango F 26 5.90 1 5 5% 1
FC Lugano FC Lugano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
David von Ballmoos G 90 6.50 30 23%
Hannes Delcroix D 90 6.70 45 39% 1
Lars Lukas Mai D 90 6.50 1 69 64% 1
Antonios Papadopoulos D 90 7.90 1 2 38 36% 4
Yanis Cimignani M 68 7.30 29 24% 1
Uran Bislimi M 90 7.00 72 62% 3
Anto Grgić M 89 6.50 1 55 52% 1
Mattia Zanotti M 90 6.30 1 36 30%
Georgios Koutsias F 68 7.90 1 3 23 20% 1
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud F 74 7.50 1 1 18 17% 2
Kevin Behrens F 90 6.30 2 16 11%
Ahmed Kendouci M 1 2 1%
Elias Pihlström F 22 7.20 1 10 9% 2
Ezgjan Alioski D 22 6.60 10 7%
Mattia Bottani F 16 6.20 7 5%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Sion vs FC Lugano?
The final score was FC Sion 2–2 FC Lugano.
What did the model predict before FC Sion vs FC Lugano?
The model assigned 57% probability to a FC Sion win, 21% to a draw, and 20% to an FC Lugano win.