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Arsenal - Borussia Dortmund

Friendlies Clubs August 09, 2026 15:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Arsenal
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Borussia Dortmund
1.4
Expected xG
1.58

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.82%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Arsenal a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Borussia Dortmund. Expected goals are 1.4 for Arsenal and 1.6 for Borussia Dortmund (total 3.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.82% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Arsenal Borussia Dortmund →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1% 8.0% 6.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
1 7.1% 11.3% 8.9% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.0% 7.9% 6.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.3% 3.7% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 60%
L Cerezo Osaka 1–0
L Fortuna Düsseldorf 2–1
W Rot-weiss Oberhausen 1–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Arsenal Arsenal
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
Attack
49
Defence
62
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund?
The model gives Arsenal a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Borussia Dortmund win.
How many goals are expected in Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund?
Expected goals: Arsenal 1.4, Borussia Dortmund 1.6 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.82%.