← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 34 April 12, 2026 17:15
Spezia
#19 · 35 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Mantova
#9 · 46 pts
32' (ast. T. Maggioni) D. Bragantini
72' (ast. S. Trimboli) N. Buso

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mantova a 38% win probability (draw 29%, Spezia 31%). The final result was Spezia 0–2 Mantova. In 1 previous meetings, Spezia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Mantova.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
5
2.41
Actual xG
1.00
0
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
6
Corners
0
19
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Alessandro Romano
13'
26'
L. Mancuso / D. Mensah ↕
28'
Ali Dembélé
32'
ast. T. Maggioni · D. Bragantini⚽
45'+3
Simone Trimboli
↕ D. Mascardi / B. Radunovic
46'
↕ G. Aurelio / L. Sernicola
46'
↕ G. Di Serio / G. Lapadula
46'
Filippo Bandinelli
49'
↕ C. Comotto / L. Vignali
56'
71'
N. Buso / D. Bragantini ↕
71'
T. Marras / F. Ruocco ↕
72'
ast. S. Trimboli · N. Buso⚽
↕ G. Artistico / V. Vlahovic
74'
79'
Rachid Kouda
Pre-match prediction
31.94%
Spezia
29.5%
X
38.56%
Mantova ←
we assigned to the actual result (Mantova) 38.56% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Spezia
1.15
2.41
+1.26
Mantova
1.42
1.00
-0.42
Spezia dominated by xG (2.41 vs 1.00). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Spezia Spezia 4-4-2
12
D. Mascardi 45' G 6.30
11
P. Beruatto D 7.30
55
P. Hristov D 7.20
4
D 6.30
37
A. Mateju D 6.20
31
G. Aurelio 45' M 6.30
25
F. Bandinelli M 7.00
60
Alessandro Romano M 7.30
34
C. Comotto 56' M 7.00
9 G. Artistico G. Artistico 74' F 6.30
20
G. Di Serio 45' F 5.90
Bench
8
A. Nagy M
10
G. Lapadula 45' F 6.30
17
L. Sernicola 45' D 6.20
32
L. Vignali 34' D 6.30
Mantova Mantova 3-4-2-1
24
G 8.20
29
S. Cella D 8.00
27
A. Castellini D 7.20
3
A. Dembele D 7.20
50
F. Benaissa-Yahia M 7.20
80
Rachid Kouda M 7.00
21 S. Trimboli S. Trimboli 1 👟 M 7.70
96
T. Maggioni 1 👟 M 7.00
19
F. Ruocco 71' F 6.30
30
D. Bragantini 1 ⚽ 71' F 7.90
7
D. Mensah 26' F 6.30
Bench
10
D. Wieser M
9
L. Mancuso 64' F 5.90
77
N. Buso 1 ⚽ 19' F 7.30
23
T. Marras 19' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
G · Mantova
8.20
· 25 pass
S. Cella
D · Mantova
8.00
· 46 pass
D. Bragantini
F · Mantova
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 26 pass
S. Trimboli
S. Trimboli
M · Mantova
7.70
1 👟
· 61 pass
P. Beruatto
D · Spezia
7.30
2 shots · 36 pass
N. Buso
F · Mantova
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 5 pass
Spezia Spezia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Mascardi G 45 6.30 — — — 12 2% — — —
P. Beruatto D 90 7.30 — — 2 36 27% 2 — —
P. Hristov D 90 7.20 — — — 25 16% 3 — —
D 90 6.30 — — — 32 25% — — —
A. Mateju D 90 6.20 — — 3 27 15% 2 — —
G. Aurelio M 45 6.30 — — — 9 5% — — —
F. Bandinelli M 90 7.00 — — — 33 27% 2 1 —
Alessandro Romano M 90 7.30 — — — 50 35% 3 1 —
C. Comotto M 56 7.00 — — 1 7 5% 7 — —
G. Artistico F 74 6.30 — — 1 15 10% — — —
G. Di Serio F 45 5.90 — — — 9 2% — — —
G. Lapadula F 45 6.30 — — 2 5 3% — — —
L. Sernicola D 45 6.20 — — — 14 11% — — —
L. Vignali D 34 6.30 — — — 13 10% — — —
Mantova Mantova — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.20 — — — 25 10% — — —
S. Cella D 90 8.00 — — — 46 39% 1 — —
A. Castellini D 90 7.20 — — 1 55 39% 4 — —
A. Dembele D 90 7.20 — — — 36 33% — 1 —
F. Benaissa-Yahia M 90 7.20 — — — 37 27% 2 — —
Rachid Kouda M 90 7.00 — — — 45 33% 1 1 —
S. Trimboli M 90 7.70 — 1 — 61 50% 3 1 —
T. Maggioni M 90 7.00 — 1 1 32 24% 1 — —
F. Ruocco F 71 6.30 — — 1 26 18% — — —
D. Bragantini F 71 7.90 1 — 1 26 17% 1 — —
D. Mensah F 26 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
L. Mancuso F 64 5.90 — — 1 9 5% — — —
N. Buso F 19 7.30 1 — 2 5 3% — — —
T. Marras F 19 6.50 — — — 6 6% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Spezia vs Mantova?
The final score was Spezia 0–2 Mantova.
What did the model predict before Spezia vs Mantova?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Spezia win, 29% to a draw, and 38% to an Mantova win.