Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 3
May 01, 2026 04:00
4'
(ast. M. Viera)
F. Posse
34'
(ast. F. Posse)
M. Miranda
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Atletico a 45% win probability (draw 32%, Macara 21%). The final result was Alianza Atletico 0–2 Macara. In 1 previous meetings, Alianza Atletico have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Macara.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
3
1.00
Actual xG
0.78
1
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
5
Corners
9
15
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
4'
ast. M. Viera ·
F. Posse⚽
34'
ast. F. Posse ·
M. Miranda⚽
J. del Castillo
/ G. A. Larios Saavedra
46'
A. Gordillo
56'
F. Flores
/ S. Quiroga
62'
A. Gordillo
/ J. Mendieta
62'
J. Perez
/ C. Penilla
63'
S. Quiroga
68'
70'
T. Espinoza
/
F. Paz
70'
G. Blanc
/
M. Miranda
G. Diaz
/ A. Antilef
75'
G. A. Larios Saavedra
80'
80'
D. Bolanos
/
M. Tello
81'
F. Posse
85'
J. Cazares
88'
J. Klinger
/
M. Viera
88'
L. Ferro
/
F. Posse
Pre-match prediction
45.26%
Alianza
32.99%
X
21.75%
Macara ←
we assigned to the actual result (Macara)
21.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.18
1.00
-0.19
0.68
0.78
+0.1
xG dominance was balanced (1.00 – 0.78).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
95
G
24
A. Gordillo
62'
D
A. Gordillo
62'
D
4
J. Villegas
D
J. Villegas
D
2
R. Suarez
D
R. Suarez
D
21
Erick Perleche
D
Erick Perleche
D
22
J. del Castillo
45'
M
J. del Castillo
45'
M
20
Jimmy Pérez
62'
M
Jimmy Pérez
62'
M
10
Germán Díaz
75'
M
Germán Díaz
75'
M
8
F. Flores
62'
M
F. Flores
62'
M
7
Franco Coronel
F
Franco Coronel
F
9
V. Robaldo
F
V. Robaldo
F
Bench
17
C. Penilla
31'
M
C. Penilla
31'
M
11
G. Larios
48'
F
G. Larios
48'
F
15
H. Lupú
M
H. Lupú
M
19
J. Mendieta
31'
D
J. Mendieta
31'
D
32
Sergio Quiroga
31'
F
Sergio Quiroga
31'
F
16
S. Fernández
M
S. Fernández
M
1
G
13
L. Ayala
D
L. Ayala
D
14
José Luis Marrufo
D
José Luis Marrufo
D
21
S. Etchebarne
D
S. Etchebarne
D
5
Jean Carlos Estacio
D
Jean Carlos Estacio
D
10
M. Miranda
1 ⚽
70'
M
M. Miranda
1 ⚽
70'
M
16
J. Cazares
M
J. Cazares
M
15
M. Tello
80'
M
M. Tello
80'
M
7
F. Paz
70'
F
F. Paz
70'
F
9
Franco Posse
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
F
Franco Posse
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
F
20
Mateo Viera
1 👟
89'
F
Mateo Viera
1 👟
89'
F
Bench
25
Denilson Bolaños
13'
M
Denilson Bolaños
13'
M
8
Gaston Blanc
23'
M
Gaston Blanc
23'
M
27
Jordán Mohor
M
Jordán Mohor
M
17
Jordano Zambrano
M
Jordano Zambrano
M
87
Jose Klinger
4'
F
Jose Klinger
4'
F
11
Leonar Espinoza
23'
M
Leonar Espinoza
23'
M
22
Luca Ferro
5'
F
Luca Ferro
5'
F
30
Tommy Chamba
M
Tommy Chamba
M
Best on the pitch
M. Miranda
M · Macara
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 46 pass
J. del Castillo
M · Alianza
7.70
· 25 pass
José Luis Marrufo
D · Macara
7.30
· 46 pass
Franco Posse
F · Macara
7.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 28 pass
J. Cazares
M · Macara
7.00
· 35 pass
C. Penilla
M · Alianza
6.90
1 shots
· 7 pass
Alianza Atletico — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| A. Gordillo | D | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Villegas | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Suarez | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Erick Perleche | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| J. del Castillo | M | 45 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Jimmy Pérez | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Germán Díaz | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 73 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Flores | M | 62 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Franco Coronel | F | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| V. Robaldo | F | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 23 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Penilla | M | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Larios | F | 48 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Mendieta | D | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Quiroga | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
Macara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| L. Ayala | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| José Luis Marrufo | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Etchebarne | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean Carlos Estacio | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Miranda | M | 70 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 46 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Cazares | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Tello | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| F. Paz | F | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Franco Posse | F | 88 | 7.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mateo Viera | F | 89 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Denilson Bolaños | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Gaston Blanc | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Jose Klinger | F | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Leonar Espinoza | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Luca Ferro | F | 5 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Macara?
The final score was Alianza Atletico 0–2 Macara.
What did the model predict before Alianza Atletico vs Macara?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Alianza Atletico win, 32% to a draw, and 21% to an Macara win.