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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 29 April 04, 2026 16:30 Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
#3 · 16 pts
4 – 3
Final score
Utrecht
#15 · 5 pts
✓Model correct — prediction PSV Eindhoven
I. Saibari (ast. I. Perisic) 21'
I. Saibari (ast. Mauro Junior) 48'
G. Til (ast. I. Saibari) 52'
C. Driouech (ast. J. Veerman) 90'
3' (ast. N. Vesterlund) A. Stepanov
13' (ast. A. Alarcon) G. Zechiel
82' (ast. S. Haller) J. Karlsson
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 57% win probability (draw 21%, Utrecht 20%). The final result was PSV Eindhoven 4–3 Utrecht. In 2 previous meetings, PSV Eindhoven have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Utrecht.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
9
8
Shots on target
7
2.94
Actual xG
1.40
4
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
8
Corners
3
16
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
ast. N. Vesterlund · A. Stepanov⚽
13'
ast. A. Alarcon · G. Zechiel⚽
⚽I. Saibari · ast. I. Perisic
21'
⚽I. Saibari · ast. Mauro Junior
48'
⚽G. Til · ast. I. Saibari
52'
59'
J. Karlsson / S. Horemans ↕
↕ J. Schouten / R. Flamingo
66'
71'
Niklas Vesterlund
↕ D. Man / E. Bajraktarevic
74'
↕ I. Perisic / C. Driouech
74'
77'
S. Haller / A. Alarcon ↕
77'
D. Min / A. Stepanov ↕
82'
ast. S. Haller · J. Karlsson⚽
↕ G. Til / R. Pepi
86'
⚽C. Driouech · ast. J. Veerman
90'
Pre-match prediction
57.43%
PSV ←
21.78%
X
20.79%
Utrecht
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (PSV Eindhoven) 57.43% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
PSV
2.04
2.94
+0.9
Utrecht
1.34
1.40
+0.06
PSV Eindhoven dominated by xG (2.94 vs 1.40). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 7 19
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 7 17
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 7 16
4 Twente Twente 7 16
5 Ajax Ajax 7 14
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 7 13
7 Excelsior Excelsior 7 11
8 Groningen Groningen 7 11
9 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 7 10
10 Heerenveen Heerenveen 7 9
11 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 7 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 7 5
13 Telstar Telstar 7 5
14 Cambuur Cambuur 7 5
15 Utrecht Utrecht 7 5
16 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 7 4
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 7 2
18 Willem II Willem II 7 2
Lineups
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-3-3
32
G 6.20
17 Mauro Júnior Mauro Júnior 1 👟 D 6.90
3
D 6.20
22
J. Schouten 65' D 6.90
25 Kiliann Sildillia Kiliann Sildillia D 6.30
34 I. Saibari I. Saibari 2 ⚽ 1 👟 M 10.00
10 P. Wanner P. Wanner M 7.20
23 J. Veerman J. Veerman 1 👟 M 7.70
5 I. Perišić I. Perišić 1 👟 74' F 7.20
20 G. Til G. Til 1 ⚽ 86' F 6.90
27 D. Man D. Man 74' F 7.00
Bench
11 C. Driouech C. Driouech 1 ⚽ 16' F 7.60
19 E. Bajraktarevic E. Bajraktarevic 16' F 6.20
21 M. Boadu M. Boadu F
31 N. Fernandez N. Fernandez M
6 R. Flamingo R. Flamingo 25' D 6.30
9 R. Pepi R. Pepi 13' F 6.20
Utrecht Utrecht 3-4-3
1
G 5.30
3
D 7.30
40 M. Didden M. Didden D 6.30
2 S. Horemans S. Horemans 59' D 6.30
16 S. El Karouani S. El Karouani M 7.00
21 G. Zechiël G. Zechiël 1 ⚽ M 7.90
27 Alonzo Engwanda Alonzo Engwanda M 6.70
23 N. Vesterlund N. Vesterlund 1 👟 M 6.70
10 Y. Cathline Y. Cathline F 7.20
18 Artem Stepanov Artem Stepanov 1 ⚽ 77' F 7.20
77
A. Alarcon 1 👟 77' F 6.70
Bench
15 A. Blake A. Blake F
5 Emeka Adeile Emeka Adeile D
11 J. Karlsson J. Karlsson 1 ⚽ 31' F 7.20
53 Neal Viereck Neal Viereck D
57 P. Kloosterboer P. Kloosterboer D
43 R. El Arguioui R. El Arguioui M
91 S. Haller S. Haller 1 👟 13' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
I. Saibari
I. Saibari
M · PSV
10.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 42 pass
G. Zechiël
G. Zechiël
M · Utrecht
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 33 pass
J. Veerman
J. Veerman
M · PSV
7.70
1 👟
· 75 pass
C. Driouech
C. Driouech
F · PSV
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 6 pass
D · Utrecht
7.30
· 34 pass
Y. Cathline
Y. Cathline
F · Utrecht
7.20
3 shots · 25 pass
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 33 28% — — —
Mauro Júnior D 90 6.90 — 1 2 55 49% 1 — —
D 90 6.20 — — — 66 63% — — —
J. Schouten D 65 6.90 — — 1 72 65% 4 — —
Kiliann Sildillia D 90 6.30 — — 3 37 26% 1 — —
I. Saibari M 90 10.00 2 1 3 42 34% 1 — —
P. Wanner M 90 7.20 — — — 37 35% 3 — —
J. Veerman M 90 7.70 — 1 — 75 69% 1 — —
I. Perišić F 74 7.20 — 1 — 26 20% — — —
G. Til F 86 6.90 1 — 2 28 25% 2 — —
D. Man F 74 7.00 — — — 25 21% 1 — —
C. Driouech F 16 7.60 1 — 2 6 5% 2 — —
E. Bajraktarevic F 16 6.20 — — 1 12 8% — — —
R. Flamingo D 25 6.30 — — — 19 17% — — —
R. Pepi F 13 6.20 — — — 4 4% — — —
Utrecht Utrecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.30 — — — 29 12% — — —
D 90 7.30 — — — 34 30% 1 — —
M. Didden D 90 6.30 — — — 39 29% 3 — —
S. Horemans D 59 6.30 — — — 10 6% — — —
S. El Karouani M 90 7.00 — — — 27 15% 3 — —
G. Zechiël M 90 7.90 1 — 1 33 27% 1 — —
Alonzo Engwanda M 90 6.70 — — — 31 26% 4 — —
N. Vesterlund M 90 6.70 — 1 1 18 15% 2 1 —
Y. Cathline F 90 7.20 — — 3 25 16% 2 — —
Artem Stepanov F 77 7.20 1 — 2 18 11% 1 — —
A. Alarcon F 77 6.70 — 1 — 15 11% 2 — —
J. Karlsson F 31 7.20 1 — 2 4 3% — — —
S. Haller F 13 6.70 — 1 — 5 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht?
The final score was PSV Eindhoven 4–3 Utrecht.
What did the model predict before PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht?
The model assigned 57% probability to a PSV Eindhoven win, 21% to a draw, and 20% to an Utrecht win.