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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 32 May 04, 2026 21:15 Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Sporting CP
#3 · 13 pts
5 – 1
Final score
Vitória SC
#12 · 4 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Sporting CP
G. Inacio (ast. L. Suarez) 9'
D. Braganca (ast. H. Morita) 23'
M. Araujo (ast. Z. Debast) 45'+1
L. Suarez (ast. Pote) 61'
Luis Guilherme (ast. L. Suarez) 74'
(og) 85' Z. Debast
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 61% win probability (draw 20%, Vitória SC 17%). The final result was Sporting CP 5–1 Vitória SC. In 2 previous meetings, Sporting CP have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Vitória SC.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
10
10
Shots on target
5
4.22
Actual xG
0.52
5
Saves
5
51%
Possession
49%
1
Corners
7
19
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
7'
D. Sousa
⚽G. Inacio · ast. L. Suarez
9'
⚽D. Braganca · ast. H. Morita
23'
30'
N. Saviolo
⚽M. Araujo · ast. Z. Debast
45'+1
↕ H. Morita / Luis Guilherme
46'
46'
G. Nogueira / D. Sousa ↕
60'
Thiago Balieiro
⚽L. Suarez · ast. Pote
61'
62'
A. Ndoye / Gustavo ↕
62'
O. Camara / M. Nogueira ↕
↕ G. Catamo / N. Santos
70'
⚽Luis Guilherme · ast. L. Suarez
74'
↕ Pote / G. Kochorashvili
78'
↕ Trincao / G. Quenda
78'
79'
T. Arcanjo / N. Saviolo ↕
↕ G. Inacio / O. Diomande
82'
85'
(og) Z. Debast⚽
85'
F. Blanco / Samu ↕
Pre-match prediction
61.73%
Sporting ←
20.46%
X
17.82%
Vitória
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sporting CP) 61.73% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sporting
1.94
4.22
+2.28
Vitória
0.99
0.52
-0.47
Sporting CP dominated by xG (4.22 vs 0.52). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 5 15
2 Benfica Benfica 5 13
3 Sporting CP Sporting CP 5 13
4 Santa Clara Santa Clara 5 11
5 Arouca Arouca 5 10
6 Estrela Estrela 5 9
7 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 4 7
8 SC Braga SC Braga 4 7
9 Maritimo Maritimo 5 7
10 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 5 5
11 Alverca Alverca 6 5
12 Vitória SC Vitória SC 5 4
13 Nacional Nacional 6 4
14 Moreirense Moreirense 5 4
15 Famalicao Famalicao 5 3
16 Rio Ave Rio Ave 5 3
17 Estoril Estoril 5 2
18 Casa Pia Casa Pia 5 1
Lineups
Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva Rui Silva G 8.00
20 M. Araújo M. Araújo 1 ⚽ D 8.20
25 Gonçalo Inácio Gonçalo Inácio 1 ⚽ 82' D 7.90
6 Z. Debast Z. Debast 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 6.50
72 Eduardo Quaresma Eduardo Quaresma D 7.30
5 H. Morita H. Morita 1 👟 45' M 7.50
23 Daniel Bragança Daniel Bragança 1 ⚽ M 8.30
8 Pedro Gonçalves Pedro Gonçalves 1 👟 78' M 6.90
17 Trincão Trincão 78' M 6.30
10 Geny Catamo Geny Catamo 70' M 7.00
97 L. Suárez L. Suárez 1 ⚽ 2 👟 F 8.90
Bench
7 Geovany Tcherno Quenda Geovany Tcherno Quenda 16' M 6.30
14 G. Kochorashvili G. Kochorashvili 16' M 6.60
13 G. Vagiannidis G. Vagiannidis D
31 Luis Guilherme Luis Guilherme 1 ⚽ 49' F 7.60
26 O. Diomande O. Diomande 12' D 7.90
90 Rafael Ferreira Nel Rafael Ferreira Nel F
91 Ricardo Mangas Ricardo Mangas D
Vitória SC Vitória SC 4-2-3-1
27 Charles Charles G 5.60
13 João Mendes João Mendes D 5.30
28 Thiago Balieiro Thiago Balieiro D 4.90
4
D 5.30
66 T. Strata T. Strata D 5.90
16
M 6.50
23 Diogo Sousa Diogo Sousa 45' M 6.30
48 Noah Saviolo Noah Saviolo 79' M 5.60
20 Samu Samu 86' M 6.60
88 Miguel Nogueira Miguel Nogueira 62' M 6.20
11 Gustavo Gustavo 62' F 6.00
Bench
30 Gonçalo Nogueira Gonçalo Nogueira 49' M 6.70
2 Miguel Maga Miguel Maga D
19 O. Camara O. Camara 32' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
L. Suárez
L. Suárez
F · Sporting
8.90
1 ⚽ 2 👟
4 shots · 23 pass
Daniel Bragança
Daniel Bragança
M · Sporting
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 61 pass
M. Araújo
M. Araújo
D · Sporting
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 31 pass
Rui Silva
Rui Silva
G · Sporting
8.00
· 25 pass
Gonçalo Inácio
Gonçalo Inácio
D · Sporting
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 58 pass
O. Diomande
O. Diomande
D · Sporting
7.90
· 6 pass
Sporting CP Sporting CP — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rui Silva G 94 8.00 — — — 25 20% — — —
M. Araújo D 94 8.20 1 — 1 31 26% 4 — —
Gonçalo Inácio D 82 7.90 1 — 1 58 52% — — —
Z. Debast D 94 6.50 1 1 — 60 55% 2 — —
Eduardo Quaresma D 94 7.30 — — — 47 42% 7 — —
H. Morita M 45 7.50 — 1 — 25 20% — — —
Daniel Bragança M 94 8.30 1 — 2 61 55% 2 — —
Pedro Gonçalves M 78 6.90 — 1 2 35 30% 1 — —
Trincão M 78 6.30 — — 1 39 30% 1 — —
Geny Catamo M 70 7.00 — — — 21 18% 1 — —
L. Suárez F 94 8.90 1 2 4 23 16% — — —
Geovany Tcherno Quenda M 16 6.30 — — — 9 7% — — —
G. Kochorashvili M 16 6.60 — — — 9 9% — — —
Luis Guilherme F 49 7.60 1 — 1 23 19% 1 — —
O. Diomande D 12 7.90 — — — 6 6% — — —
Vitória SC Vitória SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Charles G 94 5.60 — — — 30 19% — — —
João Mendes D 94 5.30 — — 2 43 38% 3 — —
Thiago Balieiro D 94 4.90 — — — 40 36% — 1 —
D 94 5.30 — — — 57 49% 2 — —
T. Strata D 94 5.90 — — 2 44 40% 2 — —
M 94 6.50 — — — 79 69% — — —
Diogo Sousa M 45 6.30 — — 1 30 25% 2 1 —
Noah Saviolo M 79 5.60 — — — 19 17% — 1 —
Samu M 86 6.60 — — 1 33 24% 1 — —
Miguel Nogueira M 62 6.20 — — 1 26 20% 2 — —
Gustavo F 62 6.00 — — 2 10 5% — — —
Gonçalo Nogueira M 49 6.70 — — 1 15 14% 1 — —
O. Camara F 32 6.50 — — — 14 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Vitória SC?
The final score was Sporting CP 5–1 Vitória SC.
What did the model predict before Sporting CP vs Vitória SC?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Sporting CP win, 20% to a draw, and 17% to an Vitória SC win.