Gimnasia M. 3–2 Velez Sarsfield — pre-match prediction — Liga Profesional — April 03, 2026

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Liga Profesional · Regular Season - 13 April 03, 2026 22:00

Gimnasia M.

#11 · 19 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Velez Sarsfield

#3 · 28 pts

E. Munoz (ast. F. Lencioni) 45'

A. Modica (ast. F. Lencioni) 81'

E. Mammana 90' (og)

3' (ast. E. Gomez) F. Monzon

11' (ast. D. Valdes) M. Lanzini

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Velez Sarsfield a 34% win probability (draw 34%, Gimnasia M. 31%). The final result was Gimnasia M. 3–2 Velez Sarsfield.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

44%

Possession

56%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

ast. E. Gomez · F. Monzon⚽

11'

ast. D. Valdes · M. Lanzini⚽

45'

Matías Pellegrini

⚽E. Munoz · ast. F. Lencioni

45'

Juan Franco

46'

51'

R. Aliendro / D. Valdes ↕

↕ B. Andrada / J. Ceballos

55'

↕ U. Sanchez / I. Sabatini

55'

61'

M. Arias / M. Pellegrini ↕

↕ E. Fernandez / V. Simoni

67'

Facundo Lencioni

73'

75'

Elías Gómez

⚽A. Modica · ast. F. Lencioni

81'

↕ A. Modica / S. Rodriguez

84'

↕ J. Franco / I. Cortez

84'

89'

B. Romero / M. Lanzini ↕

90'

D. Godoy / F. Monzon ↕

⚽E. Mammana (og)

90'

Pre-match prediction

31.01%

Gimnasia ←

34.44%

34.55%

Velez

we assigned to the actual result (Gimnasia M.) 31.01% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Gimnasia

0.93

—

Velez

1.06

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	31
1	Independ. Rivadavia	14	30
1	Independ. Rivadavia	16	34
2	Estudiantes L.P.	14	27
2	Boca Juniors	16	30
2	River Plate	16	29
3	River Plate	14	26
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	28
3	Argentinos JRS	16	29
4	Rosario Central	16	28
4	Velez Sarsfield	14	26
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	26
5	Argentinos JRS	14	26
5	Belgrano Cordoba	16	26
5	Independiente	16	24
6	Lanus	16	24
6	Boca Juniors	14	24
6	Gimnasia L.P.	16	26
7	Huracan	16	22
7	Talleres Cordoba	14	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	22
8	Union Santa Fe	16	21
8	Rosario Central	14	24
8	Racing Club	16	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	21
9	Barracas Central	16	21
9	Belgrano Cordoba	14	23
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	19
10	Lanus	14	22
10	Tigre	16	20
11	Sarmiento Junin	16	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	19
11	Independiente	14	21
12	Banfield	16	18
12	Platense	16	16
12	Huracan	14	21
13	Barracas Central	14	20
13	Atletico Tucuman	16	14
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	16
14	Gimnasia L.P.	14	20
14	Aldosivi	16	8
14	Newells Old Boys	16	15
15	Union Santa Fe	14	19
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	11
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	16	5
16	Tigre	14	19
17	Defensa Y Justicia	14	19
18	Racing Club	14	19
19	San Lorenzo	14	19
20	Instituto Cordoba	14	17
21	Platense	14	16
22	Sarmiento Junin	14	16
23	Gimnasia M.	14	16
24	Central Cordoba de Santiago	14	15
25	Banfield	14	14
26	Newells Old Boys	14	13
27	Atletico Tucuman	14	10
28	Deportivo Riestra	14	7
29	Aldosivi	14	7
30	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	14	5

