← Eredivisie
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 29 April 04, 2026 18:30
PSV Eindhoven
#1 · 81 pts
4 – 3
Final score
Utrecht
#7 · 50 pts
✓Model correct — prediction PSV Eindhoven
I. Saibari (ast. I. Perisic) 21'
I. Saibari (ast. Mauro Junior) 48'
G. Til (ast. I. Saibari) 52'
C. Driouech (ast. J. Veerman) 90'
3' (ast. N. Vesterlund) A. Stepanov
13' (ast. A. Alarcon) G. Zechiel
82' (ast. S. Haller) J. Karlsson

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 57% win probability (draw 21%, Utrecht 20%). The final result was PSV Eindhoven 4–3 Utrecht. In 1 previous meetings, PSV Eindhoven have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Utrecht.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
9
8
Shots on target
7
2.94
Actual xG
1.40
4
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
8
Corners
3
16
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
ast. N. Vesterlund · A. Stepanov⚽
13'
ast. A. Alarcon · G. Zechiel⚽
⚽I. Saibari · ast. I. Perisic
21'
⚽I. Saibari · ast. Mauro Junior
48'
⚽G. Til · ast. I. Saibari
52'
59'
J. Karlsson / S. Horemans ↕
↕ J. Schouten / R. Flamingo
66'
71'
Niklas Vesterlund
↕ D. Man / E. Bajraktarevic
74'
↕ I. Perisic / C. Driouech
74'
77'
S. Haller / A. Alarcon ↕
77'
D. Min / A. Stepanov ↕
82'
ast. S. Haller · J. Karlsson⚽
↕ G. Til / R. Pepi
86'
⚽C. Driouech · ast. J. Veerman
90'
Pre-match prediction
57.43%
PSV ←
21.78%
X
20.79%
Utrecht
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (PSV Eindhoven) 57.43% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
PSV
2.04
2.94
+0.9
Utrecht
1.34
1.40
+0.06
PSV Eindhoven dominated by xG (2.94 vs 1.40). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Roda Roda 1 1
1 Willem II Willem II 1 3
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 33 81
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 33 62
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 1
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 0
3 Twente Twente 33 58
4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 33 56
5 Ajax Ajax 33 55
6 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 33 51
7 Utrecht Utrecht 33 50
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 33 50
9 Groningen Groningen 33 45
10 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 33 43
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 33 39
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 33 38
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 33 37
14 Excelsior Excelsior 33 35
15 Telstar Telstar 33 34
16 FC Volendam FC Volendam 33 32
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda 33 28
18 Heracles Heracles 33 19
Lineups
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-3-3
32
G 6.20
17 Mauro Júnior Mauro Júnior 1 👟 D 6.90
3
D 6.20
22
J. Schouten 65' D 6.90
25 K. Sildillia K. Sildillia D 6.30
34 I. Saibari I. Saibari 2 ⚽ 1 👟 M 10.00
10 P. Wanner P. Wanner M 7.20
23 J. Veerman J. Veerman 1 👟 M 7.70
5 I. Perišić I. Perišić 1 👟 74' F 7.20
20 G. Til G. Til 1 ⚽ 86' F 6.90
27 D. Man D. Man 74' F 7.00
Bench
11 Couhaib Driouech Couhaib Driouech 1 ⚽ 16' F 7.60
19 E. Bajraktarevic E. Bajraktarevic 16' F 6.20
21 Myron Boadu Myron Boadu F
31 Noah Fernandez Noah Fernandez M
9 R. Pepi R. Pepi 13' F 6.20
6 Ryan Flamingo Ryan Flamingo 25' D 6.30
Utrecht Utrecht 3-4-3
1
G 5.30
3
D 7.30
40
M. Didden D 6.30
2 Siebe Horemans Siebe Horemans 59' D 6.30
16 S. El Karouani S. El Karouani M 7.00
21 G. Zechiël G. Zechiël 1 ⚽ M 7.90
27 Alonzo Engwanda Alonzo Engwanda M 6.70
23 Niklas Vesterlund Niklas Vesterlund 1 👟 M 6.70
10 Yoann Cathline Yoann Cathline F 7.20
18
A. Stepanov 1 ⚽ 77' F 7.20
77
A. Alarcon 1 👟 77' F 6.70
Bench
15 Adrian Blake Adrian Blake F
5 Emeka Adeile Emeka Adeile D
11 Jesper Karlsson Jesper Karlsson 1 ⚽ 31' F 7.20
53 Neal Viereck Neal Viereck D
57 Per Kloosterboer Per Kloosterboer D
43 Rafik El Arguioui Rafik El Arguioui M
91 Sébastien Haller Sébastien Haller 1 👟 13' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
I. Saibari
I. Saibari
M · PSV
10.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 42 pass
G. Zechiël
G. Zechiël
M · Utrecht
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 33 pass
J. Veerman
J. Veerman
M · PSV
7.70
1 👟
· 75 pass
Couhaib Driouech
Couhaib Driouech
F · PSV
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 6 pass
D · Utrecht
7.30
· 34 pass
Yoann Cathline
Yoann Cathline
F · Utrecht
7.20
3 shots · 25 pass
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 33 28% — — —
Mauro Júnior D 90 6.90 — 1 2 55 49% 1 — —
D 90 6.20 — — — 66 63% — — —
J. Schouten D 65 6.90 — — 1 72 65% 4 — —
K. Sildillia D 90 6.30 — — 3 37 26% 1 — —
I. Saibari M 90 10.00 2 1 3 42 34% 1 — —
P. Wanner M 90 7.20 — — — 37 35% 3 — —
J. Veerman M 90 7.70 — 1 — 75 69% 1 — —
I. Perišić F 74 7.20 — 1 — 26 20% — — —
G. Til F 86 6.90 1 — 2 28 25% 2 — —
D. Man F 74 7.00 — — — 25 21% 1 — —
Couhaib Driouech F 16 7.60 1 — 2 6 5% 2 — —
E. Bajraktarevic F 16 6.20 — — 1 12 8% — — —
R. Pepi F 13 6.20 — — — 4 4% — — —
Ryan Flamingo D 25 6.30 — — — 19 17% — — —
Utrecht Utrecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.30 — — — 29 12% — — —
D 90 7.30 — — — 34 30% 1 — —
M. Didden D 90 6.30 — — — 39 29% 3 — —
Siebe Horemans D 59 6.30 — — — 10 6% — — —
S. El Karouani M 90 7.00 — — — 27 15% 3 — —
G. Zechiël M 90 7.90 1 — 1 33 27% 1 — —
Alonzo Engwanda M 90 6.70 — — — 31 26% 4 — —
Niklas Vesterlund M 90 6.70 — 1 1 18 15% 2 1 —
Yoann Cathline F 90 7.20 — — 3 25 16% 2 — —
A. Stepanov F 77 7.20 1 — 2 18 11% 1 — —
A. Alarcon F 77 6.70 — 1 — 15 11% 2 — —
Jesper Karlsson F 31 7.20 1 — 2 4 3% — — —
Sébastien Haller F 13 6.70 — 1 — 5 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht?
The final score was PSV Eindhoven 4–3 Utrecht.
What did the model predict before PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht?
The model assigned 57% probability to a PSV Eindhoven win, 21% to a draw, and 20% to an Utrecht win.