2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31 April 26, 2026 13:30

1. FC Nürnberg

#2 · 18 pts

1 – 0

Final score

1. FC Magdeburg

#5 · 16 pts

R. Lubach (ast. H. Koudossou) 45'+2

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Magdeburg a 37% win probability (draw 26%, 1. FC Nürnberg 36%). The final result was 1. FC Nürnberg 1–0 1. FC Magdeburg. In 1 previous meetings, 1. FC Nürnberg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for 1. FC Magdeburg.

Match statistics

9

Total shots

5

6

Shots on target

1

1.69

Actual xG

0.75

1

Saves

5

49%

Possession

51%

3

Corners

5

15

Tackles

17

1

🟨 Yellow cards

3

Match Events

⚽R. Lubach · ast. H. Koudossou

45'+2

54'

H. Bockhorn

R. Lubach

56'

↕ A. Grimaldi / P. Scobel

61'

70'

L. Musonda

71'

P. Hercher / H. Bockhorn ↕

71'

J. Hugonet / M. Geschwill ↕

72'

M. Breunig / A. Holmstrom ↕

↕ R. Lubach / T. Baack

73'

79'

M. Mathisen

↕ J. Fernandez / T. Buchmann

82'

↕ J. Justvan / M. Soldic

83'

↕ F. O. Becker / R. Nzingoula

83'

87'

R. Ghrieb / S. Gnaka ↕

Pre-match prediction

36.98%

1. ←

26.02%

X

37.0%

1.

we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Nürnberg) 36.98% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

1.

1.34

1.69

+0.35

1.

1.49

0.75

-0.74

1. FC Nürnberg dominated by xG (1.69 vs 0.75). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	9	25
2	1. FC Nürnberg	9	18
3	1. FC Kaiserslautern	9	18
4	VfL Wolfsburg	9	16
5	1. FC Magdeburg	9	16
6	1. FC Heidenheim	9	15
7	FC St. Pauli	9	12
8	VfL Osnabrück	9	11
9	Arminia Bielefeld	9	11
10	Eintracht Braunschweig	9	10
11	Energie Cottbus	9	10
12	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	9	9
13	Holstein Kiel	9	8
14	VfL Bochum	9	8
15	Dynamo Dresden	9	8
16	Hannover 96	9	8
17	Karlsruher SC	9	8
18	SV Darmstadt 98	9	8

Lineups

1. FC Nürnberg 4-2-3-1

1

G 7.20

21 Berkay Yilmaz D 6.90

24

D 7.30

4 F. Gruber D 7.90

8 H. Koudossou 1 👟 D 8.90

20 J. Fernandez 82' M 6.90

6 A. Marhiev M 7.20

18 Rafael Lubach 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.20

25 F. Becker 83' M 6.60

10 J. Justvan 83' M 6.60

33 Adriano Grimaldi 61' F 6.60

Bench

37 Noah Le Bret Maboulou F

39 P. Scobel 35' F 6.30

22 R. Nzingoula 13' M 6.90

28

Tarek Buchmann 14' D 7.00

5 T. Baack 23' M 6.90

1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3

1

G 8.50

19

L. Musonda D 6.50

28 Max Geschwill 71' D 6.90

16 M. Mathisen D 7.50

7 H. Bockhorn 71' D 6.50

25

Silas Gnaka 87' M 6.60

21 F. Michel M 7.00

8 L. Ulrich M 6.20

23 B. Atik F 6.30

11 A. Ahl-Holmström 72' F 6.50

17 A. Nollenberger F 6.90

Bench

6 Dariusz Stalmach M

24 J. Hugonet 25' M 6.90

10 Noah Pesch F

27 Philipp Hercher 25' D 6.60

29 R. Ghrieb 9' F 6.60

18 R. Tachie F

Best on the pitch

H. Koudossou

D · 1.

8.90

1 👟

· 36 pass

G · 1.

8.50

· 59 pass

F. Gruber

D · 1.

7.90

· 45 pass

M. Mathisen

D · 1.

7.50

· 68 pass

D · 1.

7.30

· 40 pass

Rafael Lubach

M · 1.

7.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 20 pass

1. FC Nürnberg — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	7.20	—	—	—	40	29%	—	—	—
Berkay Yilmaz	D	96	6.90	—	—	—	36	28%	2	—	—
	D	96	7.30	—	—	—	40	36%	1	—	—
F. Gruber	D	96	7.90	—	—	—	45	44%	2	—	—
H. Koudossou	D	96	8.90	—	1	—	36	30%	2	—	—
J. Fernandez	M	82	6.90	—	—	2	34	28%	3	—	—
A. Marhiev	M	96	7.20	—	—	1	51	46%	1	—	—
Rafael Lubach	M	73	7.20	1	—	1	20	16%	—	1	—
F. Becker	M	83	6.60	—	—	1	37	28%	—	—	—
J. Justvan	M	83	6.60	—	—	1	27	24%	1	—	—
Adriano Grimaldi	F	61	6.60	—	—	—	10	6%	—	—	—
P. Scobel	F	35	6.30	—	—	1	7	4%	—	—	—
R. Nzingoula	M	13	6.90	—	—	1	1	1%	1	—	—
Tarek Buchmann	D	14	7.00	—	—	—	2	1%	1	—	—
T. Baack	M	23	6.90	—	—	1	5	2%	1	—	—

1. FC Magdeburg — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	8.50	—	—	—	59	49%	—	—	—
L. Musonda	D	96	6.50	—	—	1	30	29%	2	1	—
Max Geschwill	D	71	6.90	—	—	—	48	42%	1	—	—
M. Mathisen	D	96	7.50	—	—	—	68	55%	4	1	—
H. Bockhorn	D	71	6.50	—	—	—	23	13%	2	1	—
Silas Gnaka	M	87	6.60	—	—	1	38	36%	1	—	—
F. Michel	M	96	7.00	—	—	—	40	34%	3	—	—
L. Ulrich	M	96	6.20	—	—	1	21	16%	1	—	—
B. Atik	F	96	6.30	—	—	—	26	18%	—	—	—
A. Ahl-Holmström	F	72	6.50	—	—	1	8	4%	—	—	—
A. Nollenberger	F	96	6.90	—	—	1	19	15%	2	—	—
J. Hugonet	M	25	6.90	—	—	—	17	15%	—	—	—
Philipp Hercher	D	25	6.60	—	—	—	9	5%	1	—	—
R. Ghrieb	F	9	6.60	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—