2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31 April 26, 2026 13:30 Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn

SC Paderborn 07

2 – 3

Final score

FC Schalke 04

L. Curda (ast. M. Baur) 13'

S. Marino 26'

35' (ast. M. N'Diaye) D. Ljubicic

40' A. Aouchiche

83' D. Ljubicic

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Paderborn 07 a 42% win probability (draw 22%, FC Schalke 04 35%). The final result was SC Paderborn 07 2–3 FC Schalke 04. In 1 previous meetings, SC Paderborn 07 have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Schalke 04.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

8

4

Shots on target

7

1.32

Actual xG

2.28

3

Saves

2

44%

Possession

56%

7

Corners

2

27

Tackles

21

0

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽L. Curda · ast. M. Baur

13'

⚽S. Marino

26'

35'

ast. M. N'Diaye · D. Ljubicic⚽

40'

A. Aouchiche⚽

↕ R. Muller / S. Tigges

66'

↕ S. Marino / K. Okpala

80'

83'

D. Ljubicic⚽

↕ J. Sticker / N. Batzner

85'

↕ F. Bilbija / S. Michel

85'

86'

V. Becker / M. N'Diaye ↕

86'

A. Gantenbein / D. Ljubicic ↕

88'

J. Bachmann / M. Sylla ↕

90'+1

A. Aouchiche

90'+1

C. Gomis / A. Aouchiche ↕

Pre-match prediction

42.05%

SC

22.68%

X

35.27%

FC ←

we assigned to the actual result (FC Schalke 04) 35.27% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

SC

2.05

1.32

-0.73

FC

1.98

2.28

+0.29

FC Schalke 04 dominated by xG (2.28 vs 1.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	6	18
2	1. FC Nürnberg	6	16
3	1. FC Heidenheim	6	13
4	VfL Wolfsburg	6	11
5	1. FC Kaiserslautern	6	11
6	1. FC Magdeburg	6	10
7	Energie Cottbus	6	8
8	FC St. Pauli	6	7
9	VfL Bochum	6	7
10	Hannover 96	6	7
11	VfL Osnabrück	6	7
12	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	6	6
13	Arminia Bielefeld	6	5
14	Karlsruher SC	6	5
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	6	4
16	Holstein Kiel	6	4
17	Dynamo Dresden	6	4
18	SV Darmstadt 98	6	4

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 3-5-2

41

G 7.00

4 C. Brackelmann D 6.60

20 F. Götze D 7.20

25 T. Scheller D 6.90

3 Jonah Benedict Sticker 85' M 6.70

7 F. Bilbija 85' M 6.90

5 S. Castañeda M 6.90

14 M. Baur 1 👟 M 6.90

17 L. Curda 1 ⚽ M 7.30

2 Ruben Müller 66' F 7.00

30 S. Marino 1 ⚽ 80' F 7.20

Bench

10 K. Okpala 10' F 6.30

22 M. Hansen M

9 Nick Bätzner 10' M 6.30

26 Sebastian Klaas M

11 S. Michel 10' F 6.50

27 S. Tigges 24' F 6.70

FC Schalke 04 4-3-3

1

G 7.70

16 M. N'Diaye 1 👟 86' D 6.20

4 H. Kuruçay D 6.90

43 M. Ayhan D 6.60

5 T. Becker D 6.90

24 A. Aouchiche 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.30

6 R. Schallenberg M 6.90

23 S. El-Faouzi M 6.60

19 K. Karaman F 6.90

9 M. Sylla 88' F 6.00

21 D. Ljubičić 2 ⚽ 86' F 8.20

Bench

7 Christian Gomis 1' F

Best on the pitch

D. Ljubičić

F · FC

8.20

2 ⚽

2 shots · 17 pass

G · FC

7.70

· 32 pass

A. Aouchiche

M · FC

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 36 pass

L. Curda

M · SC

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 33 pass

F. Götze

D · SC

7.20

· 44 pass

S. Marino

F · SC

7.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 11 pass

SC Paderborn 07 — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	27	24%	—	—	—
C. Brackelmann	D	90	6.60	—	—	2	45	29%	4	—	—
F. Götze	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	44	39%	2	—	—
T. Scheller	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	57	47%	3	—	—
Jonah Benedict Sticker	M	85	6.70	—	—	—	24	17%	2	—	—
F. Bilbija	M	85	6.90	—	—	1	14	12%	7	—	—
S. Castañeda	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	34	32%	1	—	—
M. Baur	M	90	6.90	—	1	—	39	26%	3	—	—
L. Curda	M	90	7.30	1	—	3	33	21%	2	—	—
Ruben Müller	F	66	7.00	—	—	—	27	16%	1	—	—
S. Marino	F	80	7.20	1	—	2	11	5%	1	—	—
K. Okpala	F	10	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Nick Bätzner	M	10	6.30	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
S. Michel	F	10	6.50	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—
S. Tigges	F	24	6.70	—	—	2	5	2%	1	—	—

FC Schalke 04 — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.70	—	—	—	32	22%	—	—	—
M. N'Diaye	D	86	6.20	—	1	—	52	40%	4	—	—
H. Kuruçay	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	87	79%	1	—	—
M. Ayhan	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	60	55%	3	—	—
T. Becker	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	33	28%	4	—	—
A. Aouchiche	M	89	7.30	1	—	2	36	25%	—	1	—
R. Schallenberg	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	62	57%	3	—	—
S. El-Faouzi	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	40	31%	4	—	—
K. Karaman	F	90	6.90	—	—	—	26	15%	2	—	—
M. Sylla	F	88	6.00	—	—	4	12	9%	—	—	—
D. Ljubičić	F	86	8.20	2	—	2	17	13%	—	—	—
Christian Gomis	F	1	—	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—