Alverca - Estrela
Friendlies Clubs
July 11, 2026 14:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Alverca
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Estrela
1.31
0.81
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(15.8%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Alverca a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Estrela. Expected goals are 1.3 for Alverca and 0.8 for Estrela (total 2.1), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.8% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Alverca have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Estrela.
Score Matrix
↕ Alverca
Estrela →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.0% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 15.8% | 12.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | — |
| 2 | 10.4% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Alverca
Attack
31
Defence
87
Form
70
Estrela
Attack
33
Defence
83
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Alverca vs Estrela?
The model gives Alverca a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Estrela win.
How many goals are expected in Alverca vs Estrela?
Expected goals: Alverca 1.3, Estrela 0.8 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Alverca vs Estrela?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.8%.