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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 29 April 04, 2026 16:30 Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
#1 · 84 pts
4 – 3
Final score
Utrecht
#6 · 53 pts
✓Model correct — prediction PSV Eindhoven
I. Saibari (ast. I. Perisic) 21'
I. Saibari (ast. Mauro Junior) 48'
G. Til (ast. I. Saibari) 52'
C. Driouech (ast. J. Veerman) 90'
3' (ast. N. Vesterlund) A. Stepanov
13' (ast. A. Alarcon) G. Zechiel
82' (ast. S. Haller) J. Karlsson
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 57% win probability (draw 21%, Utrecht 20%). The final result was PSV Eindhoven 4–3 Utrecht. In 1 previous meetings, PSV Eindhoven have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Utrecht.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
9
8
Shots on target
7
2.94
Actual xG
1.40
4
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
8
Corners
3
16
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
ast. N. Vesterlund · A. Stepanov⚽
13'
ast. A. Alarcon · G. Zechiel⚽
⚽I. Saibari · ast. I. Perisic
21'
⚽I. Saibari · ast. Mauro Junior
48'
⚽G. Til · ast. I. Saibari
52'
59'
J. Karlsson / S. Horemans ↕
↕ J. Schouten / R. Flamingo
66'
71'
Niklas Vesterlund
↕ D. Man / E. Bajraktarevic
74'
↕ I. Perisic / C. Driouech
74'
77'
S. Haller / A. Alarcon ↕
77'
D. Min / A. Stepanov ↕
82'
ast. S. Haller · J. Karlsson⚽
↕ G. Til / R. Pepi
86'
⚽C. Driouech · ast. J. Veerman
90'
Pre-match prediction
57.43%
PSV ←
21.78%
X
20.79%
Utrecht
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (PSV Eindhoven) 57.43% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
PSV
2.04
2.94
+0.9
Utrecht
1.34
1.40
+0.06
PSV Eindhoven dominated by xG (2.94 vs 1.40). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Roda Roda 1 1
1 Willem II Willem II 1 3
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 34 84
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 34 65
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 1
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 0
3 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 34 59
4 Twente Twente 34 58
5 Ajax Ajax 34 56
6 Utrecht Utrecht 34 53
7 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 34 52
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 34 51
9 Groningen Groningen 34 48
10 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 34 43
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 34 39
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 34 38
13 Excelsior Excelsior 34 38
14 Telstar Telstar 34 37
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 34 37
16 FC Volendam FC Volendam 34 32
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda 34 29
18 Heracles Heracles 34 19
Lineups
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-3-3
32
G 6.20
17 Mauro Júnior Mauro Júnior 1 👟 D 6.90
3
D 6.20
22
J. Schouten 65' D 6.90
25 K. Sildillia K. Sildillia D 6.30
34 I. Saibari I. Saibari 2 ⚽ 1 👟 M 10.00
10 Paul Wanner Paul Wanner M 7.20
23 J. Veerman J. Veerman 1 👟 M 7.70
5 Ivan Perišić Ivan Perišić 1 👟 74' F 7.20
20 G. Til G. Til 1 ⚽ 86' F 6.90
27 D. Man D. Man 74' F 7.00
Bench
11 Couhaib Driouech Couhaib Driouech 1 ⚽ 16' F 7.60
19 Esmir Bajraktarević Esmir Bajraktarević 16' F 6.20
21 Myron Boadu Myron Boadu F
31 Noah Fernandez Noah Fernandez M
9 R. Pepi R. Pepi 13' F 6.20
6 Ryan Flamingo Ryan Flamingo 25' D 6.30
Utrecht Utrecht 3-4-3
1
G 5.30
3
D 7.30
40
M. Didden D 6.30
2 Siebe Horemans Siebe Horemans 59' D 6.30
16 S. El Karouani S. El Karouani M 7.00
21 G. Zechiël G. Zechiël 1 ⚽ M 7.90
27 Alonzo Engwanda Alonzo Engwanda M 6.70
23 Niklas Vesterlund Niklas Vesterlund 1 👟 M 6.70
10 Yoann Cathline Yoann Cathline F 7.20
18 Artem Stepanov Artem Stepanov 1 ⚽ 77' F 7.20
77
A. Alarcon 1 👟 77' F 6.70
Bench
15 Adrian Blake Adrian Blake F
5 Emeka Adeile Emeka Adeile D
11 Jesper Karlsson Jesper Karlsson 1 ⚽ 31' F 7.20
53 Neal Viereck Neal Viereck D
57 Per Kloosterboer Per Kloosterboer D
43 R. El Arguioui R. El Arguioui M
91 Sébastien Haller Sébastien Haller 1 👟 13' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
I. Saibari
I. Saibari
M · PSV
10.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 42 pass
G. Zechiël
G. Zechiël
M · Utrecht
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 33 pass
J. Veerman
J. Veerman
M · PSV
7.70
1 👟
· 75 pass
Couhaib Driouech
Couhaib Driouech
F · PSV
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 6 pass
D · Utrecht
7.30
· 34 pass
Yoann Cathline
Yoann Cathline
F · Utrecht
7.20
3 shots · 25 pass
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 33 28% — — —
Mauro Júnior D 90 6.90 — 1 2 55 49% 1 — —
D 90 6.20 — — — 66 63% — — —
J. Schouten D 65 6.90 — — 1 72 65% 4 — —
K. Sildillia D 90 6.30 — — 3 37 26% 1 — —
I. Saibari M 90 10.00 2 1 3 42 34% 1 — —
Paul Wanner M 90 7.20 — — — 37 35% 3 — —
J. Veerman M 90 7.70 — 1 — 75 69% 1 — —
Ivan Perišić F 74 7.20 — 1 — 26 20% — — —
G. Til F 86 6.90 1 — 2 28 25% 2 — —
D. Man F 74 7.00 — — — 25 21% 1 — —
Couhaib Driouech F 16 7.60 1 — 2 6 5% 2 — —
Esmir Bajraktarević F 16 6.20 — — 1 12 8% — — —
R. Pepi F 13 6.20 — — — 4 4% — — —
Ryan Flamingo D 25 6.30 — — — 19 17% — — —
Utrecht Utrecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.30 — — — 29 12% — — —
D 90 7.30 — — — 34 30% 1 — —
M. Didden D 90 6.30 — — — 39 29% 3 — —
Siebe Horemans D 59 6.30 — — — 10 6% — — —
S. El Karouani M 90 7.00 — — — 27 15% 3 — —
G. Zechiël M 90 7.90 1 — 1 33 27% 1 — —
Alonzo Engwanda M 90 6.70 — — — 31 26% 4 — —
Niklas Vesterlund M 90 6.70 — 1 1 18 15% 2 1 —
Yoann Cathline F 90 7.20 — — 3 25 16% 2 — —
Artem Stepanov F 77 7.20 1 — 2 18 11% 1 — —
A. Alarcon F 77 6.70 — 1 — 15 11% 2 — —
Jesper Karlsson F 31 7.20 1 — 2 4 3% — — —
Sébastien Haller F 13 6.70 — 1 — 5 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht?
The final score was PSV Eindhoven 4–3 Utrecht.
What did the model predict before PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht?
The model assigned 57% probability to a PSV Eindhoven win, 21% to a draw, and 20% to an Utrecht win.