← Scottish Premiership
#1 · 70 pts
3 – 1
Final score
#4 · 58 pts
C. Braga (ast. S. Findlay) 61'
L. Shankland 87' (pen.)
P. Kabore (ast. B. Baningime) 90'+2
50' (ast. L. Fadinger) E. Longelo

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heart Of Midlothian a 46% win probability (draw 29%, Motherwell 23%). The final result was Heart Of Midlothian 3–1 Motherwell. In 3 previous meetings, Heart Of Midlothian have won 0 times, with 3 draws and 0 wins for Motherwell.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
3
1.70
Actual xG
2.04
2
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
6
Corners
4
16
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
19'
P. McGinn
50'
ast. L. Fadinger · E. Longelo
C. Braga · ast. S. Findlay
61'
B. Spittal / S. Kerjota
66'
A. Kyziridis / P. Kabore
66'
O. McEntee / M. Steinwender
79'
S. Kingsley / J. Altena
79'
82'
I. Said
L. Shankland (pen.)
87'
88'
C. Hendry / E. Longelo
88'
J. McGhee / T. Sparrow
89'
O. Priestman / L. Fadinger
89'
S. Nicholson / I. Said
P. Kabore · ast. B. Baningime
90'+2
P. Kabore
90'+3
C. Braga / J. McCart
90'
Pre-match prediction
46.28%
Heart ←
29.79%
X
23.93%
Motherwell
we assigned to the actual result (Heart Of Midlothian) 46.28% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Heart
1.26
1.70
+0.44
Motherwell
1.03
2.04
+1.01
Motherwell dominated by xG (2.04 vs 1.70). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 33 70
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 37 80
1 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 37 44
2 Rangers Rangers 33 69
2 Celtic Celtic 37 79
2 Aberdeen Aberdeen 37 40
3 Dundee Dundee 37 39
3 Celtic Celtic 33 67
3 Rangers Rangers 37 69
4 Motherwell Motherwell 37 58
4 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 37 37
4 Motherwell Motherwell 33 54
5 ST Mirren ST Mirren 37 33
5 Hibernian Hibernian 33 51
5 Hibernian Hibernian 37 57
6 Livingston Livingston 37 21
6 Falkirk Falkirk 33 46
6 Falkirk Falkirk 37 49
7 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 33 40
8 Aberdeen Aberdeen 33 33
9 Dundee Dundee 33 33
10 ST Mirren ST Mirren 33 30
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 33 28
12 Livingston Livingston 33 16
Lineups
25
G 6.90
3 Stephen Kingsley Stephen Kingsley 79' D 6.90
19
1 👟 D 7.20
4
D 7.00
31
Oisin McEntee 79' D 6.60
16 Blair Spittal Blair Spittal 66' M 6.70
14 Cameron Devlin Cameron Devlin M 7.50
6
1 👟 M 6.60
89 Alexandros Kyziridis Alexandros Kyziridis 66' M 6.30
10 Cláudio Braga Cláudio Braga 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.90
9 Lawrence Shankland Lawrence Shankland 1 ⚽ F 6.90
Bench
99 Islam Chesnokov Islam Chesnokov M
23 Jordi Altena Jordi Altena 11' D 6.30
15 Michael Steinwender Michael Steinwender 11' D 6.60
11 Pierre Landry Kaboré Pierre Landry Kaboré 1 ⚽ 24' F 8.20
Motherwell Motherwell 4-2-3-1
13
G 6.20
2 Stephen O'Donnell Stephen O'Donnell D 6.30
57 Stephen Welsh Stephen Welsh D 5.60
16
P. McGinn D 5.70
7 Tom Sparrow Tom Sparrow 88' D 5.90
20 Elliot Watt Elliot Watt M 6.90
12 Lukas Fadinger Lukas Fadinger 1 👟 89' M 6.50
45 Emmanuel Longelo Emmanuel Longelo 1 ⚽ 88' M 6.90
21 Elijah Just Elijah Just M 6.70
90 Ibrahim Said Ibrahim Said 89' M 5.90
18 Tawanda Maswanhise Tawanda Maswanhise F 6.30
Bench
66 Callum Hendry Callum Hendry 9' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Pierre Landry Kaboré
Pierre Landry Kaboré
F · Heart
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 3 pass
Cláudio Braga
Cláudio Braga
F · Heart
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
Cameron Devlin
Cameron Devlin
M · Heart
7.50
· 36 pass
D · Heart
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 42 pass
D · Heart
7.00
2 shots · 50 pass
Emmanuel Longelo
Emmanuel Longelo
M · Motherwell
6.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 13 pass
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 32 13%
Stephen Kingsley D 79 6.90 21 16% 1
D 90 7.20 1 1 42 33%
D 90 7.00 2 50 42% 3
Oisin McEntee D 79 6.60 1 26 19% 2
Blair Spittal M 66 6.70 1 19 12% 1
Cameron Devlin M 90 7.50 36 30% 4
M 90 6.60 1 23 22% 1
Alexandros Kyziridis M 66 6.30 19 13%
Cláudio Braga F 89 7.90 1 1 15 10% 2
Lawrence Shankland F 90 6.90 1 4 16 7% 2
Jordi Altena D 11 6.30 4 1%
Michael Steinwender D 11 6.60
Pierre Landry Kaboré F 24 8.20 1 2 3 2% 1
Motherwell Motherwell — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 39 28%
Stephen O'Donnell D 90 6.30 30 18% 1
Stephen Welsh D 90 5.60 39 27% 2
P. McGinn D 90 5.70 48 40% 1 1
Tom Sparrow D 88 5.90 41 31% 1
Elliot Watt M 90 6.90 1 66 53% 1
Lukas Fadinger M 89 6.50 1 1 23 22% 2
Emmanuel Longelo M 88 6.90 1 3 13 10% 1
Elijah Just M 90 6.70 1 28 25% 1
Ibrahim Said M 89 5.90 1 20 18% 1
Tawanda Maswanhise F 90 6.30 3 6 4% 1
Callum Hendry F 9 6.30 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Heart Of Midlothian vs Motherwell?
The final score was Heart Of Midlothian 3–1 Motherwell.
What did the model predict before Heart Of Midlothian vs Motherwell?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Heart Of Midlothian win, 29% to a draw, and 23% to an Motherwell win.