AEK Athens FC - Asteras Tripolis
Cup
December 02, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
57.02%
Win
AEK Athens FC
19.68%
Draw
23.3%
Win
Asteras Tripolis
2.6
1.57
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
AEK Athens FC
57.02%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.67%)
1X2 Result
1
57%
X
20%
2
23%
Double Chance
1X
77%
X2
43%
12
80%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
87%
Over 2.5
75%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives AEK Athens FC a 57% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 23% for Asteras Tripolis. Expected goals are 2.6 for AEK Athens FC and 1.6 for Asteras Tripolis (total 4.2), with a 87% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.67% probability. In 3 previous meetings, AEK Athens FC have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Asteras Tripolis.
Season Stats
6W
0D
2L
2W
2D
5L
Averages per game
2.1
Goals
1.2
0.8
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
63%
O 1.5
89%
38%
O 2.5
33%
38%
BTTS
33%
50%
Clean Sht
22%
ℹ
Based on the last 9 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
13%
O 3.5
35%
BTTS
3W
0D
1L
· at home
1W
1D
3L
· away
3.0
gls/g
0.8
0.8
Conceded
1.2
75%
Win %
20%
75%
Win or Draw
40%
75%
O 1.5
80%
50%
O 2.5
20%
25%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
20%
25%
Clean Sht
20%
25%
Failed to Score
60%
last 5
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ AEK Athens FC
Asteras Tripolis →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
AEK Athens FC
Attack
42
Defence
52
Form
52
Asteras Tripolis
Attack
31
Defence
61
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AEK Athens FC vs Asteras Tripolis?
The model gives AEK Athens FC a 57% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 23% for an Asteras Tripolis win.
How many goals are expected in AEK Athens FC vs Asteras Tripolis?
Expected goals: AEK Athens FC 2.6, Asteras Tripolis 1.6 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 87%.
What is the most likely score in AEK Athens FC vs Asteras Tripolis?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.67%.