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Championship · Regular Season - 44 April 21, 2026 20:45
Oxford United
0 – 1
Final score
Wrexham
#16 · 7 pts
40' (ast. S. Smith) J. Windass
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Oxford United a 48% win probability (draw 28%, Wrexham 22%). The final result was Oxford United 0–1 Wrexham. In 1 previous meetings, Oxford United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Wrexham.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
4
0.76
Actual xG
1.34
3
Saves
4
45%
Possession
55%
10
Corners
5
9
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
32'
R. Longman
40'
ast. S. Smith · J. Windass⚽
56'
I. Kabore / R. Longman ↕
↕ M. Peart-Harris / A. Emakhu
56'
↕ J. McDonnell / W. Vaulks
56'
A. Emakhu
62'
66'
I. Kabore
↕ Y. E. Konak / M. Harris
67'
↕ S. Long / H. ter Avest
67'
70'
L. O'Brien / O. Rathbone ↕
71'
K. Moore / S. Smith ↕
↕ B. Spencer / J. Donley
88'
S. Mills
90'+2
90'+3
M. Cleworth / J. Windass ↕
90'+4
G. Dobson
Pre-match prediction
48.11%
Oxford
28.95%
X
22.94%
Wrexham ←
we assigned to the actual result (Wrexham) 22.94% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Oxford
1.39
0.76
-0.63
Wrexham
0.69
1.34
+0.65
Wrexham dominated by xG (1.34 vs 0.76). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 West Ham West Ham 7 14
2 West Brom West Brom 7 14
3 QPR QPR 7 12
4 Swansea Swansea 6 11
5 Charlton Charlton 6 11
6 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 5 10
7 Bristol City Bristol City 5 10
8 Birmingham Birmingham 7 10
9 Millwall Millwall 5 9
10 Norwich Norwich 6 9
11 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 6 9
12 Wolves Wolves 5 8
13 Watford Watford 6 8
14 Southampton Southampton 6 7
15 Stoke City Stoke City 6 7
16 Wrexham Wrexham 7 7
17 Bolton Bolton 7 7
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 5 6
19 Blackburn Blackburn 6 5
20 Lincoln Lincoln 5 5
21 Cardiff Cardiff 7 4
22 Derby Derby 7 4
23 Burnley Burnley 6 3
24 Preston Preston 6 3
Lineups
Oxford United Oxford United 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.70
15 B. Spencer B. Spencer 88' D 6.20
3 C. Brown C. Brown D 6.70
6 M. Helik M. Helik D 6.50
2 S. Long S. Long 67' D 6.90
5 Y. Konak Y. Konak 67' M 6.70
38 Jamie Carson McDonnell Jamie Carson McDonnell 56' M 6.60
44 M. Peart-Harris M. Peart-Harris 56' M 6.20
8 C. Brannagan C. Brannagan M 7.00
17 S. Mills S. Mills M 7.00
27 W. Lankshear W. Lankshear F 6.20
Bench
10 Aidomo Emakhu Aidomo Emakhu 34' F 6.90
24 H. ter Avest H. ter Avest 23' D 7.00
33 J. Donley J. Donley 2' M
9 M. Harris M. Harris 23' F 6.30
4
W. Vaulks 34' M 6.60
Wrexham Wrexham 3-5-1-1
21
G 7.20
2 C. Doyle C. Doyle D 7.20
24 Dan Scarr Dan Scarr D 7.30
5
D 8.20
14 George Thomason George Thomason M 7.70
20 O. Rathbone O. Rathbone 70' M 7.20
37 M. James M. James M 6.90
15 G. Dobson G. Dobson M 7.00
47 R. Longman R. Longman 56' M 6.20
10 J. Windass J. Windass 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.90
28 S. Smith S. Smith 1 👟 71' F 6.70
Bench
11 B. Cadamarteri B. Cadamarteri F
12 I. Kaboré I. Kaboré 34' D 6.90
19 K. Moore K. Moore 19' F 6.90
4 M. Cleworth M. Cleworth 1' D
33 N. Broadhead N. Broadhead F
Best on the pitch
D · Wrexham
8.20
2 shots · 48 pass
J. Windass
J. Windass
F · Wrexham
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 31 pass
George Thomason
George Thomason
M · Wrexham
7.70
· 36 pass
Dan Scarr
Dan Scarr
D · Wrexham
7.30
· 48 pass
O. Rathbone
O. Rathbone
M · Wrexham
7.20
· 38 pass
G · Wrexham
7.20
· 22 pass
Oxford United Oxford United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 32 18% — — —
B. Spencer D 88 6.20 — — — 32 25% 1 — —
C. Brown D 90 6.70 — — — 47 31% — — —
M. Helik D 90 6.50 — — 2 36 28% — — —
S. Long D 67 6.90 — — — 28 20% 1 — —
Y. Konak M 67 6.70 — — — 24 19% 1 — —
Jamie Carson McDonnell M 56 6.60 — — — 10 5% 3 — —
M. Peart-Harris M 56 6.20 — — — 12 5% 1 — —
C. Brannagan M 90 7.00 — — 1 32 23% — — —
S. Mills M 90 7.00 — — 1 22 15% 1 1 —
W. Lankshear F 90 6.20 — — 2 16 9% — — —
Aidomo Emakhu F 34 6.90 — — 2 8 6% — 1 —
H. ter Avest D 23 7.00 — — — 20 17% — — —
J. Donley M 2 — — — — 1 1% — — —
M. Harris F 23 6.30 — — 1 3 2% 1 — —
W. Vaulks M 34 6.60 — — — 25 18% — — —
Wrexham Wrexham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 22 7% — — —
C. Doyle D 90 7.20 — — 2 77 55% 1 — —
Dan Scarr D 90 7.30 — — — 48 43% — — —
D 90 8.20 — — 2 48 37% 3 — —
George Thomason M 90 7.70 — — — 36 31% 1 — —
O. Rathbone M 70 7.20 — — — 38 35% 3 — —
M. James M 90 6.90 — — — 51 40% 1 — —
G. Dobson M 90 7.00 — — — 49 42% — 1 —
R. Longman M 56 6.20 — — — 16 12% 1 1 —
J. Windass F 89 7.90 1 — 2 31 25% — — —
S. Smith F 71 6.70 — 1 2 14 7% — — —
I. Kaboré D 34 6.90 — — — 6 4% — 1 —
K. Moore F 19 6.90 — — — 6 3% — — —
M. Cleworth D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Oxford United vs Wrexham?
The final score was Oxford United 0–1 Wrexham.
What did the model predict before Oxford United vs Wrexham?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Oxford United win, 28% to a draw, and 22% to an Wrexham win.