Lineups

Gimnasia M. 4-1-4-1

C. Rigamonti G 5.90

F. Saavedra D 6.70

E. Munoz 1 ⚽ D 7.60

D 6.50

J. Franco 84' D 5.90

N. Barboza M 6.70

F. Lencioni 2 👟 M 7.50

E. Fernandez 67' M 6.70

U. Sanchez 55' M 6.60

B. Andrada 55' M 7.00

A. Modica 1 ⚽ 84' F 7.90

Bench

I. Cortez 12' D 6.90

L. Cingolani F

M. Recalde M

V. Simoni 29' F 6.30

Velez Sarsfield 4-2-3-1

G 6.30

Elías Gómez 1 👟 D 6.00

Lisandro Magallán D 6.30

Emanuel Mammana 1 ⚽ D 6.30

Joaquín García D 6.20

Claudio Baeza M 6.60

Tobías Andrada M 6.30

Manuel Lanzini 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.70

D. Valdés 1 👟 51' M 6.90

Matías Pellegrini 61' M 6.90

F. Monzón 1 ⚽ F 7.00

Bench

Aarón Quirós D

Dilan Godoy 6' F

Rodrigo Aliendro 45' M 6.50

Best on the pitch

A. Modica

F · Gimnasia

7.90

1 ⚽

3 shots · 13 pass

Manuel Lanzini

M · Velez

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 51 pass

E. Munoz

D · Gimnasia

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 41 pass

F. Lencioni

M · Gimnasia

7.50

2 👟

4 shots · 20 pass

F. Monzón

F · Velez

7.00

1 ⚽

2 shots · 24 pass

B. Andrada

M · Gimnasia

7.00

1 shots · 14 pass

Gimnasia M. — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
C. Rigamonti	G	96	5.90	—	—	—	28	19%	—	—	—
F. Saavedra	D	96	6.70	—	—	1	46	32%	1	—	—
E. Munoz	D	96	7.60	1	—	1	41	37%	1	—	—
	D	96	6.50	—	—	—	34	23%	2	—	—
J. Franco	D	84	5.90	—	—	—	23	19%	1	1	—
N. Barboza	M	96	6.70	—	—	—	40	37%	2	—	—
F. Lencioni	M	96	7.50	—	2	4	20	15%	—	1	—
E. Fernandez	M	67	6.70	—	—	—	37	30%	1	—	—
U. Sanchez	M	55	6.60	—	—	2	18	15%	1	—	—
B. Andrada	M	55	7.00	—	—	1	14	12%	1	—	—
A. Modica	F	84	7.90	1	—	3	13	11%	—	—	—
I. Cortez	D	12	6.90	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
V. Simoni	F	29	6.30	—	—	1	7	6%	—	—	—

Velez Sarsfield — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	6.30	—	—	—	23	10%	—	—	—
Elías Gómez	D	96	6.00	—	1	—	42	33%	2	1	—
Lisandro Magallán	D	96	6.30	—	—	—	51	42%	2	—	—
Emanuel Mammana	D	96	6.30	1	—	—	46	40%	2	—	—
Joaquín García	D	96	6.20	—	—	—	31	29%	2	—	—
Claudio Baeza	M	96	6.60	—	—	1	73	62%	1	—	—
Tobías Andrada	M	96	6.30	—	—	—	46	40%	5	—	—
Manuel Lanzini	M	89	7.70	1	—	2	51	43%	—	—	—
D. Valdés	M	51	6.90	—	1	1	26	20%	—	—	—
Matías Pellegrini	M	61	6.90	—	—	1	22	14%	3	1	—
F. Monzón	F	90	7.00	1	—	2	24	14%	—	—	—
Dilan Godoy	F	6	—	—	—	1	1	—	—	—	—
Rodrigo Aliendro	M	45	6.50	—	—	1	12	9%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Gimnasia M. vs Velez Sarsfield?

The final score was Gimnasia M. 3–2 Velez Sarsfield.

What did the model predict before Gimnasia M. vs Velez Sarsfield?

The model assigned 31% probability to a Gimnasia M. win, 34% to a draw, and 34% to an Velez Sarsfield win.