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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 32 May 04, 2026 21:15 Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Sporting CP
#9 · 0 pts
5 – 1
Final score
Guimaraes
#2 · 0 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Sporting CP
G. Inacio (ast. L. Suarez) 9'
D. Braganca (ast. H. Morita) 23'
M. Araujo (ast. Z. Debast) 45'+1
L. Suarez (ast. Pote) 61'
Luis Guilherme (ast. L. Suarez) 74'
(og) 85' Z. Debast
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 61% win probability (draw 20%, Guimaraes 17%). The final result was Sporting CP 5–1 Guimaraes. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting CP have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Guimaraes.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
10
10
Shots on target
5
4.22
Actual xG
0.52
5
Saves
5
51%
Possession
49%
1
Corners
7
19
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
7'
D. Sousa
⚽G. Inacio · ast. L. Suarez
9'
⚽D. Braganca · ast. H. Morita
23'
30'
N. Saviolo
⚽M. Araujo · ast. Z. Debast
45'+1
↕ H. Morita / Luis Guilherme
46'
46'
G. Nogueira / D. Sousa ↕
60'
Thiago Balieiro
⚽L. Suarez · ast. Pote
61'
62'
A. Ndoye / Gustavo ↕
62'
O. Camara / M. Nogueira ↕
↕ G. Catamo / N. Santos
70'
⚽Luis Guilherme · ast. L. Suarez
74'
↕ Pote / G. Kochorashvili
78'
↕ Trincao / G. Quenda
78'
79'
T. Arcanjo / N. Saviolo ↕
↕ G. Inacio / O. Diomande
82'
85'
(og) Z. Debast⚽
85'
F. Blanco / Samu ↕
Pre-match prediction
61.73%
Sporting ←
20.46%
X
17.82%
Guimaraes
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sporting CP) 61.73% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sporting
1.94
4.22
+2.28
Guimaraes
0.99
0.52
-0.47
Sporting CP dominated by xG (4.22 vs 0.52). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Estrela Estrela 0 0
2 Guimaraes Guimaraes 0 0
3 Estoril Estoril 0 0
4 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 0 0
5 Rio Ave Rio Ave 0 0
6 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0 0
7 Moreirense Moreirense 0 0
8 FC Porto FC Porto 0 0
9 Sporting CP Sporting CP 0 0
10 Benfica Benfica 0 0
11 Maritimo Maritimo 0 0
12 SC Braga SC Braga 0 0
13 Nacional Nacional 0 0
14 Arouca Arouca 0 0
15 Casa Pia Casa Pia 0 0
16 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 0 0
17 Alverca Alverca 0 0
18 Famalicao Famalicao 0 0
Lineups
Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva Rui Silva G 8.00
20 M. Araújo M. Araújo 1 ⚽ D 8.20
25 Gonçalo Inácio Gonçalo Inácio 1 ⚽ 82' D 7.90
6 Zeno Debast Zeno Debast 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 6.50
72 Eduardo Quaresma Eduardo Quaresma D 7.30
5 Hidemasa Morita Hidemasa Morita 1 👟 45' M 7.50
23 Daniel Bragança Daniel Bragança 1 ⚽ M 8.30
8 Pote Pote 1 👟 78' M 6.90
17 Francisco Trincão Francisco Trincão 78' M 6.30
10 Geny Catamo Geny Catamo 70' M 7.00
97 L. Suárez L. Suárez 1 ⚽ 2 👟 F 8.90
Bench
13 Georgios Vagiannidis Georgios Vagiannidis D
7 Geovany Quenda Geovany Quenda 16' M 6.30
14
Giorgi Kochorashvili 16' M 6.60
31 Luis Guilherme Luis Guilherme 1 ⚽ 49' F 7.60
26 Ousmane Diomande Ousmane Diomande 12' D 7.90
90 Rafael Nel Rafael Nel F
91 Ricardo Mangas Ricardo Mangas D
Guimaraes Guimaraes 4-2-3-1
27 Charles Charles G 5.60
13 João Mendes João Mendes D 5.30
28 Thiago Balieiro Thiago Balieiro D 4.90
4
D 5.30
66 Tony Strata Tony Strata D 5.90
16
M 6.50
23
Diogo Sousa 45' M 6.30
48 Noah Saviolo Noah Saviolo 79' M 5.60
20 Samu Samu 86' M 6.60
88 Miguel Nogueira Miguel Nogueira 62' M 6.20
11 Gustavo Silva Gustavo Silva 62' F 6.00
Bench
30 Gonçalo Nogueira Gonçalo Nogueira 49' M 6.70
2 Miguel Maga Miguel Maga D
19 Oumar Camara Oumar Camara 32' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
L. Suárez
L. Suárez
F · Sporting
8.90
1 ⚽ 2 👟
4 shots · 23 pass
Daniel Bragança
Daniel Bragança
M · Sporting
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 61 pass
M. Araújo
M. Araújo
D · Sporting
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 31 pass
Rui Silva
Rui Silva
G · Sporting
8.00
· 25 pass
Gonçalo Inácio
Gonçalo Inácio
D · Sporting
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 58 pass
Ousmane Diomande
Ousmane Diomande
D · Sporting
7.90
· 6 pass
Sporting CP Sporting CP — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rui Silva G 94 8.00 — — — 25 20% — — —
M. Araújo D 94 8.20 1 — 1 31 26% 4 — —
Gonçalo Inácio D 82 7.90 1 — 1 58 52% — — —
Zeno Debast D 94 6.50 1 1 — 60 55% 2 — —
Eduardo Quaresma D 94 7.30 — — — 47 42% 7 — —
Hidemasa Morita M 45 7.50 — 1 — 25 20% — — —
Daniel Bragança M 94 8.30 1 — 2 61 55% 2 — —
Pote M 78 6.90 — 1 2 35 30% 1 — —
Francisco Trincão M 78 6.30 — — 1 39 30% 1 — —
Geny Catamo M 70 7.00 — — — 21 18% 1 — —
L. Suárez F 94 8.90 1 2 4 23 16% — — —
Geovany Quenda M 16 6.30 — — — 9 7% — — —
Giorgi Kochorashvili M 16 6.60 — — — 9 9% — — —
Luis Guilherme F 49 7.60 1 — 1 23 19% 1 — —
Ousmane Diomande D 12 7.90 — — — 6 6% — — —
Guimaraes Guimaraes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Charles G 94 5.60 — — — 30 19% — — —
João Mendes D 94 5.30 — — 2 43 38% 3 — —
Thiago Balieiro D 94 4.90 — — — 40 36% — 1 —
D 94 5.30 — — — 57 49% 2 — —
Tony Strata D 94 5.90 — — 2 44 40% 2 — —
M 94 6.50 — — — 79 69% — — —
Diogo Sousa M 45 6.30 — — 1 30 25% 2 1 —
Noah Saviolo M 79 5.60 — — — 19 17% — 1 —
Samu M 86 6.60 — — 1 33 24% 1 — —
Miguel Nogueira M 62 6.20 — — 1 26 20% 2 — —
Gustavo Silva F 62 6.00 — — 2 10 5% — — —
Gonçalo Nogueira M 49 6.70 — — 1 15 14% 1 — —
Oumar Camara F 32 6.50 — — — 14 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Guimaraes?
The final score was Sporting CP 5–1 Guimaraes.
What did the model predict before Sporting CP vs Guimaraes?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Sporting CP win, 20% to a draw, and 17% to an Guimaraes win.