Aston Villa - Paris Saint Germain
Champions League
December 08, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.54%
Win
Aston Villa
35.35%
Draw
31.11%
Win
Paris Saint Germain
0.7
0.57
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(13.58%)
1X2 Result
1
34%
X
35%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
67%
12
65%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Aston Villa a 33% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 31% for Paris Saint Germain. Expected goals are 0.7 for Aston Villa and 0.6 for Paris Saint Germain (total 1.3), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.58% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Aston Villa have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Paris Saint Germain.
Season Stats
1W
0D
0L
8W
5D
2L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
2.5
2.0
Conceded
1.4
9.0
Shots OT
6.9
5.0
Corners
5.9
36%
Poss.
64%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
93%
100%
O 2.5
60%
100%
BTTS
73%
0%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 28.1% | 16.1% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 19.5% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | — | — | — |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Aston Villa
Attack
40
Defence
50
Form
44
Paris Saint Germain
Attack
59
Defence
69
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
12 Aug 2026
1–2
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Aston Villa vs Paris Saint Germain?
The model gives Aston Villa a 33% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 31% for an Paris Saint Germain win.
How many goals are expected in Aston Villa vs Paris Saint Germain?
Expected goals: Aston Villa 0.7, Paris Saint Germain 0.6 (total 1.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Aston Villa vs Paris Saint Germain?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.58%.