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Serie B · Regular Season - 34 April 12, 2026 17:15 Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia
Spezia
0 – 2
Final score
Mantova
#4 · 18 pts
32' (ast. T. Maggioni) D. Bragantini
72' (ast. S. Trimboli) N. Buso
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mantova a 38% win probability (draw 29%, Spezia 31%). The final result was Spezia 0–2 Mantova. In 1 previous meetings, Spezia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Mantova.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
5
2.41
Actual xG
1.00
0
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
6
Corners
0
19
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Alessandro Romano
13'
26'
L. Mancuso / D. Mensah ↕
28'
Ali Dembélé
32'
ast. T. Maggioni · D. Bragantini⚽
45'+3
Simone Trimboli
↕ D. Mascardi / B. Radunovic
46'
↕ G. Aurelio / L. Sernicola
46'
↕ G. Di Serio / G. Lapadula
46'
Filippo Bandinelli
49'
↕ C. Comotto / L. Vignali
56'
71'
N. Buso / D. Bragantini ↕
71'
T. Marras / F. Ruocco ↕
72'
ast. S. Trimboli · N. Buso⚽
↕ G. Artistico / V. Vlahovic
74'
79'
Rachid Kouda
Pre-match prediction
31.94%
Spezia
29.5%
X
38.56%
Mantova ←
we assigned to the actual result (Mantova) 38.56% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Spezia
1.15
2.41
+1.26
Mantova
1.42
1.00
-0.42
Spezia dominated by xG (2.41 vs 1.00). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 11 27
2 Ascoli Ascoli 11 20
3 Modena Modena 10 20
4 Mantova Mantova 10 18
5 Avellino Avellino 10 15
6 Benevento Benevento 10 15
7 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 10 15
8 Pisa Pisa 10 15
9 Padova Padova 10 14
10 Sudtirol Sudtirol 10 14
11 Cremonese Cremonese 10 12
12 Cesena Cesena 10 12
13 Arezzo Arezzo 10 11
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 10 10
15 Carrarese Carrarese 10 10
16 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 10 9
17 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 10 9
18 Empoli Empoli 10 8
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 10 8
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 10 6
Lineups
Spezia Spezia 4-4-2
12 D. Mascardi D. Mascardi 45' G 6.30
11 P. Beruatto P. Beruatto D 7.30
55
P. Hristov D 7.20
4
D 6.30
37
A. Mateju D 6.20
31 G. Aurelio G. Aurelio 45' M 6.30
25 F. Bandinelli F. Bandinelli M 7.00
60 A. Romano A. Romano M 7.30
34 C. Comotto C. Comotto 56' M 7.00
9 G. Artistico G. Artistico 74' F 6.30
20
G. Di Serio 45' F 5.90
Bench
8 Á. Nagy Á. Nagy M
10 G. Lapadula G. Lapadula 45' F 6.30
17 L. Sernicola L. Sernicola 45' D 6.20
32 L. Vignali L. Vignali 34' D 6.30
Mantova Mantova 3-4-2-1
24
G 8.20
29 S. Cella S. Cella D 8.00
27 A. Castellini A. Castellini D 7.20
3 A. Dembélé A. Dembélé D 7.20
50 F. Benaissa-Yahia F. Benaissa-Yahia M 7.20
80 R. Kouda R. Kouda M 7.00
21 S. Trimboli S. Trimboli 1 👟 M 7.70
96 T. Maggioni T. Maggioni 1 👟 M 7.00
19 F. Ruocco F. Ruocco 71' F 6.30
30 D. Bragantini D. Bragantini 1 ⚽ 71' F 7.90
7
D. Mensah 26' F 6.30
Bench
10 D. Wieser D. Wieser M
9 L. Mancuso L. Mancuso 64' F 5.90
77 N. Buso N. Buso 1 ⚽ 19' F 7.30
23 T. Marras T. Marras 19' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
G · Mantova
8.20
· 25 pass
S. Cella
S. Cella
D · Mantova
8.00
· 46 pass
D. Bragantini
D. Bragantini
F · Mantova
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 26 pass
S. Trimboli
S. Trimboli
M · Mantova
7.70
1 👟
· 61 pass
P. Beruatto
P. Beruatto
D · Spezia
7.30
2 shots · 36 pass
N. Buso
N. Buso
F · Mantova
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 5 pass
Spezia Spezia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Mascardi G 45 6.30 — — — 12 2% — — —
P. Beruatto D 90 7.30 — — 2 36 27% 2 — —
P. Hristov D 90 7.20 — — — 25 16% 3 — —
D 90 6.30 — — — 32 25% — — —
A. Mateju D 90 6.20 — — 3 27 15% 2 — —
G. Aurelio M 45 6.30 — — — 9 5% — — —
F. Bandinelli M 90 7.00 — — — 33 27% 2 1 —
A. Romano M 90 7.30 — — — 50 35% 3 1 —
C. Comotto M 56 7.00 — — 1 7 5% 7 — —
G. Artistico F 74 6.30 — — 1 15 10% — — —
G. Di Serio F 45 5.90 — — — 9 2% — — —
G. Lapadula F 45 6.30 — — 2 5 3% — — —
L. Sernicola D 45 6.20 — — — 14 11% — — —
L. Vignali D 34 6.30 — — — 13 10% — — —
Mantova Mantova — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.20 — — — 25 10% — — —
S. Cella D 90 8.00 — — — 46 39% 1 — —
A. Castellini D 90 7.20 — — 1 55 39% 4 — —
A. Dembélé D 90 7.20 — — — 36 33% — 1 —
F. Benaissa-Yahia M 90 7.20 — — — 37 27% 2 — —
R. Kouda M 90 7.00 — — — 45 33% 1 1 —
S. Trimboli M 90 7.70 — 1 — 61 50% 3 1 —
T. Maggioni M 90 7.00 — 1 1 32 24% 1 — —
F. Ruocco F 71 6.30 — — 1 26 18% — — —
D. Bragantini F 71 7.90 1 — 1 26 17% 1 — —
D. Mensah F 26 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
L. Mancuso F 64 5.90 — — 1 9 5% — — —
N. Buso F 19 7.30 1 — 2 5 3% — — —
T. Marras F 19 6.50 — — — 6 6% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Spezia vs Mantova?
The final score was Spezia 0–2 Mantova.
What did the model predict before Spezia vs Mantova?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Spezia win, 29% to a draw, and 38% to an Mantova win.