2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 31
April 26, 2026 13:30
R. Lubach
(ast. H. Koudossou)
45'+2
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Magdeburg a 37% win probability (draw 26%, 1. FC Nürnberg 36%). The final result was 1. FC Nürnberg 1–0 1. FC Magdeburg. In 1 previous meetings, 1. FC Nürnberg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for 1. FC Magdeburg.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
1
1.69
Actual xG
0.75
1
Saves
5
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
5
15
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽R. Lubach
· ast. H. Koudossou
45'+2
54'
H. Bockhorn
R. Lubach
56'
A. Grimaldi
/ P. Scobel
61'
70'
L. Musonda
71'
P. Hercher
/
H. Bockhorn
71'
J. Hugonet
/
M. Geschwill
72'
M. Breunig
/
A. Holmstrom
R. Lubach
/ T. Baack
73'
79'
M. Mathisen
J. Fernandez
/ T. Buchmann
82'
J. Justvan
/ M. Soldic
83'
F. O. Becker
/ R. Nzingoula
83'
87'
R. Ghrieb
/
S. Gnaka
Pre-match prediction
36.98%
1. ←
26.02%
X
37.0%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Nürnberg)
36.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.34
1.69
+0.35
1.49
0.75
-0.74
1. FC Nürnberg dominated by xG (1.69 vs 0.75).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
21
Berkay Yilmaz
D
Berkay Yilmaz
D
24
D
4
Fabio Gruber
D
Fabio Gruber
D
8
Henri Koudossou
1 👟
D
Henri Koudossou
1 👟
D
20
Javier Fernandez
82'
M
Javier Fernandez
82'
M
6
A. Marhiev
M
A. Marhiev
M
18
Rafael Lubach
1 ⚽
73'
M
Rafael Lubach
1 ⚽
73'
M
25
F. Becker
83'
M
F. Becker
83'
M
10
J. Justvan
83'
M
J. Justvan
83'
M
33
Adriano Grimaldi
61'
F
Adriano Grimaldi
61'
F
Bench
37
Noah Le Bret Maboulou
F
Noah Le Bret Maboulou
F
39
Piet Scobel
35'
F
Piet Scobel
35'
F
22
Rabby Nzingoula
13'
M
Rabby Nzingoula
13'
M
28
Tarek Buchmann
14'
D
5
Tom Baack
23'
M
Tom Baack
23'
M
1
G
19
Lubambo Musonda
D
Lubambo Musonda
D
28
Max Geschwill
71'
D
Max Geschwill
71'
D
16
M. Mathisen
D
M. Mathisen
D
7
Herbert Bockhorn
71'
D
Herbert Bockhorn
71'
D
25
Silas Gnaka
87'
M
21
Falko Michel
M
Falko Michel
M
8
L. Ulrich
M
23
B. Atik
F
B. Atik
F
11
Alexander Ahl Holmstrom
72'
F
Alexander Ahl Holmstrom
72'
F
17
Alexander Nollenberger
F
Alexander Nollenberger
F
Bench
6
Dariusz Stalmach
M
Dariusz Stalmach
M
24
Jean Hugonet
25'
M
Jean Hugonet
25'
M
10
Noah Pesch
F
Noah Pesch
F
27
Philipp Hercher
25'
D
Philipp Hercher
25'
D
29
R. Ghrieb
9'
F
R. Ghrieb
9'
F
18
Richmond Tachie
F
Richmond Tachie
F
Best on the pitch
Henri Koudossou
D · 1.
8.90
1 👟
· 36 pass
G · 1.
8.50
· 59 pass
Fabio Gruber
D · 1.
7.90
· 45 pass
M. Mathisen
D · 1.
7.50
· 68 pass
D · 1.
7.30
· 40 pass
Rafael Lubach
M · 1.
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
1. FC Nürnberg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| Berkay Yilmaz | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 1 | — | — | |
| Fabio Gruber | D | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Henri Koudossou | D | 96 | 8.90 | — | 1 | — | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Javier Fernandez | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Marhiev | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Lubach | M | 73 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Becker | M | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 28% | — | — | — |
| J. Justvan | M | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Adriano Grimaldi | F | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Piet Scobel | F | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Rabby Nzingoula | M | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Tarek Buchmann | D | 14 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Tom Baack | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
1. FC Magdeburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 59 | 49% | — | — | — | |
| Lubambo Musonda | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Max Geschwill | D | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Mathisen | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 68 | 55% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Herbert Bockhorn | D | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Silas Gnaka | M | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Falko Michel | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Ulrich | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Atik | F | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Alexander Ahl Holmstrom | F | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Alexander Nollenberger | F | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Jean Hugonet | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Philipp Hercher | D | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ghrieb | F | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
The final score was 1. FC Nürnberg 1–0 1. FC Magdeburg.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
The model assigned 36% probability to a 1. FC Nürnberg win, 26% to a draw, and 37% to an 1. FC Magdeburg win.