✓Model correct — prediction PSV Eindhoven
I. Saibari
(ast. I. Perisic)
21'
I. Saibari
(ast. Mauro Junior)
48'
G. Til
(ast. I. Saibari)
52'
C. Driouech
(ast. J. Veerman)
90'
3'
(ast. N. Vesterlund)
A. Stepanov
13'
(ast. A. Alarcon)
G. Zechiel
82'
(ast. S. Haller)
J. Karlsson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 57% win probability (draw 21%, Utrecht 20%). The final result was PSV Eindhoven 4–3 Utrecht. In 1 previous meetings, PSV Eindhoven have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Utrecht.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
9
8
Shots on target
7
2.94
Actual xG
1.40
4
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
8
Corners
3
16
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
ast. N. Vesterlund ·
A. Stepanov⚽
13'
ast. A. Alarcon ·
G. Zechiel⚽
⚽I. Saibari
· ast. I. Perisic
21'
⚽I. Saibari
· ast. Mauro Junior
48'
⚽G. Til
· ast. I. Saibari
52'
59'
J. Karlsson
/
S. Horemans
J. Schouten
/ R. Flamingo
66'
71'
Niklas Vesterlund
D. Man
/ E. Bajraktarevic
74'
I. Perisic
/ C. Driouech
74'
77'
S. Haller
/
A. Alarcon
77'
D. Min
/
A. Stepanov
82'
ast. S. Haller ·
J. Karlsson⚽
G. Til
/ R. Pepi
86'
⚽C. Driouech
· ast. J. Veerman
90'
Pre-match prediction
57.43%
PSV ←
21.78%
X
20.79%
Utrecht
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (PSV Eindhoven)
57.43%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.04
2.94
+0.9
1.34
1.40
+0.06
PSV Eindhoven dominated by xG (2.94 vs 1.40).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
32
G
17
Mauro Júnior
1 👟
D
Mauro Júnior
1 👟
D
3
D
22
J. Schouten
65'
D
25
K. Sildillia
D
K. Sildillia
D
34
I. Saibari
2 ⚽
1 👟
M
I. Saibari
2 ⚽
1 👟
M
10
P. Wanner
M
P. Wanner
M
23
J. Veerman
1 👟
M
J. Veerman
1 👟
M
5
I. Perišić
1 👟
74'
F
I. Perišić
1 👟
74'
F
20
Guus Til
1 ⚽
86'
F
Guus Til
1 ⚽
86'
F
27
Dennis Man
74'
F
Dennis Man
74'
F
Bench
11
Couhaib Driouech
1 ⚽
16'
F
Couhaib Driouech
1 ⚽
16'
F
19
E. Bajraktarevic
16'
F
E. Bajraktarevic
16'
F
21
Myron Boadu
F
Myron Boadu
F
31
Noah Fernandez
M
Noah Fernandez
M
9
Ricardo Pepi
13'
F
Ricardo Pepi
13'
F
6
Ryan Flamingo
25'
D
Ryan Flamingo
25'
D
1
G
3
D
40
M. Didden
D
2
Siebe Horemans
59'
D
Siebe Horemans
59'
D
16
S. El Karouani
M
S. El Karouani
M
21
Gjivai Zechiël
1 ⚽
M
Gjivai Zechiël
1 ⚽
M
27
Alonzo Engwanda
M
Alonzo Engwanda
M
23
Niklas Vesterlund
1 👟
M
Niklas Vesterlund
1 👟
M
10
Yoann Cathline
F
Yoann Cathline
F
18
Artem Stepanov
1 ⚽
77'
F
Artem Stepanov
1 ⚽
77'
F
77
A. Alarcon
1 👟
77'
F
Bench
15
Adrian Blake
F
Adrian Blake
F
5
Emeka Adeile
D
Emeka Adeile
D
11
Jesper Karlsson
1 ⚽
31'
F
Jesper Karlsson
1 ⚽
31'
F
53
Neal Viereck
D
Neal Viereck
D
57
Per Kloosterboer
D
Per Kloosterboer
D
43
Rafik El Arguioui
M
Rafik El Arguioui
M
91
Sébastien Haller
1 👟
13'
F
Sébastien Haller
1 👟
13'
F
Best on the pitch
I. Saibari
M · PSV
10.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 42 pass
Gjivai Zechiël
M · Utrecht
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 33 pass
J. Veerman
M · PSV
7.70
1 👟
· 75 pass
Couhaib Driouech
F · PSV
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 6 pass
D · Utrecht
7.30
· 34 pass
Yoann Cathline
F · Utrecht
7.20
3 shots
· 25 pass
PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| Mauro Júnior | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 55 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 66 | 63% | — | — | — | |
| J. Schouten | D | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 65% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Sildillia | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Saibari | M | 90 | 10.00 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Wanner | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Veerman | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 75 | 69% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Perišić | F | 74 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Guus Til | F | 86 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Dennis Man | F | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Couhaib Driouech | F | 16 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Bajraktarevic | F | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Pepi | F | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Ryan Flamingo | D | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
Utrecht — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — | |
| M. Didden | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Siebe Horemans | D | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. El Karouani | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Gjivai Zechiël | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Alonzo Engwanda | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| Niklas Vesterlund | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Yoann Cathline | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Artem Stepanov | F | 77 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Alarcon | F | 77 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Jesper Karlsson | F | 31 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Sébastien Haller | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht?
The final score was PSV Eindhoven 4–3 Utrecht.
What did the model predict before PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht?
The model assigned 57% probability to a PSV Eindhoven win, 21% to a draw, and 20% to an Utrecht win.