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Arsenal - Borussia Dortmund

Friendlies Clubs August 09, 2026 15:00
Arsenal
vs
Borussia Dortmund
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.21%
Win
Arsenal
31.65%
Draw
32.14%
Win
Borussia Dortmund
1.99
Expected xG
1.24

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.01%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 64%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Arsenal a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Borussia Dortmund. Expected goals are 2.0 for Arsenal and 1.2 for Borussia Dortmund (total 3.2), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.01% probability.

Season Stats

Arsenal
1W 0D 1L
Borussia Dortmund
2W 0D 2L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
1.2
2.0
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
63%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Arsenal
0W 0D 1L · at home
Borussia Dortmund
2W 0D 2L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.2
3.0
Conceded
1.0
0%
Win %
50%
0%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
50%
100%
O 3.5
25%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
0%
Failed to Score
25%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Arsenal Borussia Dortmund →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9% 4.9% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.8% 9.7% 6.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.7% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.2% 6.4% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.6% 3.2% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Arsenal Arsenal
D Como 1–1
L Real Betis 1–3
W Girona 1–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 55%
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
D AS Roma 2–2
W FC Tokyo 0–1
L Cerezo Osaka 1–0
L Fortuna Düsseldorf 2–1
W Rot-weiss Oberhausen 1–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Arsenal Arsenal
Attack
62
Defence
50
Form
51
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
Attack
30
Defence
75
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund?
The model gives Arsenal a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 32% for an Borussia Dortmund win.
How many goals are expected in Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund?
Expected goals: Arsenal 2.0, Borussia Dortmund 1.2 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.01%.