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← Canadian Premier League

Forge - Atlético Ottawa

#2 · 58 pts
vs
#3 · 43 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 8.8°C 💨 18 km/h · Hamilton
⚡ Pre-match analysis
78.53%
Win
Forge
10.92%
Draw
10.55%
Win
Atlético Ottawa
3.93
Expected xG
1.34
Most likely outcome
Forge
78.53%
Probability
52.4%
1X2 accuracy · 21 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–1 (7.33%)
1X2 Result
1 79%
X 11%
2 11%
Double Chance
1X 90%
X2 22%
12 89%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 70%
✓ 70.6% hit rate (34 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Forge a 78% win probability, against 10% for a draw and 10% for Atlético Ottawa. Expected goals are 3.9 for Forge and 1.3 for Atlético Ottawa (total 5.3), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 7.33% probability. In 5 previous meetings, Forge have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Atlético Ottawa.

Season Stats

Forge
6W 6D 3L
Atlético Ottawa
7W 2D 6L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.5
1.1
Conceded
1.5
5.1
Shots OT
3.6
6.5
Corners
4.9
50%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
87%
53%
O 2.5
73%
60%
BTTS
60%
27%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Canadian Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Forge
7W 2D 1L · at home
Atlético Ottawa
4W 1D 5L · away
2.4
gls/g
1.4
0.9
Conceded
1.7
70%
Win %
40%
90%
Win or Draw
50%
80%
O 1.5
90%
60%
O 2.5
80%
40%
O 3.5
40%
40%
BTTS
70%
50%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Forge Atlético Ottawa →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% —
1 2.0% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
2 4.0% 5.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.2% 7.0% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 5.1% 6.9% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
5 4.0% 5.4% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%

Recent form

D Atlético Ottawa 2–2
D Pacific FC 1–1
W Atlético Ottawa 1–2
W York United 5–0
W Pacific FC 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
D Forge 2–2
L York United 2–1
L Forge 1–2
W Pacific FC 0–2
W Cavalry FC 3–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Forge Forge
Attack
50
Defence
69
Form
63
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
Attack
32
Defence
54
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Forge vs Atlético Ottawa?
The model gives Forge a 78% win probability, 10% for a draw, and 10% for an Atlético Ottawa win.
How many goals are expected in Forge vs Atlético Ottawa?
Expected goals: Forge 3.9, Atlético Ottawa 1.3 (total 5.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in Forge vs Atlético Ottawa?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.33%.