2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31 April 26, 2026 15:30

1. FC Nürnberg

#8 · 45 pts

1 – 0

Final score

1. FC Magdeburg

#12 · 39 pts

R. Lubach (ast. H. Koudossou) 45'+2

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Magdeburg a 37% win probability (draw 26%, 1. FC Nürnberg 36%). The final result was 1. FC Nürnberg 1–0 1. FC Magdeburg. In 1 previous meetings, 1. FC Nürnberg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for 1. FC Magdeburg.

Match statistics

9

Total shots

5

6

Shots on target

1

1.69

Actual xG

0.75

1

Saves

5

49%

Possession

51%

3

Corners

5

15

Tackles

17

1

🟨 Yellow cards

3

Match Events

⚽R. Lubach · ast. H. Koudossou

45'+2

54'

H. Bockhorn

R. Lubach

56'

↕ A. Grimaldi / P. Scobel

61'

70'

L. Musonda

71'

P. Hercher / H. Bockhorn ↕

71'

J. Hugonet / M. Geschwill ↕

72'

M. Breunig / A. Holmstrom ↕

↕ R. Lubach / T. Baack

73'

79'

M. Mathisen

↕ J. Fernandez / T. Buchmann

82'

↕ J. Justvan / M. Soldic

83'

↕ F. O. Becker / R. Nzingoula

83'

87'

R. Ghrieb / S. Gnaka ↕

Pre-match prediction

36.98%

1. ←

26.02%

X

37.0%

1.

we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Nürnberg) 36.98% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

1.

1.34

1.69

+0.35

1.

1.49

0.75

-0.74

1. FC Nürnberg dominated by xG (1.69 vs 0.75). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Schalke 04	33	67
2	SV Elversberg	33	59
3	Hannover 96	33	59
4	SC Paderborn 07	33	59
5	SV Darmstadt 98	33	52
6	Hertha BSC	33	51
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	33	49
8	1. FC Nürnberg	33	45
9	Karlsruher SC	33	44
10	VfL Bochum	33	41
11	Holstein Kiel	33	41
12	1. FC Magdeburg	33	39
13	Dynamo Dresden	33	38
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	33	37
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	33	37
16	Arminia Bielefeld	33	36
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	33	34
18	Preußen Münster	33	30

Lineups

1. FC Nürnberg 4-2-3-1

1

G 7.20

21 Berkay Yılmaz D 6.90

24

D 7.30

4 Fabio Gruber D 7.90

8 Henri Koudossou 1 👟 D 8.90

20 Javier Fernandez 82' M 6.90

6 Adam Markhiev M 7.20

18 Rafael Lubach 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.20

25 Finn Ole Becker 83' M 6.60

10 Julian Justvan 83' M 6.60

33 Adriano Grimaldi 61' F 6.60

Bench

37

N. Maboulou F

39 Piet Scobel 35' F 6.30

22 Rabby Nzingoula 13' M 6.90

28

Tarek Buchmann 14' D 7.00

5

T. Baack 23' M 6.90

1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3

1

G 8.50

19

L. Musonda D 6.50

28

M. Geschwill 71' D 6.90

16

M. Mathisen D 7.50

7

H. Bockhorn 71' D 6.50

25

S. Gnaka 87' M 6.60

21

Falko Michel M 7.00

8

L. Ulrich M 6.20

23

Barış Atik F 6.30

11

A. Holmstrom 72' F 6.50

17

A. Nollenberger F 6.90

Bench

6

Dariusz Stalmach M

24

J. Hugonet 25' M 6.90

10

Noah Pesch F

27

P. Hercher 25' D 6.60

29 R. Ghrieb 9' F 6.60

18

R. Tachie F

Best on the pitch

Henri Koudossou

D · 1.

8.90

1 👟

· 36 pass

G · 1.

8.50

· 59 pass

Fabio Gruber

D · 1.

7.90

· 45 pass

M. Mathisen

D · 1.

7.50

· 68 pass

D · 1.

7.30

· 40 pass

Rafael Lubach

M · 1.

7.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 20 pass

1. FC Nürnberg — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	7.20	—	—	—	40	29%	—	—	—
Berkay Yılmaz	D	96	6.90	—	—	—	36	28%	2	—	—
	D	96	7.30	—	—	—	40	36%	1	—	—
Fabio Gruber	D	96	7.90	—	—	—	45	44%	2	—	—
Henri Koudossou	D	96	8.90	—	1	—	36	30%	2	—	—
Javier Fernandez	M	82	6.90	—	—	2	34	28%	3	—	—
Adam Markhiev	M	96	7.20	—	—	1	51	46%	1	—	—
Rafael Lubach	M	73	7.20	1	—	1	20	16%	—	1	—
Finn Ole Becker	M	83	6.60	—	—	1	37	28%	—	—	—
Julian Justvan	M	83	6.60	—	—	1	27	24%	1	—	—
Adriano Grimaldi	F	61	6.60	—	—	—	10	6%	—	—	—
Piet Scobel	F	35	6.30	—	—	1	7	4%	—	—	—
Rabby Nzingoula	M	13	6.90	—	—	1	1	1%	1	—	—
Tarek Buchmann	D	14	7.00	—	—	—	2	1%	1	—	—
T. Baack	M	23	6.90	—	—	1	5	2%	1	—	—

1. FC Magdeburg — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	8.50	—	—	—	59	49%	—	—	—
L. Musonda	D	96	6.50	—	—	1	30	29%	2	1	—
M. Geschwill	D	71	6.90	—	—	—	48	42%	1	—	—
M. Mathisen	D	96	7.50	—	—	—	68	55%	4	1	—
H. Bockhorn	D	71	6.50	—	—	—	23	13%	2	1	—
S. Gnaka	M	87	6.60	—	—	1	38	36%	1	—	—
Falko Michel	M	96	7.00	—	—	—	40	34%	3	—	—
L. Ulrich	M	96	6.20	—	—	1	21	16%	1	—	—
Barış Atik	F	96	6.30	—	—	—	26	18%	—	—	—
A. Holmstrom	F	72	6.50	—	—	1	8	4%	—	—	—
A. Nollenberger	F	96	6.90	—	—	1	19	15%	2	—	—
J. Hugonet	M	25	6.90	—	—	—	17	15%	—	—	—
P. Hercher	D	25	6.60	—	—	—	9	5%	1	—	—
R. Ghrieb	F	9	6.60	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—