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#3 · 19 pts
2 – 2
Final score
#1 · 25 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction FC Sion, result Draw
Y. Chouaref (ast. R. Nivokazi) 55'
Baltazar (ast. A. Kabacalman) 63'
31' (ast. M. Belhadj) G. Koutsias
90' A. Papadopoulos
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Sion a 57% win probability (draw 21%, FC Lugano 20%). The final result was FC Sion 2–2 FC Lugano. In 4 previous meetings, FC Sion have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for FC Lugano.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
7
1.12
Actual xG
2.12
5
Saves
1
49%
Possession
51%
4
Corners
4
17
Tackles
15
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
7'
A. Grgic
31'
ast. M. Belhadj · G. Koutsias⚽
N. Hefti
51'
K. Hajrizi
54'
⚽Y. Chouaref · ast. R. Nivokazi
55'
Baltazar
58'
⚽Baltazar · ast. A. Kabacalman
63'
↕ J. Lukembila / L. Chipperfield
64'
↕ F. Surdez / W. Boteli
64'
67'
E. Alioski / Y. Cimignani ↕
68'
E. Pihlstrom / G. Koutsias ↕
↕ R. Nivokazi / T. Berdayes
70'
74'
M. Bottani / M. Belhadj ↕
↕ A. Kabacalman / N. Sow
80'
↕ Y. Chouaref / D. Rrudhani
80'
89'
A. Kendouci / A. Grgic ↕
W. Boteli
90'+1
90'
A. Papadopoulos⚽
Pre-match prediction
57.36%
FC
21.67%
X ←
20.97%
FC
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 21.67% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
1.93
1.12
-0.81
FC
0.91
2.12
+1.21
FC Lugano dominated by xG (2.12 vs 1.12). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Lugano FC Lugano 9 25
2 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys 9 19
3 FC Sion FC Sion 9 19
4 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 9 13
5 FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 9 13
6 FC Luzern FC Luzern 9 12
7 FC Zurich FC Zurich 9 11
8 Servette FC Servette FC 9 10
9 FC Thun FC Thun 9 10
10 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 9 8
11 FC Vaduz FC Vaduz 9 6
12 Lausanne Lausanne 9 6
Lineups
FC Sion FC Sion 4-2-3-1
1 A. Racioppi A. Racioppi G 7.20
20 N. Hefti N. Hefti D 6.60
17 J. Kronig J. Kronig D 6.90
28 K. Hajrizi K. Hajrizi D 6.00
14 N. Lavanchy N. Lavanchy D 6.20
8 Baltazar Costa Baltazar Costa 1 ⚽ M 8.60
88 A. Kabacalman A. Kabacalman 1 👟 81' M 7.90
19 F. Surdez F. Surdez 64' M 7.20
39 J. Lukembila J. Lukembila 64' M 6.90
7
Ylyas Chouaref 1 ⚽ 81' M 9.30
33 R. Nivokazi R. Nivokazi 1 👟 70' F 6.90
Bench
22 A. Llukes A. Llukes M
77 D. Rrudhani D. Rrudhani 9' M 6.70
12 F. Ruberto F. Ruberto G
25 Lamine Diack Lamine Diack M
21 L. Chipperfield L. Chipperfield 26' M 6.30
5 N. Sow N. Sow 9' D 6.20
38 R. Kessler R. Kessler D
29 T. Berdayes T. Berdayes 20' F 6.70
13 Winsley Boteli Mokango Winsley Boteli Mokango 26' F 5.90
FC Lugano FC Lugano 3-4-2-1
16 D. von Ballmoos D. von Ballmoos G 6.50
3 H. Delcroix H. Delcroix D 6.70
17 L. Mai L. Mai D 6.50
6 A. Papadopoulos A. Papadopoulos 1 ⚽ D 7.90
21 Y. Cimignani Y. Cimignani 68' M 7.30
25 U. Bislimi U. Bislimi M 7.00
8 A. Grgić A. Grgić 89' M 6.50
46 M. Zanotti M. Zanotti M 6.30
9 G. Koutsias G. Koutsias 1 ⚽ 68' F 7.90
29 H. Mahmoud H. Mahmoud 1 👟 74' F 7.50
91 K. Behrens K. Behrens F 6.30
Bench
14 A. Kendouci A. Kendouci 1' M
1 A. Saipi A. Saipi G
4 D. Kelvin D. Kelvin D
7 E. Alioski E. Alioski 22' D 6.60
24 E. Pihlström E. Pihlström 22' F 7.20
23 G. Ajdin G. Ajdin M
31 Jason Parente Jason Parente M
44 João Victor Schlickmann Carbone João Victor Schlickmann Carbone D
10 Mattia Bottani Mattia Bottani 16' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
Ylyas Chouaref
M · FC
9.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 32 pass
Baltazar Costa
Baltazar Costa
M · FC
8.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 56 pass
G. Koutsias
G. Koutsias
F · FC
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 23 pass
A. Papadopoulos
A. Papadopoulos
D · FC
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 38 pass
A. Kabacalman
A. Kabacalman
M · FC
7.90
1 👟
· 75 pass
H. Mahmoud
H. Mahmoud
F · FC
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 18 pass
FC Sion FC Sion — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Racioppi G 90 7.20 — — — 36 28% — — —
N. Hefti D 90 6.60 — — — 39 31% 8 1 —
J. Kronig D 90 6.90 — — — 52 50% 1 — —
K. Hajrizi D 90 6.00 — — 1 38 34% — 1 —
N. Lavanchy D 90 6.20 — — — 39 37% — — —
Baltazar Costa M 90 8.60 1 — 1 56 45% 1 1 —
A. Kabacalman M 81 7.90 — 1 — 75 73% 1 — —
F. Surdez M 64 7.20 — — — 18 16% 1 — —
J. Lukembila M 64 6.90 — — 1 17 11% 1 — —
Ylyas Chouaref M 81 9.30 1 — 2 32 30% 2 — —
R. Nivokazi F 70 6.90 — 1 2 9 8% — — —
D. Rrudhani M 9 6.70 — — — 2 2% — — —
L. Chipperfield M 26 6.30 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
N. Sow D 9 6.20 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
T. Berdayes F 20 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
Winsley Boteli Mokango F 26 5.90 — — 1 5 5% — 1 —
FC Lugano FC Lugano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. von Ballmoos G 90 6.50 — — — 30 23% — — —
H. Delcroix D 90 6.70 — — — 45 39% 1 — —
L. Mai D 90 6.50 — — 1 69 64% 1 — —
A. Papadopoulos D 90 7.90 1 — 2 38 36% 4 — —
Y. Cimignani M 68 7.30 — — — 29 24% 1 — —
U. Bislimi M 90 7.00 — — — 72 62% 3 — —
A. Grgić M 89 6.50 — — 1 55 52% — 1 —
M. Zanotti M 90 6.30 — — 1 36 30% — — —
G. Koutsias F 68 7.90 1 — 3 23 20% 1 — —
H. Mahmoud F 74 7.50 — 1 1 18 17% 2 — —
K. Behrens F 90 6.30 — — 2 16 11% — — —
A. Kendouci M 1 — — — — 2 1% — — —
E. Alioski D 22 6.60 — — — 10 7% — — —
E. Pihlström F 22 7.20 — — 1 10 9% 2 — —
Mattia Bottani F 16 6.20 — — — 7 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Sion vs FC Lugano?
The final score was FC Sion 2–2 FC Lugano.
What did the model predict before FC Sion vs FC Lugano?
The model assigned 57% probability to a FC Sion win, 21% to a draw, and 20% to an FC Lugano win.