2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31 April 26, 2026 13:30 Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn

SC Paderborn 07

2 – 3

Final score

FC Schalke 04

L. Curda (ast. M. Baur) 13'

S. Marino 26'

35' (ast. M. N'Diaye) D. Ljubicic

40' A. Aouchiche

83' D. Ljubicic

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Paderborn 07 a 42% win probability (draw 22%, FC Schalke 04 35%). The final result was SC Paderborn 07 2–3 FC Schalke 04. In 1 previous meetings, SC Paderborn 07 have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Schalke 04.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

8

4

Shots on target

7

1.32

Actual xG

2.28

3

Saves

2

44%

Possession

56%

7

Corners

2

27

Tackles

21

0

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽L. Curda · ast. M. Baur

13'

⚽S. Marino

26'

35'

ast. M. N'Diaye · D. Ljubicic⚽

40'

A. Aouchiche⚽

↕ R. Muller / S. Tigges

66'

↕ S. Marino / K. Okpala

80'

83'

D. Ljubicic⚽

↕ J. Sticker / N. Batzner

85'

↕ F. Bilbija / S. Michel

85'

86'

V. Becker / M. N'Diaye ↕

86'

A. Gantenbein / D. Ljubicic ↕

88'

J. Bachmann / M. Sylla ↕

90'+1

A. Aouchiche

90'+1

C. Gomis / A. Aouchiche ↕

Pre-match prediction

42.05%

SC

22.68%

X

35.27%

FC ←

we assigned to the actual result (FC Schalke 04) 35.27% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

SC

2.05

1.32

-0.73

FC

1.98

2.28

+0.29

FC Schalke 04 dominated by xG (2.28 vs 1.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Eintracht Braunschweig	1	3
2	1. FC Nürnberg	1	3
3	Energie Cottbus	1	3
4	1. FC Heidenheim	1	3
5	Karlsruher SC	1	3
6	Hertha BSC	1	3
7	Holstein Kiel	1	1
8	SV Darmstadt 98	1	1
9	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1	1
10	FC St. Pauli	1	1
11	VfL Wolfsburg	1	1
12	1. FC Kaiserslautern	1	1
13	VfL Osnabrück	1	0
14	Arminia Bielefeld	1	0
15	VfL Bochum	1	0
16	Hannover 96	1	0
17	Dynamo Dresden	1	0
18	1. FC Magdeburg	1	0

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 3-5-2

41

G 7.00

4 Calvin Brackelmann D 6.60

20 F. Götze D 7.20

25 T. Scheller D 6.90

3 Jonah Sticker 85' M 6.70

7 Filip Bilbija 85' M 6.90

5

S. Castaneda M 6.90

14 Mika Baur 1 👟 M 6.90

17 L. Curda 1 ⚽ M 7.30

2 Ruben Müller 66' F 7.00

30 Stefano Marino 1 ⚽ 80' F 7.20

Bench

10 Kennedy Okpala 10' F 6.30

22 Mattes Hansen M

9 Nick Bätzner 10' M 6.30

26 Sebastian Klaas M

27 Steffen Tigges 24' F 6.70

11 Sven Michel 10' F 6.50

FC Schalke 04 4-3-3

1

G 7.70

16 Moussa Ndiaye 1 👟 86' D 6.20

4 Hasan Kuruçay D 6.90

43 Mertcan Ayhan D 6.60

5 Timo Becker D 6.90

24 Adil Aouchiche 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.30

6 Ron Schallenberg M 6.90

23 Soufiane El-Faouzi M 6.60

19 K. Karaman F 6.90

9 Moussa Sylla 88' F 6.00

21 Dejan Ljubičić 2 ⚽ 86' F 8.20

Bench

7 Christian Gomis 1' F

Best on the pitch

Dejan Ljubičić

F · FC

8.20

2 ⚽

2 shots · 17 pass

G · FC

7.70

· 32 pass

Adil Aouchiche

M · FC

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 36 pass

L. Curda

M · SC

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 33 pass

F. Götze

D · SC

7.20

· 44 pass

Stefano Marino

F · SC

7.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 11 pass

SC Paderborn 07 — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	27	24%	—	—	—
Calvin Brackelmann	D	90	6.60	—	—	2	45	29%	4	—	—
F. Götze	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	44	39%	2	—	—
T. Scheller	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	57	47%	3	—	—
Jonah Sticker	M	85	6.70	—	—	—	24	17%	2	—	—
Filip Bilbija	M	85	6.90	—	—	1	14	12%	7	—	—
S. Castaneda	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	34	32%	1	—	—
Mika Baur	M	90	6.90	—	1	—	39	26%	3	—	—
L. Curda	M	90	7.30	1	—	3	33	21%	2	—	—
Ruben Müller	F	66	7.00	—	—	—	27	16%	1	—	—
Stefano Marino	F	80	7.20	1	—	2	11	5%	1	—	—
Kennedy Okpala	F	10	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Nick Bätzner	M	10	6.30	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
Steffen Tigges	F	24	6.70	—	—	2	5	2%	1	—	—
Sven Michel	F	10	6.50	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—

FC Schalke 04 — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.70	—	—	—	32	22%	—	—	—
Moussa Ndiaye	D	86	6.20	—	1	—	52	40%	4	—	—
Hasan Kuruçay	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	87	79%	1	—	—
Mertcan Ayhan	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	60	55%	3	—	—
Timo Becker	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	33	28%	4	—	—
Adil Aouchiche	M	89	7.30	1	—	2	36	25%	—	1	—
Ron Schallenberg	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	62	57%	3	—	—
Soufiane El-Faouzi	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	40	31%	4	—	—
K. Karaman	F	90	6.90	—	—	—	26	15%	2	—	—
Moussa Sylla	F	88	6.00	—	—	4	12	9%	—	—	—
Dejan Ljubičić	F	86	8.20	2	—	2	17	13%	—	—	—
Christian Gomis	F	1	—	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—