Scottish Premiership · 1st Phase - 33 April 11, 2026 16:00 Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh

Heart Of Midlothian

#3 · 12 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Motherwell

#5 · 8 pts

C. Braga (ast. S. Findlay) 61'

L. Shankland 87' (pen.)

P. Kabore (ast. B. Baningime) 90'+2

50' (ast. L. Fadinger) E. Longelo

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heart Of Midlothian a 46% win probability (draw 29%, Motherwell 23%). The final result was Heart Of Midlothian 3–1 Motherwell. In 3 previous meetings, Heart Of Midlothian have won 0 times, with 3 draws and 0 wins for Motherwell.

Match statistics

12

Total shots

10

5

Shots on target

3

1.70

Actual xG

2.04

2

Saves

2

47%

Possession

53%

6

Corners

4

16

Tackles

11

1

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

19'

P. McGinn

50'

ast. L. Fadinger · E. Longelo⚽

⚽C. Braga · ast. S. Findlay

61'

↕ B. Spittal / S. Kerjota

66'

↕ A. Kyziridis / P. Kabore

66'

↕ O. McEntee / M. Steinwender

79'

↕ S. Kingsley / J. Altena

79'

82'

I. Said

⚽L. Shankland (pen.)

87'

88'

C. Hendry / E. Longelo ↕

88'

J. McGhee / T. Sparrow ↕

89'

O. Priestman / L. Fadinger ↕

89'

S. Nicholson / I. Said ↕

⚽P. Kabore · ast. B. Baningime

90'+2

P. Kabore

90'+3

↕ C. Braga / J. McCart

90'

Pre-match prediction

46.28%

Heart ←

29.79%

X

23.93%

Motherwell

we assigned to the actual result (Heart Of Midlothian) 46.28% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Heart

1.26

1.70

+0.44

Motherwell

1.03

2.04

+1.01

Motherwell dominated by xG (2.04 vs 1.70). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Celtic	6	18
2	Rangers	6	13
3	Heart Of Midlothian	5	12
4	ST Mirren	6	10
5	Motherwell	5	8
6	Dundee	6	7
7	ST Johnstone	6	7
8	Hibernian	5	6
9	Dundee Utd	6	5
10	Aberdeen	5	4
11	Falkirk	5	2
12	Kilmarnock	5	1

Lineups

Heart Of Midlothian 4-4-2

25

G 6.90

3 Stephen Kingsley 79' D 6.90

19

1 👟 D 7.20

4

D 7.00

31 O. McEntee 79' D 6.60

16 B. Spittal 66' M 6.70

14 C. Devlin M 7.50

6

1 👟 M 6.60

89 Alexandros Kyziridis 66' M 6.30

10 Cláudio Braga 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.90

9 L. Shankland 1 ⚽ F 6.90

Bench

99 I. Chesnokov M

23 J. Altena 11' D 6.30

15 M. Steinwender 11' D 6.60

11 P. Kabore 1 ⚽ 24' F 8.20

Motherwell 4-2-3-1

13

G 6.20

2 S. O'Donnell D 6.30

57 S. Welsh D 5.60

16

P. McGinn D 5.70

7 T. Sparrow 88' D 5.90

20 Elliot Watt M 6.90

12 L. Fadinger 1 👟 89' M 6.50

45 M. Emmanuel 1 ⚽ 88' M 6.90

21 E. Just M 6.70

90 I. Said 89' M 5.90

18 Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise F 6.30

Bench

66 Callum Hendry 9' F 6.30

Best on the pitch

P. Kabore

F · Heart

8.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 3 pass

Cláudio Braga

F · Heart

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 15 pass

C. Devlin

M · Heart

7.50

· 36 pass

D · Heart

7.20

1 👟

1 shots · 42 pass

D · Heart

7.00

2 shots · 50 pass

M. Emmanuel

M · Motherwell

6.90

1 ⚽

3 shots · 13 pass

Heart Of Midlothian — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	32	13%	—	—	—
Stephen Kingsley	D	79	6.90	—	—	—	21	16%	1	—	—
	D	90	7.20	—	1	1	42	33%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.00	—	—	2	50	42%	3	—	—
O. McEntee	D	79	6.60	—	—	1	26	19%	2	—	—
B. Spittal	M	66	6.70	—	—	1	19	12%	1	—	—
C. Devlin	M	90	7.50	—	—	—	36	30%	4	—	—
	M	90	6.60	—	1	—	23	22%	1	—	—
Alexandros Kyziridis	M	66	6.30	—	—	—	19	13%	—	—	—
Cláudio Braga	F	89	7.90	1	—	1	15	10%	2	—	—
L. Shankland	F	90	6.90	1	—	4	16	7%	2	—	—
J. Altena	D	11	6.30	—	—	—	4	1%	—	—	—
M. Steinwender	D	11	6.60	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
P. Kabore	F	24	8.20	1	—	2	3	2%	—	1	—

Motherwell — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	39	28%	—	—	—
S. O'Donnell	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	30	18%	1	—	—
S. Welsh	D	90	5.60	—	—	—	39	27%	2	—	—
P. McGinn	D	90	5.70	—	—	—	48	40%	1	1	—
T. Sparrow	D	88	5.90	—	—	—	41	31%	1	—	—
Elliot Watt	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	66	53%	1	—	—
L. Fadinger	M	89	6.50	—	1	1	23	22%	2	—	—
M. Emmanuel	M	88	6.90	1	—	3	13	10%	1	—	—
E. Just	M	90	6.70	—	—	1	28	25%	1	—	—
I. Said	M	89	5.90	—	—	1	20	18%	—	1	—
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise	F	90	6.30	—	—	3	6	4%	1	—	—
Callum Hendry	F	9	6.30	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—