2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31 April 26, 2026 15:30

SC Paderborn 07

#4 · 59 pts

2 – 3

Final score

FC Schalke 04

#1 · 67 pts

L. Curda (ast. M. Baur) 13'

S. Marino 26'

35' (ast. M. N'Diaye) D. Ljubicic

40' A. Aouchiche

83' D. Ljubicic

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Paderborn 07 a 42% win probability (draw 22%, FC Schalke 04 35%). The final result was SC Paderborn 07 2–3 FC Schalke 04. In 1 previous meetings, SC Paderborn 07 have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Schalke 04.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

8

4

Shots on target

7

1.32

Actual xG

2.28

3

Saves

2

44%

Possession

56%

7

Corners

2

27

Tackles

21

0

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽L. Curda · ast. M. Baur

13'

⚽S. Marino

26'

35'

ast. M. N'Diaye · D. Ljubicic⚽

40'

A. Aouchiche⚽

↕ R. Muller / S. Tigges

66'

↕ S. Marino / K. Okpala

80'

83'

D. Ljubicic⚽

↕ J. Sticker / N. Batzner

85'

↕ F. Bilbija / S. Michel

85'

86'

V. Becker / M. N'Diaye ↕

86'

A. Gantenbein / D. Ljubicic ↕

88'

J. Bachmann / M. Sylla ↕

90'+1

A. Aouchiche

90'+1

C. Gomis / A. Aouchiche ↕

Pre-match prediction

42.05%

SC

22.68%

X

35.27%

FC ←

we assigned to the actual result (FC Schalke 04) 35.27% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

SC

2.05

1.32

-0.73

FC

1.98

2.28

+0.29

FC Schalke 04 dominated by xG (2.28 vs 1.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Schalke 04	33	67
2	SV Elversberg	33	59
3	Hannover 96	33	59
4	SC Paderborn 07	33	59
5	SV Darmstadt 98	33	52
6	Hertha BSC	33	51
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	33	49
8	1. FC Nürnberg	33	45
9	Karlsruher SC	33	44
10	VfL Bochum	33	41
11	Holstein Kiel	33	41
12	1. FC Magdeburg	33	39
13	Dynamo Dresden	33	38
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	33	37
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	33	37
16	Arminia Bielefeld	33	36
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	33	34
18	Preußen Münster	33	30

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 3-5-2

41

G 7.00

4

Calvin Brackelmann D 6.60

20

Felix Götze D 7.20

25

Tjark Lasse Scheller D 6.90

3

J. Sticker 85' M 6.70

7

F. Bilbija 85' M 6.90

5

Santiago Castaneda M 6.90

14

M. Baur 1 👟 M 6.90

17

Laurin Curda 1 ⚽ M 7.30

2

R. Muller 66' F 7.00

30

S. Marino 1 ⚽ 80' F 7.20

Bench

10

Kennedy Okpala 10' F 6.30

22

Mattes Hansen M

9

N. Batzner 10' M 6.30

26

S. Klaas M

11

S. Michel 10' F 6.50

27

S. Tigges 24' F 6.70

FC Schalke 04 4-3-3

1

G 7.70

16 Moussa Ndiaye 1 👟 86' D 6.20

4

Hasan Kuruçay D 6.90

43 Mertcan Ayhan D 6.60

5 Timo Becker D 6.90

24 Adil Aouchiche 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.30

6 Ron Schallenberg M 6.90

23 Soufiane El-Faouzi M 6.60

19 Kenan Karaman F 6.90

9 Moussa Sylla 88' F 6.00

21 Dejan Ljubičić 2 ⚽ 86' F 8.20

Bench

7 Christian Gomis 1' F

Best on the pitch

Dejan Ljubičić

F · FC

8.20

2 ⚽

2 shots · 17 pass

G · FC

7.70

· 32 pass

Adil Aouchiche

M · FC

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 36 pass

Laurin Curda

M · SC

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 33 pass

Felix Götze

D · SC

7.20

· 44 pass

S. Marino

F · SC

7.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 11 pass

SC Paderborn 07 — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	27	24%	—	—	—
Calvin Brackelmann	D	90	6.60	—	—	2	45	29%	4	—	—
Felix Götze	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	44	39%	2	—	—
Tjark Lasse Scheller	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	57	47%	3	—	—
J. Sticker	M	85	6.70	—	—	—	24	17%	2	—	—
F. Bilbija	M	85	6.90	—	—	1	14	12%	7	—	—
Santiago Castaneda	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	34	32%	1	—	—
M. Baur	M	90	6.90	—	1	—	39	26%	3	—	—
Laurin Curda	M	90	7.30	1	—	3	33	21%	2	—	—
R. Muller	F	66	7.00	—	—	—	27	16%	1	—	—
S. Marino	F	80	7.20	1	—	2	11	5%	1	—	—
Kennedy Okpala	F	10	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
N. Batzner	M	10	6.30	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
S. Michel	F	10	6.50	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—
S. Tigges	F	24	6.70	—	—	2	5	2%	1	—	—

FC Schalke 04 — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.70	—	—	—	32	22%	—	—	—
Moussa Ndiaye	D	86	6.20	—	1	—	52	40%	4	—	—
Hasan Kuruçay	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	87	79%	1	—	—
Mertcan Ayhan	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	60	55%	3	—	—
Timo Becker	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	33	28%	4	—	—
Adil Aouchiche	M	89	7.30	1	—	2	36	25%	—	1	—
Ron Schallenberg	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	62	57%	3	—	—
Soufiane El-Faouzi	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	40	31%	4	—	—
Kenan Karaman	F	90	6.90	—	—	—	26	15%	2	—	—
Moussa Sylla	F	88	6.00	—	—	4	12	9%	—	—	—
Dejan Ljubičić	F	86	8.20	2	—	2	17	13%	—	—	—
Christian Gomis	F	1	—	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—