← Championship
Championship · Regular Season - 44 April 21, 2026 20:45
Oxford United
#22 · 47 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Wrexham
#7 · 71 pts
40' (ast. S. Smith) J. Windass

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oxford United a 48% win probability (draw 28%, Wrexham 22%). The final result was Oxford United 0–1 Wrexham. In 1 previous meetings, Oxford United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Wrexham.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
4
0.76
Actual xG
1.34
3
Saves
4
45%
Possession
55%
10
Corners
5
9
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
32'
R. Longman
40'
ast. S. Smith · J. Windass⚽
56'
I. Kabore / R. Longman ↕
↕ M. Peart-Harris / A. Emakhu
56'
↕ J. McDonnell / W. Vaulks
56'
A. Emakhu
62'
66'
I. Kabore
↕ Y. E. Konak / M. Harris
67'
↕ S. Long / H. ter Avest
67'
70'
L. O'Brien / O. Rathbone ↕
71'
K. Moore / S. Smith ↕
↕ B. Spencer / J. Donley
88'
S. Mills
90'+2
90'+3
M. Cleworth / J. Windass ↕
90'+4
G. Dobson
Pre-match prediction
48.11%
Oxford
28.95%
X
22.94%
Wrexham ←
we assigned to the actual result (Wrexham) 22.94% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Oxford
1.39
0.76
-0.63
Wrexham
0.69
1.34
+0.65
Wrexham dominated by xG (1.34 vs 0.76). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Oxford United Oxford United 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.70
15
B. Spencer 88' D 6.20
3
C. Brown D 6.70
6
M. Helik D 6.50
2
S. Long 67' D 6.90
5
Y. E. Konak 67' M 6.70
38
J. McDonnell 56' M 6.60
44
M. Peart-Harris 56' M 6.20
8
C. Brannagan M 7.00
17
S. Mills M 7.00
27 W. Lankshear W. Lankshear F 6.20
Bench
10
A. Emakhu 34' F 6.90
24
H. ter Avest 23' D 7.00
33
J. Donley 2' M
9
M. Harris 23' F 6.30
4
W. Vaulks 34' M 6.60
Wrexham Wrexham 3-5-1-1
21
G 7.20
2
Callum Doyle D 7.20
24
D. Scarr D 7.30
5
D 8.20
14
G. Thomason M 7.70
20
Oliver Rathbone 70' M 7.20
37
Matty James M 6.90
15
G. Dobson M 7.00
47
R. Longman 56' M 6.20
10 J. Windass J. Windass 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.90
28
S. Smith 1 👟 71' F 6.70
Bench
11 B. Cadamarteri B. Cadamarteri F
12 I. Kaboré I. Kaboré 34' D 6.90
19 K. Moore K. Moore 19' F 6.90
4
Max Cleworth 1' D
33
Nathan Broadhead F
Best on the pitch
D · Wrexham
8.20
2 shots · 48 pass
J. Windass
J. Windass
F · Wrexham
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 31 pass
G. Thomason
M · Wrexham
7.70
· 36 pass
D. Scarr
D · Wrexham
7.30
· 48 pass
Oliver Rathbone
M · Wrexham
7.20
· 38 pass
G · Wrexham
7.20
· 22 pass
Oxford United Oxford United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 32 18% — — —
B. Spencer D 88 6.20 — — — 32 25% 1 — —
C. Brown D 90 6.70 — — — 47 31% — — —
M. Helik D 90 6.50 — — 2 36 28% — — —
S. Long D 67 6.90 — — — 28 20% 1 — —
Y. E. Konak M 67 6.70 — — — 24 19% 1 — —
J. McDonnell M 56 6.60 — — — 10 5% 3 — —
M. Peart-Harris M 56 6.20 — — — 12 5% 1 — —
C. Brannagan M 90 7.00 — — 1 32 23% — — —
S. Mills M 90 7.00 — — 1 22 15% 1 1 —
W. Lankshear F 90 6.20 — — 2 16 9% — — —
A. Emakhu F 34 6.90 — — 2 8 6% — 1 —
H. ter Avest D 23 7.00 — — — 20 17% — — —
J. Donley M 2 — — — — 1 1% — — —
M. Harris F 23 6.30 — — 1 3 2% 1 — —
W. Vaulks M 34 6.60 — — — 25 18% — — —
Wrexham Wrexham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 22 7% — — —
Callum Doyle D 90 7.20 — — 2 77 55% 1 — —
D. Scarr D 90 7.30 — — — 48 43% — — —
D 90 8.20 — — 2 48 37% 3 — —
G. Thomason M 90 7.70 — — — 36 31% 1 — —
Oliver Rathbone M 70 7.20 — — — 38 35% 3 — —
Matty James M 90 6.90 — — — 51 40% 1 — —
G. Dobson M 90 7.00 — — — 49 42% — 1 —
R. Longman M 56 6.20 — — — 16 12% 1 1 —
J. Windass F 89 7.90 1 — 2 31 25% — — —
S. Smith F 71 6.70 — 1 2 14 7% — — —
I. Kaboré D 34 6.90 — — — 6 4% — 1 —
K. Moore F 19 6.90 — — — 6 3% — — —
Max Cleworth D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Oxford United vs Wrexham?
The final score was Oxford United 0–1 Wrexham.
What did the model predict before Oxford United vs Wrexham?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Oxford United win, 28% to a draw, and 22% to an Wrexham win.