Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 3
May 01, 2026 04:00
4'
(ast. M. Viera)
F. Posse
34'
(ast. F. Posse)
M. Miranda
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Atletico a 45% win probability (draw 32%, Macara 21%). The final result was Alianza Atletico 0–2 Macara.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
3
1.00
Actual xG
0.78
1
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
5
Corners
9
15
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
4'
ast. M. Viera ·
F. Posse⚽
34'
ast. F. Posse ·
M. Miranda⚽
J. del Castillo
/ G. A. Larios Saavedra
46'
A. Gordillo
56'
F. Flores
/ S. Quiroga
62'
A. Gordillo
/ J. Mendieta
62'
J. Perez
/ C. Penilla
63'
S. Quiroga
68'
70'
T. Espinoza
/
F. Paz
70'
G. Blanc
/
M. Miranda
G. Diaz
/ A. Antilef
75'
G. A. Larios Saavedra
80'
80'
D. Bolanos
/
M. Tello
81'
F. Posse
85'
J. Cazares
88'
J. Klinger
/
M. Viera
88'
L. Ferro
/
F. Posse
Pre-match prediction
45.26%
Alianza
32.99%
X
21.75%
Macara ←
we assigned to the actual result (Macara)
21.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.18
1.00
-0.19
0.68
0.78
+0.1
xG dominance was balanced (1.00 – 0.78).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
95
G
24
A. Gordillo
62'
D
A. Gordillo
62'
D
4
José Villegas
D
José Villegas
D
2
Román Suárez
D
Román Suárez
D
21
Erick Perleche
D
Erick Perleche
D
22
Jorge del Castillo
45'
M
Jorge del Castillo
45'
M
20
Jimmy Pérez
62'
M
Jimmy Pérez
62'
M
10
Germán Díaz
75'
M
Germán Díaz
75'
M
8
Franchesco Flores
62'
M
Franchesco Flores
62'
M
7
Franco Coronel
F
Franco Coronel
F
9
Valentín Robaldo
F
Valentín Robaldo
F
Bench
17
Cristian Penilla
31'
M
Cristian Penilla
31'
M
11
G. A. Larios Saavedra
48'
F
15
Hernan Lupú
M
Hernan Lupú
M
19
Jesus Mendieta
31'
D
Jesus Mendieta
31'
D
32
S. Quiroga
31'
F
16
Stefano Fernández
M
Stefano Fernández
M
1
G
13
Luis Ayala
D
Luis Ayala
D
14
José Luis Marrufo
D
José Luis Marrufo
D
21
Santiago Etchebarne
D
Santiago Etchebarne
D
5
Jean Carlos Estacio
D
Jean Carlos Estacio
D
10
Matías Miranda
1 ⚽
70'
M
Matías Miranda
1 ⚽
70'
M
16
J. Cazares
M
J. Cazares
M
15
Martin Tello
80'
M
Martin Tello
80'
M
7
F. Paz
70'
F
F. Paz
70'
F
9
Franco Posse
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
F
Franco Posse
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
F
20
Mateo Viera
1 👟
89'
F
Bench
25
Denilson Bolanos
13'
M
Denilson Bolanos
13'
M
8
Gaston Blanc
23'
M
Gaston Blanc
23'
M
27
Jordán Mohor
M
Jordán Mohor
M
17
Jordano Zambrano
M
Jordano Zambrano
M
87
Jose Klinger
4'
F
Jose Klinger
4'
F
11
Leonar Espinoza
23'
M
Leonar Espinoza
23'
M
22
Luca Ferro
5'
F
Luca Ferro
5'
F
30
Tommy Chamba
M
Tommy Chamba
M
Best on the pitch
Matías Miranda
M · Macara
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 46 pass
Jorge del Castillo
M · Alianza
7.70
· 25 pass
José Luis Marrufo
D · Macara
7.30
· 46 pass
Franco Posse
F · Macara
7.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 28 pass
J. Cazares
M · Macara
7.00
· 35 pass
Cristian Penilla
M · Alianza
6.90
1 shots
· 7 pass
Alianza Atletico — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| A. Gordillo | D | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| José Villegas | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Román Suárez | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Erick Perleche | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| Jorge del Castillo | M | 45 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Jimmy Pérez | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Germán Díaz | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 73 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| Franchesco Flores | M | 62 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Franco Coronel | F | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Valentín Robaldo | F | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 23 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Cristian Penilla | M | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| G. A. Larios Saavedra | F | 48 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Jesus Mendieta | D | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| S. Quiroga | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
Macara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Luis Ayala | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| José Luis Marrufo | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Santiago Etchebarne | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean Carlos Estacio | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| Matías Miranda | M | 70 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 46 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Cazares | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Martin Tello | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| F. Paz | F | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Franco Posse | F | 88 | 7.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mateo Viera | F | 89 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Denilson Bolanos | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Gaston Blanc | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Jose Klinger | F | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Leonar Espinoza | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Luca Ferro | F | 5 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Macara?
The final score was Alianza Atletico 0–2 Macara.
What did the model predict before Alianza Atletico vs Macara?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Alianza Atletico win, 32% to a draw, and 21% to an Macara win.