✗Model wrong — prediction FC Sion, result Draw
Y. Chouaref
(ast. R. Nivokazi)
55'
Baltazar
(ast. A. Kabacalman)
63'
31'
(ast. M. Belhadj)
G. Koutsias
90'
A. Papadopoulos
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Sion a 57% win probability (draw 21%, FC Lugano 20%). The final result was FC Sion 2–2 FC Lugano. In 3 previous meetings, FC Sion have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for FC Lugano.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
7
1.12
Actual xG
2.12
5
Saves
1
49%
Possession
51%
4
Corners
4
17
Tackles
15
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
7'
A. Grgic
31'
ast. M. Belhadj ·
G. Koutsias⚽
N. Hefti
51'
K. Hajrizi
54'
⚽Y. Chouaref
· ast. R. Nivokazi
55'
Baltazar
58'
⚽Baltazar
· ast. A. Kabacalman
63'
J. Lukembila
/ L. Chipperfield
64'
F. Surdez
/ W. Boteli
64'
67'
E. Alioski
/
Y. Cimignani
68'
E. Pihlstrom
/
G. Koutsias
R. Nivokazi
/ T. Berdayes
70'
74'
M. Bottani
/
M. Belhadj
A. Kabacalman
/ N. Sow
80'
Y. Chouaref
/ D. Rrudhani
80'
89'
A. Kendouci
/
A. Grgic
W. Boteli
90'+1
90'
A. Papadopoulos⚽
Pre-match prediction
57.36%
FC
21.67%
X ←
20.97%
FC
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.67%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.93
1.12
-0.81
0.91
2.12
+1.21
FC Lugano dominated by xG (2.12 vs 1.12).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Anthony Racioppi
G
Anthony Racioppi
G
20
Nias Hefti
D
Nias Hefti
D
17
J. Kronig
D
J. Kronig
D
28
K. Hajrizi
D
K. Hajrizi
D
14
Numa Lavanchy
D
Numa Lavanchy
D
8
Baltazar Costa
1 ⚽
M
Baltazar Costa
1 ⚽
M
88
Ali Kabacalman
1 👟
81'
M
Ali Kabacalman
1 👟
81'
M
19
Franck Surdez
64'
M
Franck Surdez
64'
M
39
Josias Lukembila
64'
M
Josias Lukembila
64'
M
7
I. Chouaref
1 ⚽
81'
M
I. Chouaref
1 ⚽
81'
M
33
R. Nivokazi
1 👟
70'
F
R. Nivokazi
1 👟
70'
F
Bench
22
Adrien Llukes
M
Adrien Llukes
M
77
Donat Rrudhani
9'
M
Donat Rrudhani
9'
M
12
Francesco Ruberto
G
Francesco Ruberto
G
25
Lamine Diack
M
Lamine Diack
M
21
Liam Scott Chipperfield
26'
M
Liam Scott Chipperfield
26'
M
5
Noé Sow
9'
D
Noé Sow
9'
D
38
Ryan Kessler
D
Ryan Kessler
D
29
Théo Berdayes
20'
F
Théo Berdayes
20'
F
13
Winsley Boteli Mokango
26'
F
Winsley Boteli Mokango
26'
F
16
David von Ballmoos
G
David von Ballmoos
G
3
Hannes Delcroix
D
Hannes Delcroix
D
17
Lars Lukas Mai
D
Lars Lukas Mai
D
6
A. Papadopoulos
1 ⚽
D
A. Papadopoulos
1 ⚽
D
21
Yanis Cimignani
68'
M
Yanis Cimignani
68'
M
25
U. Bislimi
M
U. Bislimi
M
8
A. Grgić
89'
M
A. Grgić
89'
M
46
Mattia Zanotti
M
Mattia Zanotti
M
9
Georgios Koutsias
1 ⚽
68'
F
Georgios Koutsias
1 ⚽
68'
F
29
H. Mahmoud
1 👟
74'
F
H. Mahmoud
1 👟
74'
F
91
K. Behrens
F
K. Behrens
F
Bench
14
Ahmed Kendouci
1'
M
Ahmed Kendouci
1'
M
1
Amir Saipi
G
Amir Saipi
G
44
Carbone
D
Carbone
D
4
Damian Kelvin
D
Damian Kelvin
D
24
Elias Pihlström
22'
F
Elias Pihlström
22'
F
7
Ezgjan Alioski
22'
D
Ezgjan Alioski
22'
D
23
Gjan Ajdin
M
Gjan Ajdin
M
31
Jason Parente
M
Jason Parente
M
10
Mattia Bottani
16'
F
Mattia Bottani
16'
F
Best on the pitch
I. Chouaref
M · FC
9.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 32 pass
Baltazar Costa
M · FC
8.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 56 pass
Georgios Koutsias
F · FC
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 23 pass
A. Papadopoulos
D · FC
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 38 pass
Ali Kabacalman
M · FC
7.90
1 👟
· 75 pass
H. Mahmoud
F · FC
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 18 pass
FC Sion — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Racioppi | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Nias Hefti | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 8 | 1 | — |
| J. Kronig | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Hajrizi | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| Numa Lavanchy | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Baltazar Costa | M | 90 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 56 | 45% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ali Kabacalman | M | 81 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 75 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| Franck Surdez | M | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Josias Lukembila | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Chouaref | M | 81 | 9.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 32 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Nivokazi | F | 70 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Donat Rrudhani | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Liam Scott Chipperfield | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Noé Sow | D | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Théo Berdayes | F | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Winsley Boteli Mokango | F | 26 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
FC Lugano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David von Ballmoos | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Hannes Delcroix | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Lars Lukas Mai | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Papadopoulos | D | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 38 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| Yanis Cimignani | M | 68 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| U. Bislimi | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 72 | 62% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Grgić | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 52% | — | 1 | — |
| Mattia Zanotti | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Georgios Koutsias | F | 68 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Mahmoud | F | 74 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Behrens | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Kendouci | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Elias Pihlström | F | 22 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Ezgjan Alioski | D | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Mattia Bottani | F | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Sion vs FC Lugano?
The final score was FC Sion 2–2 FC Lugano.
What did the model predict before FC Sion vs FC Lugano?
The model assigned 57% probability to a FC Sion win, 21% to a draw, and 20% to an FC Lugano win.