Sporting CP 5–1 Guimaraes — pre-match prediction — Primeira Liga — May 04, 2026

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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 32 May 04, 2026 21:15

Sporting CP

#2 · 79 pts

5 – 1

Final score

Guimaraes

#8 · 42 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Sporting CP

G. Inacio (ast. L. Suarez) 9'

D. Braganca (ast. H. Morita) 23'

M. Araujo (ast. Z. Debast) 45'+1

L. Suarez (ast. Pote) 61'

Luis Guilherme (ast. L. Suarez) 74'

(og) 85' Z. Debast

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 61% win probability (draw 20%, Guimaraes 17%). The final result was Sporting CP 5–1 Guimaraes. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting CP have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Guimaraes.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

4.22

Actual xG

0.52

Saves

51%

Possession

49%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

D. Sousa

⚽G. Inacio · ast. L. Suarez

⚽D. Braganca · ast. H. Morita

23'

30'

N. Saviolo

⚽M. Araujo · ast. Z. Debast

45'+1

↕ H. Morita / Luis Guilherme

46'

G. Nogueira / D. Sousa ↕

60'

Thiago Balieiro

⚽L. Suarez · ast. Pote

61'

62'

A. Ndoye / Gustavo ↕

62'

O. Camara / M. Nogueira ↕

↕ G. Catamo / N. Santos

70'

⚽Luis Guilherme · ast. L. Suarez

74'

↕ Pote / G. Kochorashvili

78'

↕ Trincao / G. Quenda

78'

79'

T. Arcanjo / N. Saviolo ↕

↕ G. Inacio / O. Diomande

82'

85'

(og) Z. Debast⚽

85'

F. Blanco / Samu ↕

Pre-match prediction

61.73%

Sporting ←

20.46%

17.82%

Guimaraes

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sporting CP) 61.73% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Sporting

1.94

4.22

+2.28

Guimaraes

0.99

0.52

-0.47

Sporting CP dominated by xG (4.22 vs 0.52). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Porto	33	85
2	Sporting CP	33	79
3	Benfica	33	77
4	SC Braga	33	58
5	Famalicao	33	53
6	GIL Vicente	33	50
7	Moreirense	33	42
8	Guimaraes	33	42
9	Estoril	33	39
10	Arouca	33	39
11	Alverca	33	39
12	Santa Clara	33	36
13	Rio Ave	33	35
14	Nacional	33	31
15	Estrela	33	29
16	Casa Pia	33	29
17	Tondela	33	28
18	AVS	33	20

Lineups

Sporting CP 4-2-3-1

Rui Silva G 8.00

M. Araújo 1 ⚽ D 8.20

Gonçalo Inácio 1 ⚽ 82' D 7.90

Z. Debast 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 6.50

Quaresma D 7.30

Hidemasa Morita 1 👟 45' M 7.50

Daniel Bragança 1 ⚽ M 8.30

Pote 1 👟 78' M 6.90

Trincão 78' M 6.30

Geny Catamo 70' M 7.00

L. Suárez 1 ⚽ 2 👟 F 8.90

Bench

Geovany Quenda 16' M 6.30

Giorgi Kochorashvili 16' M 6.60

Giorgos Vagiannidis D

Luís Guilherme 1 ⚽ 49' F 7.60

Ousmane Diomande 12' D 7.90

Rafael Nel F

Ricardo Mangas D

Guimaraes 4-2-3-1

Charles G 5.60

João Mendes D 5.30

Thiago Balieiro D 4.90

D 5.30

Tony Strata D 5.90

M 6.50

Diogo Sousa 45' M 6.30

Noah Saviolo 79' M 5.60

Samu 86' M 6.60

Miguel Nogueira 62' M 6.20

Gustavo Silva 62' F 6.00

Bench

Gonçalo Nogueira 49' M 6.70

Miguel Maga D

Oumar Camara 32' F 6.50

Best on the pitch

L. Suárez

F · Sporting

8.90

1 ⚽ 2 👟

4 shots · 23 pass

Daniel Bragança

M · Sporting

8.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 61 pass

M. Araújo

D · Sporting

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 31 pass

Rui Silva

G · Sporting

8.00

· 25 pass

Gonçalo Inácio

D · Sporting

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 58 pass

Ousmane Diomande

D · Sporting

7.90

· 6 pass

Sporting CP — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Rui Silva	G	94	8.00	—	—	—	25	20%	—	—	—
M. Araújo	D	94	8.20	1	—	1	31	26%	4	—	—
Gonçalo Inácio	D	82	7.90	1	—	1	58	52%	—	—	—
Z. Debast	D	94	6.50	1	1	—	60	55%	2	—	—
Quaresma	D	94	7.30	—	—	—	47	42%	7	—	—
Hidemasa Morita	M	45	7.50	—	1	—	25	20%	—	—	—
Daniel Bragança	M	94	8.30	1	—	2	61	55%	2	—	—
Pote	M	78	6.90	—	1	2	35	30%	1	—	—
Trincão	M	78	6.30	—	—	1	39	30%	1	—	—
Geny Catamo	M	70	7.00	—	—	—	21	18%	1	—	—
L. Suárez	F	94	8.90	1	2	4	23	16%	—	—	—
Geovany Quenda	M	16	6.30	—	—	—	9	7%	—	—	—
Giorgi Kochorashvili	M	16	6.60	—	—	—	9	9%	—	—	—
Luís Guilherme	F	49	7.60	1	—	1	23	19%	1	—	—
Ousmane Diomande	D	12	7.90	—	—	—	6	6%	—	—	—

Guimaraes — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Charles	G	94	5.60	—	—	—	30	19%	—	—	—
João Mendes	D	94	5.30	—	—	2	43	38%	3	—	—
Thiago Balieiro	D	94	4.90	—	—	—	40	36%	—	1	—
	D	94	5.30	—	—	—	57	49%	2	—	—
Tony Strata	D	94	5.90	—	—	2	44	40%	2	—	—
	M	94	6.50	—	—	—	79	69%	—	—	—
Diogo Sousa	M	45	6.30	—	—	1	30	25%	2	1	—
Noah Saviolo	M	79	5.60	—	—	—	19	17%	—	1	—
Samu	M	86	6.60	—	—	1	33	24%	1	—	—
Miguel Nogueira	M	62	6.20	—	—	1	26	20%	2	—	—
Gustavo Silva	F	62	6.00	—	—	2	10	5%	—	—	—
Gonçalo Nogueira	M	49	6.70	—	—	1	15	14%	1	—	—
Oumar Camara	F	32	6.50	—	—	—	14	10%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Guimaraes?

The final score was Sporting CP 5–1 Guimaraes.

What did the model predict before Sporting CP vs Guimaraes?

The model assigned 61% probability to a Sporting CP win, 20% to a draw, and 17% to an Guimaraes win.