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Serie B · Regular Season - 34 April 12, 2026 17:15 Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia
Spezia
0 – 2
Final score
Mantova
#3 · 7 pts
32' (ast. T. Maggioni) D. Bragantini
72' (ast. S. Trimboli) N. Buso
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mantova a 38% win probability (draw 29%, Spezia 31%). The final result was Spezia 0–2 Mantova. In 1 previous meetings, Spezia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Mantova.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
5
2.41
Actual xG
1.00
0
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
6
Corners
0
19
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Alessandro Romano
13'
26'
L. Mancuso / D. Mensah ↕
28'
Ali Dembélé
32'
ast. T. Maggioni · D. Bragantini⚽
45'+3
Simone Trimboli
↕ D. Mascardi / B. Radunovic
46'
↕ G. Aurelio / L. Sernicola
46'
↕ G. Di Serio / G. Lapadula
46'
Filippo Bandinelli
49'
↕ C. Comotto / L. Vignali
56'
71'
N. Buso / D. Bragantini ↕
71'
T. Marras / F. Ruocco ↕
72'
ast. S. Trimboli · N. Buso⚽
↕ G. Artistico / V. Vlahovic
74'
79'
Rachid Kouda
Pre-match prediction
31.94%
Spezia
29.5%
X
38.56%
Mantova ←
we assigned to the actual result (Mantova) 38.56% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Spezia
1.15
2.41
+1.26
Mantova
1.42
1.00
-0.42
Spezia dominated by xG (2.41 vs 1.00). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 3 9
2 Sudtirol Sudtirol 4 8
3 Mantova Mantova 3 7
4 Modena Modena 4 7
5 Ascoli Ascoli 4 7
6 Padova Padova 4 7
7 Arezzo Arezzo 4 6
8 Pisa Pisa 4 6
9 Avellino Avellino 3 6
10 Empoli Empoli 4 6
11 Cesena Cesena 3 5
12 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 4 5
13 Benevento Benevento 4 4
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 4 4
15 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 4 4
16 Cremonese Cremonese 3 3
17 Catanzaro Catanzaro 4 3
18 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 4 2
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 3 1
20 Carrarese Carrarese 4 1
Lineups
Spezia Spezia 4-4-2
12 D. Mascardi D. Mascardi 45' G 6.30
11 P. Beruatto P. Beruatto D 7.30
55
P. Hristov D 7.20
4
D 6.30
37
A. Mateju D 6.20
31 G. Aurelio G. Aurelio 45' M 6.30
25 F. Bandinelli F. Bandinelli M 7.00
60 A. Romano A. Romano M 7.30
34 Christian Comotto Christian Comotto 56' M 7.00
9 G. Artistico G. Artistico 74' F 6.30
20
G. Di Serio 45' F 5.90
Bench
8 Á. Nagy Á. Nagy M
10 G. Lapadula G. Lapadula 45' F 6.30
17 L. Sernicola L. Sernicola 45' D 6.20
32 L. Vignali L. Vignali 34' D 6.30
Mantova Mantova 3-4-2-1
24
G 8.20
29 S. Cella S. Cella D 8.00
27 A. Castellini A. Castellini D 7.20
3 A. Dembélé A. Dembélé D 7.20
50 F. Benaissa-Yahia F. Benaissa-Yahia M 7.20
80 R. Kouda R. Kouda M 7.00
21 S. Trimboli S. Trimboli 1 👟 M 7.70
96 T. Maggioni T. Maggioni 1 👟 M 7.00
19 F. Ruocco F. Ruocco 71' F 6.30
30 D. Bragantini D. Bragantini 1 ⚽ 71' F 7.90
7
D. Mensah 26' F 6.30
Bench
10 D. Wieser D. Wieser M
9 L. Mancuso L. Mancuso 64' F 5.90
77 N. Buso N. Buso 1 ⚽ 19' F 7.30
23 Tommaso Marras Tommaso Marras 19' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
G · Mantova
8.20
· 25 pass
S. Cella
S. Cella
D · Mantova
8.00
· 46 pass
D. Bragantini
D. Bragantini
F · Mantova
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 26 pass
S. Trimboli
S. Trimboli
M · Mantova
7.70
1 👟
· 61 pass
P. Beruatto
P. Beruatto
D · Spezia
7.30
2 shots · 36 pass
N. Buso
N. Buso
F · Mantova
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 5 pass
Spezia Spezia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Mascardi G 45 6.30 — — — 12 2% — — —
P. Beruatto D 90 7.30 — — 2 36 27% 2 — —
P. Hristov D 90 7.20 — — — 25 16% 3 — —
D 90 6.30 — — — 32 25% — — —
A. Mateju D 90 6.20 — — 3 27 15% 2 — —
G. Aurelio M 45 6.30 — — — 9 5% — — —
F. Bandinelli M 90 7.00 — — — 33 27% 2 1 —
A. Romano M 90 7.30 — — — 50 35% 3 1 —
Christian Comotto M 56 7.00 — — 1 7 5% 7 — —
G. Artistico F 74 6.30 — — 1 15 10% — — —
G. Di Serio F 45 5.90 — — — 9 2% — — —
G. Lapadula F 45 6.30 — — 2 5 3% — — —
L. Sernicola D 45 6.20 — — — 14 11% — — —
L. Vignali D 34 6.30 — — — 13 10% — — —
Mantova Mantova — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.20 — — — 25 10% — — —
S. Cella D 90 8.00 — — — 46 39% 1 — —
A. Castellini D 90 7.20 — — 1 55 39% 4 — —
A. Dembélé D 90 7.20 — — — 36 33% — 1 —
F. Benaissa-Yahia M 90 7.20 — — — 37 27% 2 — —
R. Kouda M 90 7.00 — — — 45 33% 1 1 —
S. Trimboli M 90 7.70 — 1 — 61 50% 3 1 —
T. Maggioni M 90 7.00 — 1 1 32 24% 1 — —
F. Ruocco F 71 6.30 — — 1 26 18% — — —
D. Bragantini F 71 7.90 1 — 1 26 17% 1 — —
D. Mensah F 26 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
L. Mancuso F 64 5.90 — — 1 9 5% — — —
N. Buso F 19 7.30 1 — 2 5 3% — — —
Tommaso Marras F 19 6.50 — — — 6 6% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Spezia vs Mantova?
The final score was Spezia 0–2 Mantova.
What did the model predict before Spezia vs Mantova?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Spezia win, 29% to a draw, and 38% to an Mantova win.