2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31 April 26, 2026 13:30 Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn

SC Paderborn 07

#3 · 62 pts

2 – 3

Final score

FC Schalke 04

#1 · 70 pts

L. Curda (ast. M. Baur) 13'

S. Marino 26'

35' (ast. M. N'Diaye) D. Ljubicic

40' A. Aouchiche

83' D. Ljubicic

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Paderborn 07 a 42% win probability (draw 22%, FC Schalke 04 35%). The final result was SC Paderborn 07 2–3 FC Schalke 04. In 1 previous meetings, SC Paderborn 07 have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Schalke 04.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

8

4

Shots on target

7

1.32

Actual xG

2.28

3

Saves

2

44%

Possession

56%

7

Corners

2

27

Tackles

21

0

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽L. Curda · ast. M. Baur

13'

⚽S. Marino

26'

35'

ast. M. N'Diaye · D. Ljubicic⚽

40'

A. Aouchiche⚽

↕ R. Muller / S. Tigges

66'

↕ S. Marino / K. Okpala

80'

83'

D. Ljubicic⚽

↕ J. Sticker / N. Batzner

85'

↕ F. Bilbija / S. Michel

85'

86'

V. Becker / M. N'Diaye ↕

86'

A. Gantenbein / D. Ljubicic ↕

88'

J. Bachmann / M. Sylla ↕

90'+1

A. Aouchiche

90'+1

C. Gomis / A. Aouchiche ↕

Pre-match prediction

42.05%

SC

22.68%

X

35.27%

FC ←

we assigned to the actual result (FC Schalke 04) 35.27% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

SC

2.05

1.32

-0.73

FC

1.98

2.28

+0.29

FC Schalke 04 dominated by xG (2.28 vs 1.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Schalke 04	34	70
2	SV Elversberg	34	62
3	SC Paderborn 07	34	62
4	Hannover 96	34	60
5	SV Darmstadt 98	34	52
6	1. FC Kaiserslautern	34	52
7	Hertha BSC	34	51
8	1. FC Nürnberg	34	46
9	VfL Bochum	34	44
10	Karlsruher SC	34	44
11	Dynamo Dresden	34	41
12	Holstein Kiel	34	41
13	Arminia Bielefeld	34	39
14	1. FC Magdeburg	34	39
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	34	37
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	34	37
17	Fortuna Düsseldorf	34	37
18	Preußen Münster	34	30

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 3-5-2

41

G 7.00

4 Calvin Brackelmann D 6.60

20 F. Götze D 7.20

25 T. Scheller D 6.90

3 Jonah Sticker 85' M 6.70

7 F. Bilbija 85' M 6.90

5

S. Castaneda M 6.90

14 Mika Baur 1 👟 M 6.90

17 L. Curda 1 ⚽ M 7.30

2 Ruben Müller 66' F 7.00

30 Stefano Marino 1 ⚽ 80' F 7.20

Bench

10 Kennedy Okpala 10' F 6.30

22 Mattes Hansen M

9 Nick Bätzner 10' M 6.30

26 Sebastian Klaas M

27 Steffen Tigges 24' F 6.70

11 Sven Michel 10' F 6.50

FC Schalke 04 4-3-3

1

G 7.70

16 Moussa Ndiaye 1 👟 86' D 6.20

4 Hasan Kuruçay D 6.90

43 Mertcan Ayhan D 6.60

5 Timo Becker D 6.90

24 Adil Aouchiche 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.30

6 Ron Schallenberg M 6.90

23 Soufiane El-Faouzi M 6.60

19 K. Karaman F 6.90

9 Moussa Sylla 88' F 6.00

21 Dejan Ljubičić 2 ⚽ 86' F 8.20

Bench

7 Christian Gomis 1' F

Best on the pitch

Dejan Ljubičić

F · FC

8.20

2 ⚽

2 shots · 17 pass

G · FC

7.70

· 32 pass

Adil Aouchiche

M · FC

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 36 pass

L. Curda

M · SC

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 33 pass

F. Götze

D · SC

7.20

· 44 pass

Stefano Marino

F · SC

7.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 11 pass

SC Paderborn 07 — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	27	24%	—	—	—
Calvin Brackelmann	D	90	6.60	—	—	2	45	29%	4	—	—
F. Götze	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	44	39%	2	—	—
T. Scheller	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	57	47%	3	—	—
Jonah Sticker	M	85	6.70	—	—	—	24	17%	2	—	—
F. Bilbija	M	85	6.90	—	—	1	14	12%	7	—	—
S. Castaneda	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	34	32%	1	—	—
Mika Baur	M	90	6.90	—	1	—	39	26%	3	—	—
L. Curda	M	90	7.30	1	—	3	33	21%	2	—	—
Ruben Müller	F	66	7.00	—	—	—	27	16%	1	—	—
Stefano Marino	F	80	7.20	1	—	2	11	5%	1	—	—
Kennedy Okpala	F	10	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Nick Bätzner	M	10	6.30	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
Steffen Tigges	F	24	6.70	—	—	2	5	2%	1	—	—
Sven Michel	F	10	6.50	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—

FC Schalke 04 — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.70	—	—	—	32	22%	—	—	—
Moussa Ndiaye	D	86	6.20	—	1	—	52	40%	4	—	—
Hasan Kuruçay	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	87	79%	1	—	—
Mertcan Ayhan	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	60	55%	3	—	—
Timo Becker	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	33	28%	4	—	—
Adil Aouchiche	M	89	7.30	1	—	2	36	25%	—	1	—
Ron Schallenberg	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	62	57%	3	—	—
Soufiane El-Faouzi	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	40	31%	4	—	—
K. Karaman	F	90	6.90	—	—	—	26	15%	2	—	—
Moussa Sylla	F	88	6.00	—	—	4	12	9%	—	—	—
Dejan Ljubičić	F	86	8.20	2	—	2	17	13%	—	—	—
Christian Gomis	F	1	—	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—