FC Sion 2–2 FC Lugano — pre-match prediction — Super League — May 14, 2026

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Super League · Championship Group - 37 May 14, 2026 16:30 Stade de Tourbillon, Sion

FC Sion

#3 · 26 pts

2 – 2

Final score

FC Lugano

#1 · 34 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction FC Sion, result Draw

Y. Chouaref (ast. R. Nivokazi) 55'

Baltazar (ast. A. Kabacalman) 63'

31' (ast. M. Belhadj) G. Koutsias

90' A. Papadopoulos

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Sion a 57% win probability (draw 21%, FC Lugano 20%). The final result was FC Sion 2–2 FC Lugano. In 4 previous meetings, FC Sion have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for FC Lugano.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.12

Actual xG

2.12

Saves

49%

Possession

51%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

A. Grgic

31'

ast. M. Belhadj · G. Koutsias⚽

N. Hefti

51'

K. Hajrizi

54'

⚽Y. Chouaref · ast. R. Nivokazi

55'

Baltazar

58'

⚽Baltazar · ast. A. Kabacalman

63'

↕ J. Lukembila / L. Chipperfield

64'

↕ F. Surdez / W. Boteli

64'

67'

E. Alioski / Y. Cimignani ↕

68'

E. Pihlstrom / G. Koutsias ↕

↕ R. Nivokazi / T. Berdayes

70'

74'

M. Bottani / M. Belhadj ↕

↕ A. Kabacalman / N. Sow

80'

↕ Y. Chouaref / D. Rrudhani

80'

89'

A. Kendouci / A. Grgic ↕

W. Boteli

90'+1

90'

A. Papadopoulos⚽

Pre-match prediction

57.36%

21.67%

X ←

20.97%

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 21.67% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

1.93

1.12

-0.81

0.91

2.12

+1.21

FC Lugano dominated by xG (2.12 vs 1.12). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Lugano	13	34
2	BSC Young Boys	13	28
3	FC Sion	13	26
4	FC ST. Gallen	13	22
5	FC Zurich	13	21
6	Servette FC	13	17
7	FC Basel 1893	13	15
8	FC Thun	13	14
9	FC Luzern	13	13
10	Grasshoppers	13	11
11	FC Vaduz	13	10
12	Lausanne	13	7

Lineups

FC Sion 4-2-3-1

A. Racioppi G 7.20

N. Hefti D 6.60

J. Kronig D 6.90

K. Hajrizi D 6.00

N. Lavanchy D 6.20

Baltazar Costa 1 ⚽ M 8.60

A. Kabacalman 1 👟 81' M 7.90

F. Surdez 64' M 7.20

J. Lukembila 64' M 6.90

I. Chouaref 1 ⚽ 81' M 9.30

R. Nivokazi 1 👟 70' F 6.90

Bench

A. Llukes M

D. Rrudhani 9' M 6.70

F. Ruberto G

Lamine Diack M

L. Chipperfield 26' M 6.30

N. Sow 9' D 6.20

R. Kessler D

T. Berdayes 20' F 6.70

Winsley Boteli Mokango 26' F 5.90

FC Lugano 3-4-2-1

D. von Ballmoos G 6.50

H. Delcroix D 6.70

L. Mai D 6.50

A. Papadopoulos 1 ⚽ D 7.90

Y. Cimignani 68' M 7.30

U. Bislimi M 7.00

A. Grgić 89' M 6.50

M. Zanotti M 6.30

G. Koutsias 1 ⚽ 68' F 7.90

H. Mahmoud 1 👟 74' F 7.50

K. Behrens F 6.30

Bench

A. Kendouci 1' M

Amir Saipi G

D. Kelvin D

E. Alioski 22' D 6.60

E. Pihlström 22' F 7.20

G. Ajdin M

Jason Parente M

João Victor Schlickmann Carbone D

Mattia Bottani 16' F 6.20

Best on the pitch

I. Chouaref

M · FC

9.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 32 pass

Baltazar Costa

M · FC

8.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 56 pass

G. Koutsias

F · FC

7.90

1 ⚽

3 shots · 23 pass

A. Papadopoulos

D · FC

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 38 pass

A. Kabacalman

M · FC

7.90

1 👟

· 75 pass

H. Mahmoud

F · FC

7.50

1 👟

1 shots · 18 pass

FC Sion — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Racioppi	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	36	28%	—	—	—
N. Hefti	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	39	31%	8	1	—
J. Kronig	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	52	50%	1	—	—
K. Hajrizi	D	90	6.00	—	—	1	38	34%	—	1	—
N. Lavanchy	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	39	37%	—	—	—
Baltazar Costa	M	90	8.60	1	—	1	56	45%	1	1	—
A. Kabacalman	M	81	7.90	—	1	—	75	73%	1	—	—
F. Surdez	M	64	7.20	—	—	—	18	16%	1	—	—
J. Lukembila	M	64	6.90	—	—	1	17	11%	1	—	—
I. Chouaref	M	81	9.30	1	—	2	32	30%	2	—	—
R. Nivokazi	F	70	6.90	—	1	2	9	8%	—	—	—
D. Rrudhani	M	9	6.70	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
L. Chipperfield	M	26	6.30	—	—	—	2	1%	1	—	—
N. Sow	D	9	6.20	—	—	—	3	2%	1	—	—
T. Berdayes	F	20	6.70	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
Winsley Boteli Mokango	F	26	5.90	—	—	1	5	5%	—	1	—

FC Lugano — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
D. von Ballmoos	G	90	6.50	—	—	—	30	23%	—	—	—
H. Delcroix	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	45	39%	1	—	—
L. Mai	D	90	6.50	—	—	1	69	64%	1	—	—
A. Papadopoulos	D	90	7.90	1	—	2	38	36%	4	—	—
Y. Cimignani	M	68	7.30	—	—	—	29	24%	1	—	—
U. Bislimi	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	72	62%	3	—	—
A. Grgić	M	89	6.50	—	—	1	55	52%	—	1	—
M. Zanotti	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	36	30%	—	—	—
G. Koutsias	F	68	7.90	1	—	3	23	20%	1	—	—
H. Mahmoud	F	74	7.50	—	1	1	18	17%	2	—	—
K. Behrens	F	90	6.30	—	—	2	16	11%	—	—	—
A. Kendouci	M	1	—	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
E. Alioski	D	22	6.60	—	—	—	10	7%	—	—	—
E. Pihlström	F	22	7.20	—	—	1	10	9%	2	—	—
Mattia Bottani	F	16	6.20	—	—	—	7	5%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of FC Sion vs FC Lugano?

The final score was FC Sion 2–2 FC Lugano.

What did the model predict before FC Sion vs FC Lugano?

The model assigned 57% probability to a FC Sion win, 21% to a draw, and 20% to an FC Lugano win.